LEG · TickerCove

LEGLeggett & Platt, Incorporatedas of 2026-09-04

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-04 at $9.20 · now $9.20 (2026-08-26, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-04 close, LEG has typically landed between $7.63 and $10.74 — a range of −17.1% to +16.8% from the issuance price $9.20.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,659 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-07-10 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 54.0% (90% CI 51.7–56.2%, ≈1,353 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-04 issuance close ($9.20) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-05, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$9.2 · 20% of range

$8.32 low$12.76 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-08-26 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,353 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

54.0%

90% CI 51.7%–56.2%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−2.9%

typical move · IQR 12.6%

−17.1%worst (p90)+16.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

5 buys · 6 sells · 3 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where LEG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-04 close of $9.2 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $9.2 (+0.0%)
typical $8.93 (-2.9%)
middle 50% $8.35–$9.51
90% range $7.63–$10.74

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,659 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-08-26. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−49.1%	−49.1%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−46.6%	−46.6%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−46.5%	−46.5%	+0.3%
3 best
2008-07-11	+47.4%	−1.8%	+47.4%
2025-04-16	+45.6%	+0.0%	+48.3%
2008-07-14	+44.4%	+0.0%	+50.1%

4,659 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-26 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

33%

−1.2%

n=18

Feb

58%

−1.4%

n=19

Mar

58%

−0.4%

n=19

Apr

68%

+4.4%

n=19

May

42%

−1.7%

n=19

Jun

53%

+0.9%

n=19

Jul

58%

+3.0%

n=19

Aug

47%

−1.1%

n=19

Sep

50%

−0.1%

n=18

Oct

56%

+0.4%

n=18

Nov

83%

+1.6%

n=18

Dec

61%

+0.8%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

300 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-26	GLASSMAN KARL G	director	Disposition	55,051	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	GLASSMAN KARL G	director	Disposition	40,917	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	Shah Jai	director	Disposition	13,021	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	Shah Jai	director	Disposition	12,865	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	CAMPBELL MARYELIZABETH R	director	Disposition	4,274	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	KLEIBOEKER RYAN MICHAEL	officer	Award / grant	75,292	186,974	Form 4
2026-08-26	SMITH ROBERT S JR	officer	Award / grant	139,250	291,043	Form 4
2026-08-26	DAVIS JENNIFER JOY	officer	Award / grant	121,492	241,270	Form 4
2026-08-26	BURNS BENJAMIN MICHAEL	officer	Award / grant	170,312	362,965	Form 4
2026-08-26	ODAFFER LINDSEY NICOLE	officer	Award / grant	63,744	150,903	Form 4
2026-08-26	HAGALE JAMES TYSON	officer	Award / grant	172,086	367,879	Form 4
2026-08-26	GLASSMAN KARL G	director	Award / grant	1,167,344	2,308,087	Form 4
2026-08-26	TRENT TAMMY M	officer	Award / grant	42,054	124,309	Form 4
2026-08-26	GLASSMAN KARL G	director	Disposition	2,308,087	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	TRENT TAMMY M	officer	Disposition	18,773	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	SMITH ROBERT S JR	officer	Award / grant	139,244	139,244	Form 4
2026-08-26	TRENT TAMMY M	officer	Disposition	124,309	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	ODAFFER LINDSEY NICOLE	officer	Disposition	25	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	ODAFFER LINDSEY NICOLE	officer	Disposition	63,744	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	ODAFFER LINDSEY NICOLE	officer	Disposition	25	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	TRENT TAMMY M	officer	Award / grant	42,048	42,048	Form 4
2026-08-26	Padmanabhan Srikanth	director	Disposition	69,845	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	Padmanabhan Srikanth	director	Disposition	69,845	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	SMITH ROBERT S JR	officer	Disposition	291,043	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	MCCLANATHAN JOSEPH W	director	Disposition	120,307	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	ODAFFER LINDSEY NICOLE	officer	Award / grant	63,744	63,744	Form 4
2026-08-26	TRENT TAMMY M	officer	Award / grant	42,048	42,048	Form 4
2026-08-26	TRENT TAMMY M	officer	Disposition	42,048	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	Shah Jai	director	Disposition	72,004	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	MCCLANATHAN JOSEPH W	director	Disposition	120,307	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	WOOD PHOEBE A	director	Disposition	400	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	Shah Jai	director	Disposition	72,004	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	WOOD PHOEBE A	director	Disposition	400	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	ODAFFER LINDSEY NICOLE	officer	Disposition	63,744	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	TRENT TAMMY M	officer	Disposition	124,309	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	KLEIBOEKER RYAN MICHAEL	officer	Disposition	75,284	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	TRENT TAMMY M	officer	Disposition	124,309	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	DAVIS JENNIFER JOY	officer	Award / grant	121,486	121,486	Form 4
2026-08-26	WOOD PHOEBE A	director	Disposition	94,343	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	BURNS BENJAMIN MICHAEL	officer	Disposition	25	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-04 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Gary Peters	Senate	sale	2024-11-14	2024-10-31	$1–15K
Earl Blumenauer	House	sale	2021-06-09	2021-05-28	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2020-06-17	2020-05-20	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2020-05-13	2020-04-07	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2019-07-11	2019-06-03	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2019-05-10	2019-04-29	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2018-11-09	2018-10-25	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2018-06-08	2018-05-08	$1–15K
Earl Blumenauer	House	purchase	2018-05-11	2018-05-04	$1–15K
Earl Blumenauer	House	purchase	2018-04-05	2018-03-07	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2018-03-09	2018-02-27	$1–15K

Resolves in i

18d remaining

2026-09-0543% elapsed2026-10-05

Logged immutably 2026-09-05; scored automatically on 2026-10-05 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i