LEUCentrus Energy Corp.Energy · Uraniumas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $139.01 · now $139.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LEU has typically landed between $99.51 and $211.96 — a range of −28.4% to +52.5% from the issuance price $139.01.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,999 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($139.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LEU has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $139.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$99.51worst · -28.4%$211.96best · +52.5%
  • now $139.01 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $139.16 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $119.62–$158.71
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $99.51–$211.96
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,999 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2014-09-04−86.8%−86.8%+0.0%
2014-09-03−86.6%−86.6%+1.0%
2014-09-02−85.9%−85.9%+3.0%
3 best
2013-07-09+539.5%−1.8%+793.0%
2013-07-11+518.6%+0.0%+809.8%
2013-07-08+518.5%+0.0%+880.3%

4,999 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+5.3%
n=20
Feb
55%
+0.3%
n=20
Mar
30%
+1.6%
n=20
Apr
60%
+2.8%
n=20
May
35%
+5.1%
n=20
Jun
35%
+0.3%
n=20
Jul
50%
+15.3%
n=20
Aug
30%
−4.1%
n=20
Sep
50%
−1.2%
n=20
Oct
50%
+5.5%
n=20
Nov
40%
+0.3%
n=20
Dec
45%
−3.2%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$436$1392026-05-11: 1 insider sale, $62K — TINELLI TODD M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $62K↑ buys↓ salesofficer TINELLI TODD M — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-11TINELLI TODD MofficerSale306 @ $203.55$62K−100.0% of holding−29.4%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-30HARRILL KEVIN JofficerSale1,728 @ $126.00$218K−100.0% of holding+27.8%+87.7%0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-13Donelson John M AofficerSale3,732 @ $96.31$359K−100.0% of holding+68.3%+180.6%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-12CUTLIP LARRY BofficerSale4,000 @ $120.31$481K−29.8% of holding−28.9%+51.7%9,402Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

53 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11TINELLI TODD MofficerWithheld for tax206250Form 4
2026-08-11TINELLI TODD MofficerAward / grant456456Form 4
2026-08-11TINELLI TODD MofficerOption exercise4561,474Form 4
2026-06-26Madia William JdirectorWithheld for tax34557,443Form 4
2026-06-26Williams Mikel HdirectorWithheld for tax30252,234Form 4
2026-06-26Jonas Tina WdirectorWithheld for tax29315,480Form 4
2026-06-26Rothrock Ray A.directorWithheld for tax2352,680Form 4
2026-06-26DONALD KIRKLAND HdirectorWithheld for tax2958,693Form 4
2026-06-18DONALD KIRKLAND HdirectorAward / grant7578,988Form 4
2026-06-18Jonas Tina WdirectorAward / grant75715,773Form 4
2026-06-18Madia William JdirectorAward / grant75757,788Form 4
2026-06-18Rothrock Ray A.directorAward / grant7572,915Form 4
2026-06-18Williams Mikel HdirectorAward / grant75752,536Form 4
2026-06-17BROWN PATRICK SIDNEYofficerAward / grant462462Form 4
2026-06-17DAI YANHONGofficerAward / grant110365Form 4
2026-06-17Donelson John M AofficerAward / grant490490Form 4
2026-06-17NAGARAJAN NEAL KANTHofficerAward / grant4491,792Form 4
2026-06-17Emery Richard Dingley IIIofficerAward / grant396677Form 4
2026-06-17TINELLI TODD MofficerAward / grant5611,930Form 4
2026-06-17VEXLER AMIR VADIMdirectorAward / grant1,71213,712Form 4
2026-04-21BROWN PATRICK SIDNEYofficerWithheld for tax3892,452Form 4
2026-04-21BROWN PATRICK SIDNEYofficerAward / grant1,5962,841Form 4
2026-04-21BROWN PATRICK SIDNEYofficerOption exercise1,5960Form 4
2026-03-15Donelson John M AofficerWithheld for tax8361,941Form 4
2026-03-15Donelson John M AofficerAward / grant2,7772,777Form 4
2025-12-04VEXLER AMIR VADIMdirectorWithheld for tax1,8044,392Form 4
2025-12-04VEXLER AMIR VADIMdirectorOption exercise4,00012,000Form 4
2025-12-04VEXLER AMIR VADIMdirectorOption exercise4,0006,196Form 4
2025-08-11TINELLI TODD MofficerWithheld for tax150306Form 4
2025-08-11TINELLI TODD MofficerAward / grant456456Form 4
2025-08-11TINELLI TODD MofficerAward / grant1,3691,369Form 4
2025-06-20Williams Mikel HdirectorAward / grant68453,492Form 4
2025-06-20Williams Mikel HdirectorWithheld for tax1,71351,779Form 4
2025-06-20SAWATZKE BRADLEY JdirectorWithheld for tax2,7345,949Form 4
2025-06-20DONALD KIRKLAND HdirectorAward / grant6849,549Form 4
2025-06-20DONALD KIRKLAND HdirectorWithheld for tax1,3188,231Form 4
2025-06-20Madia William JdirectorAward / grant68458,606Form 4
2025-06-20Rothrock Ray A.directorAward / grant6843,733Form 4
2025-06-20Rothrock Ray A.directorWithheld for tax1,5752,158Form 4
2025-06-20Madia William JdirectorWithheld for tax1,57557,031Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.