LE · TickerCove

LELands' End, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Retailas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.29 · now $10.29 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LE has typically landed between $7.67 and $13.28 — a range of −25.5% to +29.0% from the issuance price $10.29.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,120 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-03-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.29) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$10.29 · 2% of range

$10.09 low$19.15 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.2%

typical move · IQR 21.4%

−25.5%worst (p90)+29.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where LE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.29 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $10.29 (+0.0%)
typical $10.27 (-0.2%)
middle 50% $9.17–$11.37
90% range $7.67–$13.28

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,120 windows spanning 2014-03-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-13	−58.4%	−58.4%	+6.3%
2020-02-20	−55.2%	−60.3%	+0.0%
2020-03-04	−53.8%	−53.8%	+0.0%
3 best
2017-11-16	+75.1%	+0.0%	+75.1%
2020-03-30	+73.1%	−18.9%	+73.1%
2020-08-03	+70.4%	+0.0%	+70.4%

3,120 overlapping windows · 2014-03-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

42%

−0.3%

n=12

Feb

58%

+1.7%

n=12

Mar

42%

−3.2%

n=12

Apr

38%

−0.8%

n=13

May

46%

−9.6%

n=13

Jun

46%

+11.0%

n=13

Jul

54%

+3.8%

n=13

Aug

46%

+3.0%

n=13

Sep

38%

−4.0%

n=13

Oct

58%

+4.5%

n=12

Nov

75%

+9.9%

n=12

Dec

33%

+1.1%

n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-04-01	LAMPERT EDWARD S	tenPercentOwner	Sale	1,300,505 @ $45.00	$58.5M	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	15,813,925	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	McLean Andrew J.	director	Sale	16,918 @ $45.00	$761K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	205,719	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	GRAY PETER L	officer	Sale	11,454 @ $45.00	$515K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	139,279	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	Linden Josephine	director	Sale	3,482 @ $45.00	$157K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	42,335	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	McCRACKEN BERNARD LOUIS III	officer	Sale	3,362 @ $45.00	$151K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	40,881	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	Galvin Robert	director	Sale	2,548 @ $45.00	$115K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	30,979	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	Maas Kym	officer	Sale	1,440 @ $45.00	$65K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	17,509	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	LEYKUM ELIZABETH	director	Sale	935 @ $45.00	$42K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	11,364	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	MCCLAIN JOHN	director	Sale	832 @ $45.00	$37K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	10,122	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	Hartogensis Gordon	director	Sale	752 @ $45.00	$34K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	9,142	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	Christopher Martin D.	officer	Sale	530 @ $45.00	$24K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	6,444	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	Parker Alicia Uhlman	director	Sale	288 @ $45.00	$13K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	3,508	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	Galvin Robert	director	Sale	266 @ $45.00	$12K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	3,234	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	Galvin Robert	director	Sale	152 @ $45.00	$7K	−7.6% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	1,848	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01	MCCLAIN JOHN	director	Sale	8 @ $45.00	$360	−8.0% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	92	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

148 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-08	Ferolo James	officer	Award / grant	6,893	6,893	Form 4
2026-07-31	Galvin Robert	director	Award / grant	1,273	33,595	Form 4
2026-07-31	Parker Alicia Uhlman	director	Award / grant	693	4,908	Form 4
2026-07-13	Cole Charlie	director	Award / grant	166,018	166,018	Form 4
2026-07-13	Cole Charlie	director	Award / grant	109,361	109,361	Form 4
2026-06-14	McLean Andrew J.	director	Withheld for tax	34,672	271,200	Form 4
2026-06-14	GRAY PETER L	officer	Withheld for tax	10,704	162,475	Form 4
2026-06-14	Maas Kym	officer	Withheld for tax	3,903	35,706	Form 4
2026-06-14	McCRACKEN BERNARD LOUIS III	officer	Withheld for tax	2,183	53,016	Form 4
2026-06-14	McLean Andrew J.	director	Option exercise	73,770	305,872	Form 4
2026-06-14	McLean Andrew J.	director	Option exercise	73,770	278,120	Form 4
2026-06-14	Maas Kym	officer	Option exercise	11,124	39,609	Form 4
2026-06-14	Maas Kym	officer	Option exercise	11,124	62,505	Form 4
2026-06-14	GRAY PETER L	officer	Option exercise	21,736	173,179	Form 4
2026-06-14	GRAY PETER L	officer	Option exercise	21,736	83,574	Form 4
2026-06-14	McCRACKEN BERNARD LOUIS III	officer	Option exercise	4,643	55,199	Form 4
2026-06-14	McCRACKEN BERNARD LOUIS III	officer	Option exercise	4,643	96,868	Form 4
2026-05-01	Galvin Robert	director	Award / grant	1,343	32,322	Form 4
2026-05-01	Parker Alicia Uhlman	director	Award / grant	707	4,215	Form 4
2026-04-01	McLean Andrew J.	director	Withheld for tax	12,925	232,102	Form 4
2026-04-01	McLean Andrew J.	director	Withheld for tax	10,473	217,527	Form 4
2026-04-01	GRAY PETER L	officer	Withheld for tax	8,568	151,443	Form 4
2026-04-01	McCRACKEN BERNARD LOUIS III	officer	Withheld for tax	6,181	50,556	Form 4
2026-04-01	Maas Kym	officer	Withheld for tax	4,613	28,485	Form 4
2026-04-01	Christopher Martin D.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,208	18,858	Form 4
2026-04-01	GRAY PETER L	officer	Withheld for tax	3,233	142,611	Form 4
2026-04-01	McCRACKEN BERNARD LOUIS III	officer	Withheld for tax	2,400	43,587	Form 4
2026-04-01	Christopher Martin D.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,634	9,916	Form 4
2026-04-01	Maas Kym	officer	Withheld for tax	1,319	19,948	Form 4
2026-04-01	McCRACKEN BERNARD LOUIS III	officer	Award / grant	13,150	56,737	Form 4
2026-04-01	GRAY PETER L	officer	Award / grant	17,400	105,310	Form 4
2026-04-01	GRAY PETER L	officer	Option exercise	6,565	87,910	Form 4
2026-04-01	Christopher Martin D.	officer	Option exercise	5,106	11,550	Form 4
2026-04-01	Christopher Martin D.	officer	Award / grant	13,150	23,066	Form 4
2026-04-01	GRAY PETER L	officer	Award / grant	17,400	160,011	Form 4
2026-04-01	Christopher Martin D.	officer	Option exercise	5,106	50,266	Form 4
2026-04-01	Christopher Martin D.	officer	Award / grant	13,150	63,416	Form 4
2026-04-01	GRAY PETER L	officer	Option exercise	6,565	145,844	Form 4
2026-04-01	Maas Kym	officer	Option exercise	3,758	21,267	Form 4
2026-04-01	Maas Kym	officer	Award / grant	13,150	33,098	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i