LCIILCI IndustriesConsumer Cyclical · Auto - Recreational Vehiclesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $87.11 · now $87.11 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LCII has typically landed between $73.59 and $101.01 — a range of −15.5% to +16.0% from the issuance price $87.11.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($87.11) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LCII has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $87.11 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$73.59worst · -15.5%$101.01best · +16.0%
  • now $87.11 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $87.15 (+0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $80.76–$93.54
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $73.59–$101.01
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−48.9%−48.9%+0.0%
2020-02-21−47.5%−47.5%+0.0%
2020-02-19−44.7%−44.7%+1.0%
3 best
2009-07-07+111.4%+0.0%+111.4%
2009-03-11+109.6%+0.0%+109.6%
2009-07-08+89.1%+0.0%+97.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−0.0%
n=20
Feb
50%
+1.3%
n=20
Mar
20%
−2.3%
n=20
Apr
55%
+4.9%
n=20
May
55%
+2.1%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.0%
n=20
Jul
75%
+5.8%
n=20
Aug
45%
−0.3%
n=20
Sep
50%
−0.4%
n=20
Oct
65%
+0.9%
n=20
Nov
75%
+3.4%
n=20
Dec
65%
+1.6%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$154$822026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — LIPPERT JASON2026-02-23: 2 insider sales, $5.8M — LIPPERT JASON, Schnur Jamie2026-02-20: 3 insider sales, $5.9M — SMITH RYAN RICHARD, LIPPERT JASON, Schnur Jamie2026-02: 6 open-market sales, $13.1M↑ buys↓ salesdirector LIPPERT JASON — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed same daydirector LIPPERT JASON — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schnur Jamie — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer SMITH RYAN RICHARD — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector LIPPERT JASON — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Schnur Jamie — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-24LIPPERT JASONdirectorSale10,000 @ $142.76$1.4M−2.9% of holding−8.1%−36.5%334,973Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-23LIPPERT JASONdirectorSale30,000 @ $145.03$4.4M−8.0% of holding−8.5%−37.4%344,973Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Schnur JamieofficerSale10,000 @ $144.66$1.4M−34.0% of holding−8.5%−37.4%19,420Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-20SMITH RYAN RICHARDofficerSale20,000 @ $147.81$3.0M−66.5% of holding−12.3%−41.2%10,092Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20LIPPERT JASONdirectorSale10,000 @ $148.01$1.5M−2.6% of holding−12.3%−41.2%374,973Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20Schnur JamieofficerSale10,000 @ $147.65$1.5M−25.4% of holding−12.3%−41.2%29,420Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

183 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-18Hureau Robert PauldirectorAward / grant1,1331,133Form 4
2026-06-03LIPPERT JASONdirectorDisposition26,0660Form 4
2026-06-03LIPPERT JASONdirectorDisposition38,0330Form 4
2026-06-03SIRPILLA JOHN A.directorAward / grant16,50316,503Form 4
2026-06-03Graham Tracy DdirectorDisposition1,3350Form 4
2026-05-12GERO JAMESdirectorOption exercise11,8760Form 4
2026-05-12GERO JAMESdirectorOption exercise11,876333,123Form 4
2026-05-12O'SULLIVAN KIERAN MdirectorOption exercise1,76124,722Form 4
2026-05-12GERO JAMESdirectorOption exercise1,7610Form 4
2026-05-12GERO JAMESdirectorOption exercise1,761321,247Form 4
2026-05-12Deely BrendandirectorOption exercise1,76116,160Form 4
2026-05-12Deely BrendandirectorOption exercise1,7610Form 4
2026-05-12O'SULLIVAN KIERAN MdirectorOption exercise1,7610Form 4
2026-05-12Henkels VirginiadirectorOption exercise1,76116,086Form 4
2026-05-12Henkels VirginiadirectorOption exercise1,7610Form 4
2026-05-12Graham Tracy DdirectorOption exercise1,7610Form 4
2026-05-12Mains Stephanie K.directorOption exercise1,7617,254Form 4
2026-05-12Mains Stephanie K.directorOption exercise1,7610Form 4
2026-05-12SIRPILLA JOHN A.directorOption exercise1,76110,294Form 4
2026-05-12SIRPILLA JOHN A.directorOption exercise1,7610Form 4
2026-05-12Graham Tracy DdirectorOption exercise1,76117,427Form 4
2026-05-12Myers Linda KristinedirectorOption exercise1,7615,267Form 4
2026-05-12Myers Linda KristinedirectorOption exercise1,7610Form 4
2026-05-12Deely BrendandirectorAward / grant1,3351,335Form 4
2026-05-12Henkels VirginiadirectorAward / grant1,3351,335Form 4
2026-05-12Mains Stephanie K.directorAward / grant1,3351,335Form 4
2026-05-12Myers Linda KristinedirectorAward / grant1,3351,335Form 4
2026-05-12O'SULLIVAN KIERAN MdirectorAward / grant1,3351,335Form 4
2026-05-12Graham Tracy DdirectorAward / grant1,3351,335Form 4
2026-05-12SIRPILLA JOHN A.directorAward / grant1,3351,335Form 4
2026-04-17Etzkorn LilliandirectorOption exercise1,1310Form 4
2026-04-17Etzkorn LilliandirectorOption exercise1,1315,621Form 4
2026-04-17Etzkorn LilliandirectorWithheld for tax4995,122Form 4
2026-03-31GERO JAMESdirectorAward / grant23411,871Form 4
2026-03-01LIPPERT JASONdirectorOption exercise8,37116,747Form 4
2026-03-01LIPPERT JASONdirectorOption exercise8,371358,550Form 4
2026-03-01LIPPERT JASONdirectorOption exercise7,6587,662Form 4
2026-03-01LIPPERT JASONdirectorOption exercise7,658350,179Form 4
2026-03-01LIPPERT JASONdirectorOption exercise7,548342,521Form 4
2026-03-01LIPPERT JASONdirectorOption exercise7,5480Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.