Issued 2026-09-16 at $17.59 · now $17.59 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LFTO has typically landed between $12.99 and $20.37 — a range of −26.2% to +15.8% from the issuance price $17.59.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
53 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-06-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($17.59) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LFTO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $17.59 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $17.59 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $15.35 (-12.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.51–$16.19
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $12.99–$20.37
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-08-07 | −27.5% | −28.6% | +0.0% |
| 2026-08-11 | −27.4% | −27.4% | +4.6% |
| 2026-08-12 | −27.4% | −30.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-07 | +14.8% | −1.8% | +14.8% |
| 2026-07-06 | +10.0% | −5.3% | +10.0% |
| 2026-07-14 | +8.0% | −6.1% | +10.1% |
53 overlapping windows · 2026-06-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | General Atlantic (LFT), L.P. | director | Purchase | 1,304,347 @ $23.00 | $30.0M | +5.4% of holding | −13.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,315,646 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | GENERAL ATLANTIC GENPAR, L.P. | director | Purchase | 1,304,347 @ $23.00 | $30.0M | +5.4% of holding | −13.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,315,646 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
5 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Clayton Patrick | officer | Award / grant | 25,940 | 117,597 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Hansen Susan Rickard | officer | Award / grant | 25,940 | 61,128 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Goldman Simon Robert | director | Award / grant | 9,212 | 102,247 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Habiger David C | director | Award / grant | 9,212 | 33,587 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | RAFAEL BETSY | director | Award / grant | 9,212 | 33,587 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.