Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.32 · now $7.32 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LEE has typically landed between $5.60 and $10.15 — a range of −23.5% to +38.7% from the issuance price $7.32.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.32) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LEE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.32 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.32 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.95 (-5.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.2–$7.69
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.6–$10.15
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-11-18 | −80.3% | −80.3% | +0.0% |
| 2008-11-07 | −78.1% | −78.1% | +0.0% |
| 2008-11-13 | −77.7% | −80.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-07-10 | +370.0% | +0.0% | +370.0% |
| 2009-04-09 | +358.3% | −2.8% | +358.3% |
| 2009-04-07 | +351.4% | +0.0% | +351.4% |
5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
75%
+13.0%
n=20
Feb
35%
+1.4%
n=20
Mar
40%
−2.6%
n=20
Apr
30%
−3.4%
n=20
May
50%
+7.8%
n=20
Jun
30%
−7.0%
n=20
Jul
35%
+4.6%
n=20
Aug
45%
−0.5%
n=20
Sep
40%
+4.3%
n=20
Oct
45%
−0.6%
n=20
Nov
50%
+0.2%
n=20
Dec
45%
−0.1%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | MOLONEY HERBERT W III | director | Sale | 24,000 @ $9.82 | $236K | −51.0% of holding | −26.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,037 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 1,566 @ $9.82 | $15K | +0.0% of holding | −26.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,522,808 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-10 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 1,500 @ $10.47 | $16K | +0.0% of holding | −26.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,521,242 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $10.80 | $27K | +0.0% of holding | −24.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,519,742 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 6,925 @ $10.86 | $75K | +0.1% of holding | −24.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,517,242 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-05 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 18,200 @ $10.85 | $197K | +0.2% of holding | −14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,510,317 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 18,200 @ $11.08 | $202K | +0.2% of holding | −14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,492,117 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 18,200 @ $10.58 | $193K | +0.2% of holding | −13.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,473,917 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 18,200 @ $10.90 | $198K | +0.2% of holding | −17.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,455,717 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 13,700 @ $11.74 | $161K | +0.1% of holding | −16.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,405,949 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 13,700 @ $10.54 | $144K | +0.1% of holding | −18.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,392,249 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 13,700 @ $10.05 | $138K | +0.1% of holding | −6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,378,549 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-26 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 13,700 @ $9.99 | $137K | +0.1% of holding | −9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,364,849 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 10,600 @ $9.56 | $101K | +0.1% of holding | −5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,351,149 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 10,600 @ $9.96 | $106K | +0.1% of holding | −3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,340,549 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-20 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 10,600 @ $9.79 | $104K | +0.1% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,329,949 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 10,600 @ $8.94 | $95K | +0.1% of holding | +2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,319,349 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 10,600 @ $8.93 | $95K | +0.1% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,308,749 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-15 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 8,100 @ $8.71 | $71K | +0.1% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,298,149 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 8,100 @ $7.78 | $63K | +0.1% of holding | +21.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,290,049 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 7,400 @ $7.99 | $59K | +0.1% of holding | +26.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,281,949 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 8,100 @ $7.82 | $63K | +0.1% of holding | +28.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,274,549 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 27,800 @ $9.35 | $260K | +0.2% of holding | −16.3% | −35.5% | 11,266,449 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-12 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 27,800 @ $9.40 | $261K | +0.2% of holding | −9.7% | −29.1% | 11,238,649 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 27,800 @ $9.33 | $259K | +0.2% of holding | −9.4% | −32.3% | 11,210,849 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 27,800 @ $8.99 | $250K | +0.2% of holding | +0.1% | −27.0% | 11,183,049 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-09 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 27,800 @ $9.30 | $259K | +0.3% of holding | −0.8% | −24.3% | 11,136,249 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | MAGID BRENT | director | Sale | 26,804 @ $9.08 | $243K | −75.4% of holding | −7.6% | −31.2% | 8,760 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 19,000 @ $9.19 | $175K | +0.2% of holding | −7.6% | −31.2% | 11,127,449 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 19,000 @ $9.26 | $176K | +0.2% of holding | −2.3% | −25.5% | 11,108,449 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 19,000 @ $9.16 | $174K | +0.2% of holding | −6.2% | −24.8% | 11,089,449 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 19,000 @ $9.16 | $174K | +0.2% of holding | −2.4% | −25.2% | 11,070,449 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-03 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,000 @ $8.99 | $18K | +0.1% of holding | −2.4% | −25.2% | 3,239,800 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,000 @ $8.84 | $18K | +0.1% of holding | −2.4% | −25.2% | 3,243,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,500 @ $9.20 | $14K | +0.0% of holding | −2.4% | −25.2% | 3,241,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000 @ $9.17 | $9K | +0.0% of holding | −2.4% | −25.2% | 3,237,800 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000 @ $8.80 | $9K | +0.0% of holding | −2.4% | −25.2% | 3,244,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $9.87 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −2.4% | −25.2% | 3,235,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $9.85 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −2.4% | −25.2% | 3,235,800 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $9.60 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −2.4% | −25.2% | 3,236,300 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $9.32 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −2.4% | −25.2% | 3,236,800 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $9.05 | $5K | +0.0% of holding | −2.4% | −25.2% | 3,244,800 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 19,000 @ $8.85 | $168K | +0.2% of holding | −3.4% | −27.2% | 11,051,449 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 6,000 @ $8.76 | $53K | +0.2% of holding | −3.4% | −27.2% | 3,227,550 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,000 @ $8.88 | $27K | +0.1% of holding | −3.4% | −27.2% | 3,219,550 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,000 @ $8.75 | $26K | +0.1% of holding | −3.4% | −27.2% | 3,230,550 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,204 @ $9.25 | $20K | +0.1% of holding | −3.4% | −27.2% | 3,216,550 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,000 @ $8.98 | $18K | +0.1% of holding | −3.4% | −27.2% | 3,234,550 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,000 @ $8.97 | $18K | +0.1% of holding | −3.4% | −27.2% | 3,232,550 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,000 @ $8.77 | $18K | +0.1% of holding | −3.4% | −27.2% | 3,221,550 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Quint Digital Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 250 @ $8.94 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −3.4% | −27.2% | 3,234,800 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 15,200 @ $9.11 | $138K | +0.1% of holding | +8.4% | −16.4% | 11,032,449 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 15,200 @ $9.03 | $137K | +0.1% of holding | +5.7% | −17.3% | 11,017,249 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-25 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 13,710 @ $8.64 | $118K | +0.1% of holding | +6.0% | −16.8% | 11,002,049 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 15,200 @ $8.84 | $134K | +0.1% of holding | +0.4% | −14.9% | 10,988,339 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 15,200 @ $8.91 | $135K | +0.1% of holding | +2.1% | −13.8% | 10,973,139 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-20 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 10,600 @ $9.11 | $97K | +0.1% of holding | +2.5% | −16.8% | 10,957,939 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 10,600 @ $7.81 | $83K | +0.1% of holding | −5.2% | −16.6% | 10,947,339 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 10,600 @ $7.17 | $76K | +0.1% of holding | +22.2% | +1.0% | 10,936,739 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-17 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Purchase | 10,600 @ $7.10 | $75K | +0.1% of holding | +24.5% | +0.7% | 10,926,139 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
85 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Award / grant | 7,813 | 11,530,621 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Fletcher Steven C. | director | Award / grant | 5,469 | 38,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | McIntosh Madeline E. | director | Award / grant | 5,313 | 25,159 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | KRUSZEWSKI RONALD J | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 11,112 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | McAlmont Shaun | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 35,183 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Rinehults Joshua Paul | officer | Award / grant | 55,419 | 57,597 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Rinehults Joshua Paul | officer | Award / grant | 55,419 | 55,419 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | BEKKE NATHAN E. | officer | Award / grant | 107,759 | 143,696 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | BEKKE NATHAN E. | officer | Award / grant | 107,759 | 107,759 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | JUNCK MARY E | director | Gift | 62,430 | 163,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | McAlmont Shaun | director | Award / grant | 7,334 | 30,183 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Fletcher Steven C. | director | Award / grant | 7,678 | 33,404 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Hoffmann David Henry | director | Award / grant | 13,368 | 11,437,517 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | JUNCK MARY E | director | Award / grant | 11,917 | 225,978 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | KRUSZEWSKI RONALD J | director | Award / grant | 6,112 | 6,112 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | McIntosh Madeline E. | director | Award / grant | 7,563 | 19,846 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | MOLONEY HERBERT W III | director | Award / grant | 8,136 | 47,037 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | MOWBRAY KEVIN | director | Withheld for tax | 7,867 | 118,970 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Millage Timothy R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,121 | 22,120 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | MOWBRAY KEVIN | director | Withheld for tax | 768 | 126,837 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | BEKKE NATHAN E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 342 | 35,937 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | Millage Timothy R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 299 | 34,241 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | Battistoni Joseph J | officer | Withheld for tax | 148 | 17,358 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | Garcia Astrid J | officer | Withheld for tax | 100 | 20,534 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | MOWBRAY KEVIN | director | Withheld for tax | 4,223 | 127,605 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Millage Timothy R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,048 | 34,540 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | BEKKE NATHAN E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,970 | 36,279 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Battistoni Joseph J | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,230 | 17,506 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Garcia Astrid J | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,182 | 20,634 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Liberman Margaret R. | director | Award / grant | 8,740 | 26,726 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Fletcher Steven C. | director | Award / grant | 8,740 | 25,726 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | MILLER JON | director | Award / grant | 8,740 | 12,283 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | McIntosh Madeline E. | director | Award / grant | 8,740 | 12,283 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | McAlmont Shaun | director | Award / grant | 8,740 | 22,849 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | MOLONEY HERBERT W III | director | Award / grant | 8,740 | 38,901 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | MAGID BRENT | director | Award / grant | 8,740 | 35,564 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | MOWBRAY KEVIN | director | Award / grant | 8,182 | 137,899 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | MOWBRAY KEVIN | director | Award / grant | 13,380 | 13,380 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | MOWBRAY KEVIN | director | Award / grant | 16,374 | 16,374 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | Millage Timothy R. | officer | Award / grant | 5,203 | 5,203 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.