LEVI · TickerCove

LEVILevi Strauss & Co.Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Manufacturersas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $19.65 · now $19.65 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LEVI has typically landed between $16.40 and $22.69 — a range of −16.6% to +15.4% from the issuance price $19.65.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,862 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-03-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($19.65) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$19.65 · 25% of range

$17.69 low$25.53 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.3%

typical move · IQR 14.0%

−16.6%worst (p90)+15.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where LEVI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $19.65 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $19.65 (+0.0%)
typical $19.91 (+1.3%)
middle 50% $18.53–$21.29
90% range $16.4–$22.69

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,862 windows spanning 2019-03-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−47.4%	−47.4%	+0.0%
2020-03-05	−46.9%	−46.9%	+0.0%
2020-03-04	−46.2%	−46.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2025-04-08	+38.6%	+0.0%	+38.6%
2020-09-21	+36.4%	+0.0%	+36.4%
2020-05-06	+36.1%	+0.0%	+36.1%

1,862 overlapping windows · 2019-03-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

43%

+1.5%

n=7

Feb

57%

+3.8%

n=7

Mar

43%

−7.9%

n=7

Apr

63%

+2.8%

n=8

May

63%

+0.5%

n=8

Jun

63%

+0.4%

n=8

Jul

38%

+0.5%

n=8

Aug

38%

−3.7%

n=8

Sep

50%

+1.4%

n=8

Oct

57%

−1.3%

n=7

Nov

71%

+6.3%

n=7

Dec

43%

+2.3%

n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Sale	98,144 @ $24.22	$2.4M	−49.8% of holding	−14.6%	not yet — horizon still open	98,747	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-12	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	202,135 @ $24.02	$4.9M	−100.0% of holding	−2.6%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-11	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	488,851 @ $24.11	$11.8M	−100.0% of holding	−4.0%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-11	Peter E. Haas Jr. Family Fund	tenPercentOwner	Sale	145,662 @ $24.01	$3.5M	−100.0% of holding	−4.0%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-11	Haas Margaret E.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	47,721 @ $24.01	$1.1M	−100.0% of holding	−4.0%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-10	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	3,182 @ $24.00	$76K	−100.0% of holding	+1.9%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03	Jedrzejek David	officer	Sale	336 @ $22.82	$8K	−0.3% of holding	+9.3%	not yet — horizon still open	106,098	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-27	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	5,832 @ $24.00	$140K	−100.0% of holding	+7.6%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27	Peter E. Haas Jr. Family Fund	tenPercentOwner	Sale	4,338 @ $24.00	$104K	−100.0% of holding	+7.6%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27	Haas Margaret E.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	2,279 @ $24.01	$55K	−100.0% of holding	+7.6%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	192,451 @ $22.68	$4.4M	−100.0% of holding	+6.0%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-22	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	176,549 @ $22.01	$3.9M	−100.0% of holding	+8.4%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-21	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	31,000 @ $22.00	$682K	−100.0% of holding	+8.4%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-18	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	100,000 @ $21.13	$2.1M	−100.0% of holding	+11.3%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11	Haas Margaret E.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	24,277 @ $22.20	$539K	−0.2% of holding	+6.9%	not yet — horizon still open	13,035,688	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-06	Hillman Karyn	officer	Sale	38,938 @ $22.91	$892K	−29.8% of holding	−2.7%	not yet — horizon still open	91,522	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-21	Singh Harmit J	director	Sale	121,767 @ $23.52	$2.9M	−45.0% of holding	−13.4%	not yet — horizon still open	148,757	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-20	Singh Harmit J	director	Sale	110,000 @ $23.00	$2.5M	−28.9% of holding	−13.1%	not yet — horizon still open	270,514	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-12	Gowans Jason	officer	Sale	40,000 @ $21.83	$873K	−30.3% of holding	−13.1%	−9.6%	92,199	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-03	Jedrzejek David	officer	Sale	2,248 @ $19.60	$44K	−2.1% of holding	+6.3%	+17.6%	106,818	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-27	Jedrzejek David	officer	Sale	7,093 @ $21.38	$152K	−6.7% of holding	+7.7%	+12.9%	98,193	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10	Haas Margaret E.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	12,706 @ $20.91	$266K	−0.1% of holding	+1.7%	−6.9%	13,259,007	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10	Jedrzejek David	officer	Sale	4,341 @ $20.60	$89K	−4.4% of holding	+1.7%	−6.9%	93,571	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-01	Peter E. Haas Jr. Family Fund	tenPercentOwner	Sale	150,000 @ $24.19	$3.6M	−100.0% of holding	−18.0%	−20.2%	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-01	Haas Margaret E.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	50,000 @ $24.14	$1.2M	−100.0% of holding	−18.0%	−20.2%	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-11	Haas Margaret E.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	25,723 @ $20.07	$516K	−0.2% of holding	+4.8%	+0.3%	13,375,655	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-14	Haas Bradley J.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	1,150 @ $21.32	$25K	−100.0% of holding	−6.1%	−10.4%	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-11	Stirling Lisa	officer	Sale	3,629 @ $22.00	$80K	−7.5% of holding	−9.2%	−11.5%	44,866	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-23	Jedrzejek David	officer	Sale	461 @ $18.00	$8K	−0.4% of holding	+11.4%	+8.1%	103,143	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-20	Jedrzejek David	officer	Sale	15,000 @ $18.00	$270K	−12.6% of holding	−1.9%	+3.6%	104,119	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

270 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-05	Beraud Jill	director	Award / grant	92	14,463	Form 4
2026-08-05	ECKERT ROBERT	director	Award / grant	381	103,606	Form 4
2026-08-05	Beraud Jill	director	Award / grant	54	181,261	Form 4
2026-08-05	ECKERT ROBERT	director	Award / grant	293	220,268	Form 4
2026-08-05	Alstead Troy	director	Award / grant	304	47,382	Form 4
2026-08-05	Alstead Troy	director	Award / grant	85	136,111	Form 4
2026-08-05	Garten Yael	director	Award / grant	156	69,253	Form 4
2026-08-05	Geballe Daniel W	director	Award / grant	130	20,423	Form 4
2026-08-05	Jones Jeffrey J II	director	Award / grant	67	10,590	Form 4
2026-08-05	Patrick Artemis	director	Award / grant	68	22,777	Form 4
2026-08-05	MARBERGER DAVID S	director	Award / grant	73	31,366	Form 4
2026-08-05	MING JENNY J	director	Award / grant	54	73,087	Form 4
2026-08-05	MING JENNY J	director	Award / grant	104	60,191	Form 4
2026-08-05	Prime Joshua E	director	Award / grant	106	73,422	Form 4
2026-07-29	Flore Gianluca	officer	Withheld for tax	27,429	157,187	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Withheld for tax	256,918	244,730	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Withheld for tax	72,015	17,425	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	73,616	356,184	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	65,789	231,961	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	89,440	89,440	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	66,207	422,391	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Withheld for tax	47,839	196,891	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	50,607	282,568	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	47,710	470,101	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	31,547	501,648	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	31,547	0	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	73,616	0	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	89,440	0	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Conversion	17,425	166,172	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Conversion	17,425	0	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	65,789	0	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	50,607	0	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	66,207	0	Form 4
2026-07-23	Singh Harmit J	director	Option exercise	47,710	0	Form 4
2026-06-12	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	202,135	25,041,560	Form 4
2026-06-12	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	0	0	Form 4
2026-06-12	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	0	450,000	Form 4
2026-06-12	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	0	9,908,392	Form 4
2026-06-12	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	202,135	202,135	Form 4
2026-06-11	Haas Robert D.	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	488,851	488,851	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i