LENZLENZ Therapeutics, Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.14 · now $4.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LENZ has typically landed between $2.73 and $5.43 — a range of −34.0% to +31.1% from the issuance price $4.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,289 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LENZ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.73worst · -34.0%$5.43best · +31.1%
  • now $4.14 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.05 (-2.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.5–$4.6
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.73–$5.43
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,289 windows spanning 2021-06-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-03-10−54.7%−54.7%+0.0%
2022-03-17−54.4%−54.4%+0.0%
2025-10-07−54.3%−54.3%+3.5%
3 best
2024-02-26+431.7%+0.0%+431.7%
2024-02-23+424.3%+0.0%+424.3%
2024-03-08+399.5%+0.0%+413.3%

1,289 overlapping windows · 2021-06-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
20%
−13.8%
n=5
Feb
40%
+3.2%
n=5
Mar
40%
+62.1%
n=5
Apr
40%
−2.1%
n=5
May
20%
−13.5%
n=5
Jun
60%
−0.9%
n=5
Jul
50%
+3.3%
n=6
Aug
33%
+1.2%
n=6
Sep
50%
−1.2%
n=6
Oct
60%
−6.8%
n=5
Nov
60%
−0.6%
n=5
Dec
40%
−3.8%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$49$42026-03-27: 3 insider purchases, $366K — Schimmelpennink Evert B., Chevallard Daniel R., George Jeffrey P.2025-11-17: 2 insider sales, $261K — Olsson Shawn …2025-11-07: 3 insider purchases, $289K — MCCOLLUM JAMES W, Chevallard Daniel R. …2025-09-30: 6 insider sales, $10.4M — Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. …2025-09-18: 6 insider sales, $5.7M — Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. …2025-08-26: 4 insider sales, $2.8M — Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. …2025-08-25: 4 insider sales, $3.1M — Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. …2025-08-22: 4 insider sales, $1.6M — Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. …2025-08-18: 2 insider sales, $1.8M — Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. …2025-08-15: 2 insider sales, $8.5M — Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. …2025-08: 16 open-market sales, $17.7M2025-09: 12 open-market sales, $16.1M2025-11: 3 open-market purchases, $289K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $261K2026-03: 3 open-market purchases, $366K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Schimmelpennink Evert B. — Purchase on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Chevallard Daniel R. — Purchase on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the tradedirector George Jeffrey P. — Purchase on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Olsson Shawn — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Olsson Shawn — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MCCOLLUM JAMES W — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Chevallard Daniel R. — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed same dayofficer Chevallard Daniel R. — Purchase on 2025-11-07, filed same daytenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-26, filed same daytenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-26, filed same daytenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-26, filed same daytenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-26, filed same daytenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-25, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-25, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-25, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-25, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-27Schimmelpennink Evert B.directorPurchase28,089 @ $8.95$251K+57.1% of holding−1.6%not yet — horizon still open77,289Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-27Chevallard Daniel R.officerPurchase7,500 @ $8.57$64K+139.2% of holding−1.6%not yet — horizon still open12,886Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-27George Jeffrey P.directorPurchase5,592 @ $8.92$50Kownership Δ n/a−1.6%not yet — horizon still open5,592Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-17Olsson ShawnofficerSale5,788 @ $26.37$153K−55.0% of holding−37.2%−84.0%4,733Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17Olsson ShawnofficerSale4,212 @ $25.74$108K−28.6% of holding−37.2%−84.0%10,521Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-07MCCOLLUM JAMES WdirectorPurchase10,500 @ $22.79$239Kownership Δ n/a+13.4%−76.2%10,500Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-07Chevallard Daniel R.officerPurchase2,178 @ $22.76$50K+67.9% of holding+13.4%−76.2%5,386Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-07Chevallard Daniel R.officerPurchase20 @ $22.71$454+0.6% of holding+13.4%−76.2%3,208Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-30Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale83,066 @ $46.41$3.9M−7.3% of holding−37.4%−78.8%1,050,776Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-30Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale57,502 @ $46.41$2.7M−7.0% of holding−37.4%−78.8%764,250Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-30Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale49,701 @ $45.35$2.3M−4.2% of holding−37.4%−78.8%1,133,842Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-30Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale34,405 @ $45.35$1.6M−4.0% of holding−37.4%−78.8%821,752Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-30Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale177 @ $47.01$8K−0.0% of holding−37.4%−78.8%1,050,599Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-30Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale123 @ $47.01$6K−0.0% of holding−37.4%−78.8%764,127Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-18Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale49,479 @ $41.59$2.1M−3.9% of holding−8.8%−73.6%1,224,718Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-18Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale40,907 @ $43.00$1.8M−3.3% of holding−8.8%−73.6%1,183,811Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-18Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale24,370 @ $41.59$1.0M−2.7% of holding−8.8%−73.6%876,437Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-18Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale20,148 @ $43.00$866K−2.3% of holding−8.8%−73.6%856,289Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-18Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale268 @ $43.30$12K−0.0% of holding−8.8%−73.6%1,183,543Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-18Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale132 @ $43.30$6K−0.0% of holding−8.8%−73.6%856,157Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-26Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale43,978 @ $38.97$1.7M−3.3% of holding+1.3%−72.5%1,277,662Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-26Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale21,661 @ $38.97$844K−2.3% of holding+1.3%−72.5%902,514Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-26Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale3,465 @ $39.50$137K−0.3% of holding+1.3%−72.5%1,274,197Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-26Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale1,707 @ $39.50$67K−0.2% of holding+1.3%−72.5%900,807Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-25Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale50,270 @ $39.53$2.0M−3.7% of holding+0.2%−75.2%1,323,789Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale24,760 @ $39.53$979K−2.6% of holding+0.2%−75.2%925,233Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale2,149 @ $39.92$86K−0.2% of holding+0.2%−75.2%1,321,640Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale1,058 @ $39.92$42K−0.1% of holding+0.2%−75.2%924,175Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale20,493 @ $40.03$820K−1.5% of holding−1.7%−75.1%1,379,727Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-22Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale10,076 @ $40.03$403K−1.0% of holding−1.7%−75.1%952,802Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-22Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale5,668 @ $40.59$230K−0.4% of holding−1.7%−75.1%1,374,059Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-22Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale2,809 @ $40.59$114K−0.3% of holding−1.7%−75.1%949,993Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-18Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale30,628 @ $38.56$1.2M−2.1% of holding+6.5%−74.4%1,400,220Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-18Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale15,085 @ $38.56$582K−1.5% of holding+6.5%−74.4%962,878Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-15Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale145,051 @ $39.50$5.7M−9.2% of holding+6.5%−72.3%1,430,848Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-15Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale69,949 @ $39.50$2.8M−6.7% of holding+6.5%−72.3%977,963Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-10Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale191,376 @ $34.00$6.5M−10.8% of holding−0.6%−66.3%1,575,899Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-27Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale200,000 @ $30.46$6.1M−10.2% of holding+1.6%−57.0%1,767,275Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-20Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale133,924 @ $30.25$4.1M−6.4% of holding+4.3%−57.1%1,967,275Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-20Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale100,877 @ $30.35$3.1M−8.8% of holding+4.3%−57.1%1,047,912Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-18Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale100,000 @ $29.95$3.0M−8.0% of holding+6.3%−58.5%1,148,789Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-10Versant Venture Capital VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale350,000 @ $29.00$10.2M−21.9% of holding+19.8%−19.7%1,248,789Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

33 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-15Thunen Shelley BdirectorAward / grant22,10022,100Form 4
2026-06-15RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorAward / grant22,10022,100Form 4
2026-06-15MCCOLLUM JAMES WdirectorAward / grant22,10022,100Form 4
2026-06-15Scheiner ZacharydirectorAward / grant22,10022,100Form 4
2026-06-15Drapkin Kimberlee CdirectorAward / grant22,10022,100Form 4
2026-06-15George Jeffrey P.directorAward / grant22,10022,100Form 4
2026-06-15Guerard FredericdirectorAward / grant22,10022,100Form 4
2026-01-02Chevallard Daniel R.officerAward / grant14,00014,000Form 4
2026-01-02Odrich MarcofficerAward / grant14,00014,000Form 4
2026-01-02Chevallard Daniel R.officerAward / grant84,20084,200Form 4
2026-01-02Schimmelpennink Evert B.directorAward / grant358,100358,100Form 4
2026-01-02Olsson ShawnofficerAward / grant84,20084,200Form 4
2026-01-02Olsson ShawnofficerAward / grant14,00014,000Form 4
2026-01-02Odrich MarcofficerAward / grant84,20084,200Form 4
2025-11-17Olsson ShawnofficerOption exercise10,00014,733Form 4
2025-11-17Olsson ShawnofficerOption exercise10,00053,241Form 4
2025-06-11RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.directorAward / grant13,50013,500Form 4
2025-06-11Drapkin Kimberlee CdirectorAward / grant13,50013,500Form 4
2025-06-11Scheiner ZacharydirectorAward / grant13,50013,500Form 4
2025-06-11George Jeffrey P.directorAward / grant13,50013,500Form 4
2025-06-11Guerard FredericdirectorAward / grant13,50013,500Form 4
2025-06-11MCCOLLUM JAMES WdirectorAward / grant13,50013,500Form 4
2025-06-11Thunen Shelley BdirectorAward / grant13,50013,500Form 4
2025-04-09Olsson ShawnofficerOption exercise1,4004,733Form 4
2025-04-09Olsson ShawnofficerOption exercise1,40063,241Form 4
2025-03-07Schimmelpennink Evert B.directorOption exercise4,20049,200Form 4
2025-03-07Schimmelpennink Evert B.directorOption exercise4,200337,906Form 4
2025-01-09Chevallard Daniel R.officerAward / grant70,44470,444Form 4
2025-01-09Odrich MarcofficerAward / grant80,10080,100Form 4
2025-01-09Schimmelpennink Evert B.directorAward / grant279,100279,100Form 4
2025-01-09Olsson ShawnofficerAward / grant80,10080,100Form 4
2024-12-16Olsson ShawnofficerOption exercise3,3333,333Form 4
2024-12-16Olsson ShawnofficerOption exercise3,33364,641Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.