LAURLaureate Education, Inc.Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $36.20 · now $36.20 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LAUR has typically landed between $32.60 and $42.26 — a range of −9.9% to +16.7% from the issuance price $36.20.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,398 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-02-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($36.20) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where LAUR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $36.2 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$32.6worst · -9.9%$42.26best · +16.7%
  • now $36.2 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $37.05 (+2.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $35.24–$38.86
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $32.6–$42.26
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,398 windows spanning 2017-02-01 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−62.2%−62.2%+1.2%
2020-02-21−57.9%−62.2%+0.0%
2020-02-20−57.8%−62.6%+0.0%
3 best
2020-07-13+41.6%−0.9%+41.9%
2020-07-14+40.6%+0.0%+43.2%
2020-07-10+40.0%−2.3%+40.0%

2,398 overlapping windows · 2017-02-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
78%
+3.6%
n=9
Feb
44%
−1.7%
n=9
Mar
60%
−0.7%
n=10
Apr
40%
−1.9%
n=10
May
90%
+8.3%
n=10
Jun
40%
−0.4%
n=10
Jul
80%
+4.8%
n=10
Aug
50%
+3.3%
n=10
Sep
60%
+2.3%
n=10
Oct
44%
−0.4%
n=9
Nov
56%
+2.5%
n=9
Dec
67%
+4.2%
n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$40$262026-09-02: 1 insider sale, $15.5M — Snow Ian Kendell2026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $101K — Snow Ian Kendell2026-08-31: 1 insider sale, $3.5M — Snow Ian Kendell2026-03-17: 1 insider sale, $248K — Cardoso Marcelo2026-03-11: 2 insider sales, $2.1M — Buskirk Richard M. …2026-01-02: 1 insider sale, $219K — Cardoso Marcelo2025-12-08: 1 insider sale, $214K — RODIN JUDITH2025-11-04: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Cardoso Marcelo2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $2.0M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $214K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $219K2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $2.3M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $3.5M2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $15.6M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Snow Ian Kendell — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Snow Ian Kendell — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Snow Ian Kendell — Sale on 2026-08-31, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Cardoso Marcelo — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed same dayofficer Buskirk Richard M. — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Buskirk Richard M. — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Cardoso Marcelo — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 3 days after the tradedirector RODIN JUDITH — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Cardoso Marcelo — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Snow Ian KendelldirectorSale427,019 @ $36.26$15.5M−20.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,646,324Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01Snow Ian KendelldirectorSale2,654 @ $38.11$101K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,073,343Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-31Snow Ian KendelldirectorSale91,556 @ $38.43$3.5M−4.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,075,997Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-17Cardoso MarceloofficerSale7,300 @ $33.91$248K−2.1% of holding−8.0%−7.3%335,930Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-11Buskirk Richard M.officerSale60,803 @ $33.68$2.0M−19.7% of holding−1.9%−5.2%247,577Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Buskirk Richard M.officerSale1,000 @ $34.34$34K−0.4% of holding−1.9%−5.2%246,577Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-02Cardoso MarceloofficerSale6,543 @ $33.54$219K−2.1% of holding+2.6%+9.6%304,622Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-08RODIN JUDITHdirectorSale7,065 @ $30.30$214K−7.3% of holding+17.2%+15.0%90,253Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-04Cardoso MarceloofficerSale70,000 @ $29.00$2.0M−18.4% of holding+3.4%−0.5%311,165Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-08Buskirk Richard M.officerSale4,821 @ $22.84$110K−1.7% of holding−9.7%+14.6%280,292Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-08Buskirk Richard M.officerSale2,411 @ $22.82$55K−0.9% of holding−9.7%+14.6%280,292Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-18Cardoso MarceloofficerSale6,942 @ $19.13$133K−1.8% of holding+6.3%+35.8%381,165Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-13Snow Ian KendelldirectorSale520,831 @ $17.47$9.1M−100.0% of holding+6.4%+39.0%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-03Cardoso MarceloofficerSale6,942 @ $19.94$138K−1.7% of holding+7.7%+29.6%401,991Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-25Knauer Gerard M.officerSale1,250 @ $19.27$24K−5.7% of holding+8.6%+32.3%20,576Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

73 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30MUNOZ GEORGEdirectorAward / grant585122,563Form 4
2026-05-21RODIN JUDITHdirectorAward / grant36191,854Form 4
2026-05-21Snow Ian KendelldirectorAward / grant5,30820,413Form 4
2026-05-21MUNOZ GEORGEdirectorAward / grant5,308121,978Form 4
2026-05-21del Corro PedrodirectorAward / grant5,30842,142Form 4
2026-05-21Mair BarbaradirectorAward / grant5,30836,396Form 4
2026-05-21de Macedo AristidesdirectorAward / grant5,30826,600Form 4
2026-05-21DAVIS WILLIAM JdirectorAward / grant5,30817,152Form 4
2026-05-21Cohen Andrew BdirectorAward / grant7,84967,953Form 4
2026-05-21Coulter Julian GeorgedirectorAward / grant3,2523,252Form 4
2026-03-31RODIN JUDITHdirectorAward / grant60991,493Form 4
2026-03-31MUNOZ GEORGEdirectorAward / grant609116,670Form 4
2026-03-15Serck-Hanssen EilifdirectorWithheld for tax44,4781,232,398Form 4
2026-03-15Buskirk Richard M.officerWithheld for tax12,391234,186Form 4
2026-03-15Brush Leslie SofficerWithheld for tax2,69549,560Form 4
2026-03-15Knauer Gerard M.officerWithheld for tax1,12421,851Form 4
2026-03-11Buskirk Richard M.officerOption exercise2,803308,380Form 4
2026-03-11Buskirk Richard M.officerOption exercise2,8030Form 4
2026-02-06Buskirk Richard M.officerAward / grant26,884305,577Form 4
2026-02-06Knauer Gerard M.officerAward / grant1,21219,695Form 4
2026-02-06Brush Leslie SofficerAward / grant9,79552,255Form 4
2026-02-06Cardoso MarceloofficerAward / grant12,059316,681Form 4
2026-02-06Serck-Hanssen EilifdirectorAward / grant52,4861,163,852Form 4
2026-02-06Serck-Hanssen EilifdirectorAward / grant113,0241,276,876Form 4
2026-02-06Brush Leslie SofficerAward / grant5,92342,460Form 4
2026-02-06Buskirk Richard M.officerAward / grant10,671278,693Form 4
2025-12-31Serck-Hanssen EilifdirectorWithheld for tax38,6991,111,366Form 4
2025-12-31Buskirk Richard M.officerWithheld for tax12,270268,022Form 4
2025-12-31Brush Leslie SofficerWithheld for tax2,26436,537Form 4
2025-12-31Knauer Gerard M.officerWithheld for tax1,00118,483Form 4
2025-12-31MUNOZ GEORGEdirectorAward / grant631116,061Form 4
2025-12-31RODIN JUDITHdirectorAward / grant63190,884Form 4
2025-12-15MUNOZ GEORGEdirectorGift6,200115,430Form 4
2025-12-12Serck-Hanssen EilifdirectorWithheld for tax52,5101,150,065Form 4
2025-09-30RODIN JUDITHdirectorAward / grant67397,318Form 4
2025-09-30MUNOZ GEORGEdirectorAward / grant673121,630Form 4
2025-05-22Cohen Andrew BdirectorAward / grant10,39560,104Form 4
2025-05-22DAVIS WILLIAM JdirectorAward / grant7,14811,844Form 4
2025-05-22MUNOZ GEORGEdirectorAward / grant7,148120,957Form 4
2025-05-22FREEMAN KENNETH W/NJdirectorAward / grant7,148103,830Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.