Issued 2026-08-28 at $35.99 · now $35.99 (2026-08-19, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-08-28 close, LBRDA has typically landed between $28.74 and $42.26 — a range of −20.2% to +17.4% from the issuance price $35.99.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,943 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-11-04 – 2026-07-21 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.8–56.2%, ≈1,359 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-08-28 issuance close ($35.99) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-09-28, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where LBRDA has typically landed a month from the 2026-08-28 close of $35.99 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $35.99 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $35.27 (-2.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $32.8–$37.74
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $28.74–$42.26
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-04-20 | −41.6% | −42.6% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-16 | −40.4% | −40.4% | +3.8% |
| 2026-04-17 | −40.2% | −40.6% | +3.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-23 | +37.3% | +0.0% | +38.4% |
| 2020-03-20 | +37.1% | +0.0% | +39.4% |
| 2024-09-10 | +36.0% | −0.0% | +36.0% |
2,943 overlapping windows · 2014-11-04 – 2026-08-19 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-19 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Sale | 29,093 @ $77.33 | $2.2M | −2.0% of holding | −1.6% | +9.9% | 1,398,523 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-19 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Sale | 7,640 @ $78.01 | $596K | −0.5% of holding | −1.6% | +9.9% | 1,427,616 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-18 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Sale | 82,315 @ $80.20 | $6.6M | −5.4% of holding | −4.5% | +11.0% | 1,435,256 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-18 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Sale | 27,199 @ $78.54 | $2.1M | −1.8% of holding | −4.5% | +11.0% | 1,517,571 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-18 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Sale | 14,448 @ $79.29 | $1.1M | −0.9% of holding | −4.5% | +11.0% | 1,544,770 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-18 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Sale | 1,038 @ $80.91 | $84K | −0.1% of holding | −4.5% | +11.0% | 1,559,218 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Sale | 118,825 @ $80.60 | $9.6M | −7.1% of holding | −4.4% | +8.6% | 1,560,256 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Sale | 1,165 @ $81.30 | $95K | −0.1% of holding | −4.4% | +8.6% | 1,679,081 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Sale | 71,500 @ $82.00 | $5.9M | −2.5% of holding | −6.0% | +6.6% | 2,827,013 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
20 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-15 | Wilm Renee L | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,239 | 9,069 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-15 | Wendling Brian J | director | Withheld for tax | 1,715 | 13,734 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-05 | Wilm Renee L | officer | Award / grant | 7,146 | 12,308 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-05 | Wendling Brian J | director | Award / grant | 3,663 | 15,449 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Withheld for tax | 1,146,767 | 1,680,246 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Option exercise | 1,500,000 | 2,898,513 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-16 | MAFFEI GREGORY B | director | Option exercise | 1,500,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-11 | ENGLES GREGG L | director | Option exercise | 1,093 | 4,097 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-11 | Green Richard R | director | Option exercise | 1,093 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-11 | ENGLES GREGG L | director | Option exercise | 1,093 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-11 | Green Richard R | director | Option exercise | 1,093 | 7,301 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-09 | Wilm Renee L | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,161 | 5,162 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-09 | Wendling Brian J | director | Withheld for tax | 627 | 11,786 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-09 | Wendling Brian J | director | Option exercise | 1,359 | 2,720 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-09 | Wilm Renee L | officer | Option exercise | 2,653 | 5,306 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-09 | Wendling Brian J | director | Option exercise | 1,359 | 12,413 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-09 | Wilm Renee L | officer | Option exercise | 2,653 | 6,323 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-04 | Green Richard R | director | Withheld for tax | 6,403 | 6,208 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-04 | Green Richard R | director | Option exercise | 6,479 | 12,611 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-04 | Green Richard R | director | Option exercise | 6,479 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.