LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.Technology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $129.35 · now $129.35 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LDOS has typically landed between $114.10 and $147.35 — a range of −11.8% to +13.9% from the issuance price $129.35.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($129.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LDOS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $129.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$114.1worst · -11.8%$147.35best · +13.9%
  • now $129.35 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $130.13 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $123.03–$137.23
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $114.1–$147.35
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−39.3%−39.3%+0.0%
2020-02-20−39.0%−39.0%+0.0%
2020-02-19−36.7%−36.7%+0.0%
3 best
2026-07-21+39.4%+0.0%+39.4%
2020-03-23+37.8%+0.0%+40.2%
2026-07-20+34.1%−2.0%+34.4%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$14.1B
market cap
$10.92
EPS (TTM)
10.3
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$17.2B
'20'25
Net income$1.5B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.6B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr8.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr29.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.21
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $129.35$74.76$585.70
  • DCF (intrinsic)$550.46
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$373.52
  • Analyst target · range $110.00–$215.00$162.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$129.35

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+0.1%
n=18
Feb
42%
+0.6%
n=19
Mar
47%
−0.1%
n=19
Apr
58%
+2.5%
n=19
May
58%
−1.1%
n=19
Jun
42%
−0.4%
n=19
Jul
63%
+2.5%
n=19
Aug
68%
+2.9%
n=19
Sep
37%
−1.5%
n=19
Oct
67%
+3.1%
n=18
Nov
67%
+3.6%
n=18
Dec
61%
+0.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$198$1002026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $141K — May Gary Stephen2026-08-11: 2 insider sales, $1.4M — Geer Noel B …2026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $197K — May Gary Stephen2026-04-07: 2 insider sales, $318K — Porter Elizabeth A …2026-01-20: 1 insider sale, $577K — Porter Elizabeth A2025-12-19: 2 insider sales, $543K — Porter Elizabeth A …2025-09-04: 1 insider sale, $2.2M — Hull Stephen Edward2025-08-25: 1 insider sale, $493K — Stevens Roy E2025-08-20: 1 insider sale, $2.3M — Hull Stephen Edward2025-08: 5 open-market sales, $4.6M2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $2.2M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $543K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $577K2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $318K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $197K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $141K↑ buys↓ salesdirector May Gary Stephen — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Geer Noel B — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Geer Noel B — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector May Gary Stephen — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Porter Elizabeth A — Sale on 2026-04-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Porter Elizabeth A — Sale on 2026-04-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Porter Elizabeth A — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Porter Elizabeth A — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Porter Elizabeth A — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Hull Stephen Edward — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed same dayofficer Stevens Roy E — Sale on 2025-08-25, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hull Stephen Edward — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01May Gary StephendirectorSale1,000 @ $140.85$141K−8.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open10,204Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11Geer Noel BdirectorSale8,500 @ $140.59$1.2M−19.2% of holding−6.7%not yet — horizon still open35,774Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-11Geer Noel BdirectorSale1,500 @ $141.07$212K−4.2% of holding−6.7%not yet — horizon still open34,274Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-07May Gary StephendirectorSale1,484 @ $132.75$197K−12.8% of holding−7.5%not yet — horizon still open10,137Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-07Porter Elizabeth AofficerSale1,915 @ $158.75$304K−3.7% of holding−26.4%not yet — horizon still open49,561Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-07Porter Elizabeth AofficerSale85 @ $159.32$14K−0.2% of holding−26.4%not yet — horizon still open49,476Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-20Porter Elizabeth AofficerSale3,000 @ $192.21$577K−7.2% of holding−8.7%−54.4%38,575Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-19Porter Elizabeth AofficerSale2,303 @ $180.89$417K−5.2% of holding+3.5%−51.5%42,272Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-19Porter Elizabeth AofficerSale697 @ $181.55$127K−1.6% of holding+3.5%−51.5%41,575Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-04Hull Stephen EdwardofficerSale12,497 @ $178.14$2.2M−32.6% of holding+6.4%−4.1%25,817Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-25Stevens Roy EofficerSale2,716 @ $181.66$493K−5.2% of holding+0.2%−14.5%49,934Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-20Hull Stephen EdwardofficerSale12,890 @ $178.27$2.3M−32.8% of holding−0.0%−11.9%26,370Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-11May Gary StephendirectorSale2,000 @ $178.05$356K−16.5% of holding−0.7%+1.0%10,137Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-11Dahlberg Gregory RdirectorSale952 @ $177.43$169K−4.3% of holding−0.7%+1.0%21,068Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-08Hull Stephen EdwardofficerSale7,526 @ $176.39$1.3M−22.1% of holding−0.6%+1.2%26,481Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-09Dahlberg Gregory RdirectorSale1,250 @ $154.55$193K−5.8% of holding−13.4%+7.6%20,195Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

284 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-04Porter Elizabeth AofficerWithheld for tax5,09244,384Form 4
2026-08-04Stevens Roy EofficerWithheld for tax4,58457,637Form 4
2026-08-04Cage Christopher RofficerWithheld for tax4,58460,245Form 4
2026-07-06KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorAward / grant310131,348Form 4
2026-06-30Cage Christopher RofficerAward / grant11331,840Form 4
2026-06-30KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorAward / grant565131,037Form 4
2026-06-30Stevens Roy EofficerAward / grant81,805Form 4
2026-06-30SHAPARD ROBERT SdirectorAward / grant71,632Form 4
2026-06-30Antal Daniel J.officerAward / grant610,743Form 4
2026-05-08Jonas Tina WdirectorAward / grant1,2811,281Form 4
2026-05-08KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorAward / grant1,2811,281Form 4
2026-05-08Fubini David GdirectorAward / grant1,2811,281Form 4
2026-05-08Geer Noel BdirectorAward / grant1,06744,274Form 4
2026-05-08Geer Noel BdirectorAward / grant1,2811,281Form 4
2026-05-08May Gary StephendirectorAward / grant1,06711,204Form 4
2026-05-08May Gary StephendirectorAward / grant1,2811,281Form 4
2026-05-08Dahlberg Gregory RdirectorAward / grant1,06724,036Form 4
2026-05-08Dahlberg Gregory RdirectorAward / grant1,2811,281Form 4
2026-05-08Jonas Tina WdirectorAward / grant1,0672,446Form 4
2026-05-08KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorAward / grant1,067130,472Form 4
2026-05-08Norton Nancy AdirectorAward / grant1,0673,144Form 4
2026-05-08Norton Nancy AdirectorAward / grant1,2811,281Form 4
2026-05-08SHAPARD ROBERT SdirectorAward / grant1,06760,027Form 4
2026-05-08SHAPARD ROBERT SdirectorAward / grant1,2811,281Form 4
2026-05-08Shanahan Patrick MdirectorAward / grant1,2811,281Form 4
2026-05-08Shanahan Patrick MdirectorAward / grant1,0675,762Form 4
2026-05-08Fubini David GdirectorAward / grant1,06717,548Form 4
2026-05-07May Gary StephendirectorWithheld for tax1,86111,621Form 4
2026-05-07May Gary StephendirectorOption exercise3,34513,482Form 4
2026-05-07May Gary StephendirectorOption exercise3,3450Form 4
2026-05-05Bell Thomas ArthurdirectorWithheld for tax2,530108,696Form 4
2026-05-03Antal Daniel J.officerWithheld for tax18814,241Form 4
2026-05-03Antal Daniel J.officerWithheld for tax1810,728Form 4
2026-05-03Antal Daniel J.officerAward / grant910,737Form 4
2026-05-01KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorAward / grant10129,405Form 4
2026-04-10KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorAward / grant221129,395Form 4
2026-03-31Cage Christopher RofficerAward / grant7431,727Form 4
2026-03-31SHAPARD ROBERT SdirectorAward / grant51,625Form 4
2026-03-31KRAEMER HARRY M JANSEN JRdirectorAward / grant364129,175Form 4
2026-03-31Antal Daniel J.officerAward / grant310,746Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatesale2026-07-212026-03-27$15–50K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2025-05-172025-05-13$1–15K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2025-02-062025-02-05$1–15K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2024-10-112024-10-10$1–15K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2024-07-052024-07-02$1–15K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2024-03-222024-03-18$1–15K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2023-11-142023-11-13$15–50K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2023-08-252023-08-15$1–15K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2023-04-042023-03-29$1–15K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2023-01-242022-12-06$15–50K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2022-09-012022-08-30$15–50K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2021-12-232021-12-09$1–15K
Susie LeeHousesale2021-10-122021-09-24$1–15K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2021-09-052021-08-25$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.