LFVN · TickerCove

LFVNLifeVantage CorporationConsumer Defensive · Packaged Foodsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.18 · now $6.18 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LFVN has typically landed between $4.77 and $8.13 — a range of −22.7% to +31.6% from the issuance price $6.18.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.18) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$6.18 · 33% of range

$3.99 low$10.7 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.2%

typical move · IQR 19.0%

−22.7%worst (p90)+31.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where LFVN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.18 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $6.18 (+0.0%)
typical $6.11 (-1.2%)
middle 50% $5.52–$6.69
90% range $4.77–$8.13

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2007-02-12	−61.9%	−64.7%	+0.0%
2007-02-09	−60.8%	−65.3%	+0.0%
2007-02-07	−60.3%	−60.3%	+14.2%
3 best
2009-02-27	+192.7%	+0.0%	+192.7%
2009-02-26	+192.4%	+0.0%	+192.4%
2009-03-02	+167.8%	+0.0%	+167.8%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+9.3%

n=20

Feb

35%

−2.9%

n=20

Mar

30%

+9.2%

n=20

Apr

45%

+7.4%

n=20

May

45%

+6.5%

n=20

Jun

45%

−1.1%

n=20

Jul

55%

+5.0%

n=20

Aug

40%

+3.1%

n=20

Sep

30%

−2.5%

n=20

Oct

40%

−1.9%

n=20

Nov

30%

−3.7%

n=20

Dec

30%

+1.6%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	Cunningham Kristen	officer	Sale	8,901 @ $6.18	$55K	−6.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	120,162	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-11	Cunningham Kristen	officer	Sale	100 @ $6.41	$641	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	129,063	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-15	Lewis Darwin	director	Purchase	705 @ $8.60	$6K	+0.5% of holding	−6.2%	not yet — horizon still open	137,268	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-03	BEINDORFF MICHAEL A	director	Sale	10,000 @ $8.55	$85K	−19.4% of holding	−24.4%	not yet — horizon still open	41,625	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-16	Lewis Darwin	director	Purchase	1,055 @ $5.23	$6K	+0.8% of holding	−20.5%	+6.9%	136,563	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02	Dayton Judd	director	Purchase	10,500 @ $4.53	$48K	+15.0% of holding	+0.5%	+28.6%	80,359	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-27	Dayton Judd	director	Purchase	18,097 @ $4.63	$84K	+35.0% of holding	+3.0%	+26.1%	69,859	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-26	Dayton Judd	director	Purchase	4,600 @ $4.58	$21K	+9.8% of holding	+0.4%	+27.5%	51,762	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-09	Lewis Darwin	director	Purchase	3,955 @ $5.22	$21K	+3.0% of holding	+7.7%	+21.8%	135,508	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-15	Lewis Darwin	director	Purchase	805 @ $6.54	$5K	+0.6% of holding	−3.9%	−14.0%	131,553	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-19	BEINDORFF MICHAEL A	director	Sale	12,607 @ $6.42	$81K	−22.3% of holding	−5.4%	−24.2%	43,806	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-07	BEINDORFF MICHAEL A	director	Sale	35,000 @ $6.92	$242K	−38.3% of holding	−12.4%	−39.9%	56,413	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-07	BEINDORFF MICHAEL A	director	Sale	1,000 @ $7.33	$7K	−2.7% of holding	−12.4%	−39.9%	35,389	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-16	Lewis Darwin	director	Purchase	450 @ $10.85	$5K	+0.4% of holding	−16.7%	−56.7%	117,217	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-09	BEINDORFF MICHAEL A	director	Sale	4,125 @ $11.44	$47K	−15.3% of holding	−26.1%	−59.3%	22,858	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-09	BEINDORFF MICHAEL A	director	Sale	200 @ $11.35	$2K	−61.3% of holding	−26.1%	−59.3%	126	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-01	Aure Carl	officer	Sale	2,746 @ $13.39	$37K	−2.0% of holding	−8.6%	−66.2%	133,303	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-13	Lewis Darwin	director	Purchase	370 @ $12.86	$5K	+0.3% of holding	−3.1%	−62.0%	116,758	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-13	Lewis Darwin	director	Purchase	9 @ $12.78	$115	+0.0% of holding	−3.1%	−62.0%	116,767	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-09	Mauro Garry Paul	director	Purchase	601 @ $12.25	$7K	+0.7% of holding	−3.9%	−58.8%	86,087	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-09	Mauro Garry Paul	director	Purchase	298 @ $12.25	$4K	+0.9% of holding	−3.9%	−58.8%	32,840	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-09	Mauro Garry Paul	director	Purchase	298 @ $12.25	$4K	+0.9% of holding	−3.9%	−58.8%	33,152	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-09	Mauro Garry Paul	director	Purchase	59 @ $12.25	$723	+0.9% of holding	−3.9%	−58.8%	6,598	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-10	Greer Raymond B	director	Sale	8,000 @ $20.15	$161K	−7.5% of holding	−13.1%	−38.1%	99,288	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10	BEINDORFF MICHAEL A	director	Sale	5,850 @ $19.54	$114K	−11.7% of holding	−13.1%	−38.1%	44,168	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-10	Latham Cynthia	director	Sale	4,450 @ $20.02	$89K	−8.0% of holding	−13.1%	−38.1%	51,348	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-16	Lewis Darwin	director	Purchase	227 @ $16.00	$4K	+0.2% of holding	+54.7%	−22.4%	116,388	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

106 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-10	Cunningham Kristen	officer	Withheld for tax	2,254	129,163	Form 4
2026-09-10	Aure Carl	officer	Withheld for tax	1,869	156,495	Form 4
2026-08-06	Moorehead Terrence	director	Award / grant	540,123	540,123	Form 4
2026-08-06	Moorehead Terrence	director	Award / grant	308,642	308,642	Form 4
2026-07-01	Cunningham Kristen	officer	Withheld for tax	1,717	131,417	Form 4
2026-07-01	Aure Carl	officer	Withheld for tax	1,361	155,554	Form 4
2026-07-01	Neufeld Alissa	officer	Withheld for tax	1,342	112,744	Form 4
2026-04-01	Fife Steven R	director	Withheld for tax	8,180	735,471	Form 4
2026-04-01	Cunningham Kristen	officer	Withheld for tax	1,928	133,134	Form 4
2026-04-01	Aure Carl	officer	Withheld for tax	1,527	156,915	Form 4
2026-04-01	Neufeld Alissa	officer	Withheld for tax	1,446	114,086	Form 4
2026-01-01	Fife Steven R	director	Withheld for tax	9,169	743,651	Form 4
2026-01-01	Cunningham Kristen	officer	Withheld for tax	1,926	135,060	Form 4
2026-01-01	Aure Carl	officer	Withheld for tax	1,527	158,442	Form 4
2026-01-01	Neufeld Alissa	officer	Withheld for tax	1,445	115,532	Form 4
2025-12-23	Thompson Todd	officer	Withheld for tax	601	50,729	Form 4
2025-11-25	BEINDORFF MICHAEL A	director	Gift	7,819	51,625	Form 4
2025-11-25	BEINDORFF MICHAEL A	director	Gift	7,819	27,570	Form 4
2025-11-06	Greer Raymond B	director	Award / grant	13,531	112,819	Form 4
2025-11-06	Lewis Darwin	director	Award / grant	13,531	130,748	Form 4
2025-11-06	Anbalagan Rajendran	director	Award / grant	13,531	23,999	Form 4
2025-11-06	BEINDORFF MICHAEL A	director	Award / grant	13,531	36,389	Form 4
2025-11-06	Latham Cynthia	director	Award / grant	13,531	64,879	Form 4
2025-11-06	Dayton Judd	director	Award / grant	13,531	47,162	Form 4
2025-10-01	Fife Steven R	director	Withheld for tax	8,181	752,820	Form 4
2025-10-01	Boyster Julie	officer	Withheld for tax	1,835	150,088	Form 4
2025-10-01	Cunningham Kristen	officer	Withheld for tax	1,720	136,986	Form 4
2025-10-01	Aure Carl	officer	Withheld for tax	1,361	159,969	Form 4
2025-10-01	Neufeld Alissa	officer	Withheld for tax	1,283	116,977	Form 4
2025-08-31	Fife Steven R	director	Withheld for tax	98,177	761,001	Form 4
2025-08-31	Boyster Julie	officer	Withheld for tax	23,293	151,923	Form 4
2025-08-31	Cunningham Kristen	officer	Withheld for tax	21,801	138,706	Form 4
2025-08-31	Aure Carl	officer	Withheld for tax	16,610	161,330	Form 4
2025-08-31	Neufeld Alissa	officer	Withheld for tax	15,729	118,260	Form 4
2025-08-31	Cunningham Kristen	officer	Option exercise	17,752	134,357	Form 4
2025-08-31	Fife Steven R	director	Option exercise	90,718	750,218	Form 4
2025-08-31	Fife Steven R	director	Option exercise	108,960	859,178	Form 4
2025-08-31	Fife Steven R	director	Option exercise	90,718	30,239	Form 4
2025-08-31	Fife Steven R	director	Option exercise	108,960	54,479	Form 4
2025-08-31	Neufeld Alissa	officer	Option exercise	14,498	115,103	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i