Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.00 · now $10.00 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LEGO has typically landed between $9.89 and $10.06 — a range of −1.1% to +0.6% from the issuance price $10.00.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
104 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-03-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LEGO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $10 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $10.02 (+0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.01–$10.04
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.89–$10.06
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-05-11 | −0.9% | −0.9% | +0.4% |
| 2026-03-31 | −0.5% | −0.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-25 | −0.3% | −0.6% | +0.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-06-10 | +1.6% | +0.0% | +1.6% |
| 2026-05-05 | +0.9% | +0.0% | +0.9% |
| 2026-05-07 | +0.8% | +0.0% | +0.8% |
104 overlapping windows · 2026-03-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | ROSENFELD ERIC | director | Purchase | 47,566 @ $0.00 | $143 | +3.3% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,487,566 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Monahan Gregory R | director | Purchase | 27,919 @ $0.00 | $84 | +1.7% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,663,894 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Jaffe Adam H | director | Purchase | 12,409 @ $0.00 | $37 | +2.5% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 513,609 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Jaffe Adam H | director | Purchase | 10,340 @ $0.00 | $31 | +1.7% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 615,257 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Nadeem Shahrez | officer | Purchase | 2,585 @ $0.00 | $8 | +1.7% of holding | −0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 154,064 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Pratt Brian | director | Sale | 40,000 @ $0.00 | $120 | −3.3% of holding | −3.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,160,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | ROSENFELD ERIC | director | Purchase | 1,440,000 @ $0.00 | $4K | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,440,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | ROSENFELD ERIC | director | Sale | 1,440,000 @ $0.00 | $4K | −51.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,348,217 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.