Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.16 · now $4.16 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LFCR has typically landed between $3.20 and $5.28 — a range of −23.0% to +27.0% from the issuance price $4.16.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.16) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LFCR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.16 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.16 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.11 (-1.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.66–$4.55
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.2–$5.28
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-02-26 | −50.3% | −50.3% | +0.0% |
| 2023-02-17 | −49.1% | −49.1% | +0.2% |
| 2026-03-02 | −48.5% | −49.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-05-12 | +104.0% | −0.5% | +104.0% |
| 2023-05-15 | +100.9% | +0.0% | +104.9% |
| 2023-04-26 | +97.9% | +0.0% | +98.1% |
5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-28 | English Aron R. | director | Sale | 150,419 @ $7.12 | $1.1M | −36.3% of holding | +13.8% | −1.0% | 264,180 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-27 | English Aron R. | director | Sale | 1,139,504 @ $6.50 | $7.4M | −73.3% of holding | +13.8% | −6.5% | 414,599 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | English Aron R. | director | Sale | 96,137 @ $6.75 | $649K | −5.8% of holding | +19.0% | −0.8% | 1,554,103 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | English Aron R. | director | Sale | 12,334 @ $7.00 | $86K | −0.7% of holding | −4.6% | −5.7% | 1,650,240 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | English Aron R. | director | Sale | 45,698 @ $7.03 | $321K | −2.7% of holding | −6.3% | −13.1% | 1,662,574 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-09 | English Aron R. | director | Sale | 700 @ $7.00 | $5K | −0.0% of holding | −8.4% | −21.3% | 1,708,272 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | English Aron R. | director | Sale | 5,098 @ $7.00 | $36K | −0.3% of holding | −7.7% | −23.2% | 1,708,972 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | English Aron R. | director | Sale | 15,847 @ $7.01 | $111K | −0.9% of holding | −8.9% | −24.7% | 1,714,070 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-06 | English Aron R. | director | Sale | 701 @ $7.05 | $5K | −0.0% of holding | −9.0% | −24.0% | 1,729,917 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-05 | English Aron R. | director | Sale | 24,543 @ $7.08 | $174K | −1.4% of holding | −7.7% | −20.7% | 1,730,618 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-08 | Josephs Paul | director | Purchase | 17,000 @ $5.74 | $98K | +3.1% of holding | −1.4% | +34.2% | 559,717 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
75 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 103,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 103,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 103,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 103,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 103,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | HOUDE LOVAS KATRINA | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 135,319 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 103,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 103,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Schechter Joshua | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 133,080 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 103,482 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | HOUDE LOVAS KATRINA | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 135,319 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Antunes Humberto Calheiros | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 72,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Johnson Paul Harold | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 69,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Aryeh Jason | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 69,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Korenberg Matthew E | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 69,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | OBUS NELSON | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 164,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Aryeh Jason | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 69,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Korenberg Matthew E | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 69,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Antunes Humberto Calheiros | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 72,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Johnson Paul Harold | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 69,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | OBUS NELSON | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 164,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Schechter Joshua | director | Award / grant | 25,907 | 133,080 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Josephs Paul | director | Withheld for tax | 40,413 | 592,915 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-14 | Salus Thomas D. | officer | Withheld for tax | 24,645 | 246,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Salus Thomas D. | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 270,978 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Salus Thomas D. | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 270,978 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-03 | Lake Ryan David | officer | Withheld for tax | 22,932 | 336,691 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 77,575 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 77,575 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 77,575 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 77,575 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Schechter Joshua | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 107,173 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Antunes Humberto Calheiros | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 47,060 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Korenberg Matthew E | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 44,060 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Korenberg Matthew E | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 44,060 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Kiper Christopher S | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 77,575 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | HOUDE LOVAS KATRINA | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 109,412 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Aryeh Jason | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 44,060 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Johnson Paul Harold | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 44,060 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Antunes Humberto Calheiros | director | Award / grant | 19,506 | 47,060 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.