LAMR · TickerCove

LAMRLamar Advertising CompanyReal Estate · REIT - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $147.53 · now $147.53 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, LAMR has typically landed between $131.44 and $164.88 — a range of −10.9% to +11.8% from the issuance price $147.53.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($147.53) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$147.53 · 68% of range

$111.93 low$164.33 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.0%

typical move · IQR 9.5%

−10.9%worst (p90)+11.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where LAMR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $147.53 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $147.53 (+0.0%)
typical $149.02 (+1.0%)
middle 50% $141.98–$156.06
90% range $131.44–$164.88

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−65.0%	−65.0%	+0.0%
2008-09-26	−60.4%	−60.4%	+0.0%
2008-09-25	−59.1%	−59.1%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-06	+151.1%	−2.6%	+151.1%
2009-03-18	+142.4%	+0.0%	+142.4%
2009-03-09	+142.2%	+0.0%	+157.8%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

−1.1%

n=20

Feb

55%

+0.6%

n=20

Mar

55%

+1.6%

n=20

Apr

55%

+4.6%

n=20

May

60%

−0.3%

n=20

Jun

55%

−1.0%

n=20

Jul

65%

+3.6%

n=20

Aug

40%

−2.1%

n=20

Sep

50%

+1.0%

n=20

Oct

45%

+0.1%

n=20

Nov

85%

+6.7%

n=20

Dec

60%

+2.0%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	REIFENHEISER THOMAS V	director	Sale	8,099 @ $149.03	$1.2M	−18.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	36,387	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Sale	10,000 @ $157.02	$1.6M	−100.0% of holding	+0.9%	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-23	Reilly Ross Lamar	officer	Sale	5,969 @ $128.65	$768K	−27.4% of holding	−3.5%	not yet — horizon still open	15,850	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-05	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Sale	1,260 @ $137.56	$173K	−100.0% of holding	−3.3%	−2.1%	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Sale	8,120 @ $123.00	$999K	−36.9% of holding	−3.8%	+1.5%	13,880	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-22	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Sale	7,180 @ $125.59	$902K	−100.0% of holding	−3.8%	+1.5%	0	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-22	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Sale	6,700 @ $124.44	$834K	−48.3% of holding	−3.8%	+1.5%	7,180	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-24	Fletcher Nancy	director	Purchase	235 @ $123.18	$29K	+4.3% of holding	−4.1%	−3.8%	5,725	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

39 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-23	REIFENHEISER THOMAS V	director	Gift	328	44,486	Form 4
2026-06-12	REILLY ANNA	director	Award / grant	485	148,463	Form 4
2026-05-14	MUMBLOW STEPHEN P	director	Award / grant	678	9,377	Form 4
2026-05-14	REIFENHEISER THOMAS V	director	Award / grant	542	44,814	Form 4
2026-05-14	Landrieu Mitchell	director	Award / grant	542	1,192	Form 4
2026-05-14	Reilly Wendell	director	Award / grant	508	7,672	Form 4
2026-05-14	Thompson Elizabeth Mary	director	Award / grant	542	5,608	Form 4
2026-05-14	KOERNER JOHN E III	director	Award / grant	644	34,424	Form 4
2026-05-14	Fletcher Nancy	director	Award / grant	644	7,053	Form 4
2026-05-14	LOEB MARSHALL A	director	Award / grant	542	6,418	Form 4
2026-03-23	Reilly Ross Lamar	officer	Option exercise	9,000	21,819	Form 4
2026-03-23	Reilly Ross Lamar	officer	Option exercise	9,000	0	Form 4
2026-03-10	REILLY KEVIN P JR	director	Award / grant	26,400	26,400	Form 4
2026-03-10	REILLY SEAN E	officer	Award / grant	60,000	60,000	Form 4
2026-03-10	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Award / grant	33,600	33,600	Form 4
2026-03-10	Reilly Ross Lamar	officer	Award / grant	24,000	24,000	Form 4
2026-03-02	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Option exercise	1,260	18,540	Form 4
2026-03-02	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Option exercise	1,260	0	Form 4
2026-03-02	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Option exercise	1,260	1,260	Form 4
2026-02-18	Reilly Ross Lamar	officer	Withheld for tax	444	12,819	Form 4
2026-02-18	REILLY KEVIN P JR	director	Disposition	9,224	17,176	Form 4
2026-02-18	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Disposition	11,740	21,860	Form 4
2026-02-18	REILLY SEAN E	officer	Disposition	20,965	39,035	Form 4
2026-02-18	Reilly Ross Lamar	officer	Award / grant	1,600	13,263	Form 4
2025-08-19	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Option exercise	22,000	22,000	Form 4
2025-08-19	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Option exercise	22,000	0	Form 4
2025-05-27	Landrieu Mitchell	director	Award / grant	650	650	Form 4
2025-05-15	Fletcher Nancy	director	Award / grant	684	6,409	Form 4
2025-05-15	Thompson Elizabeth Mary	director	Award / grant	684	5,066	Form 4
2025-05-15	LOEB MARSHALL A	director	Award / grant	684	5,876	Form 4
2025-05-15	MUMBLOW STEPHEN P	director	Award / grant	855	8,699	Form 4
2025-05-15	KOERNER JOHN E III	director	Award / grant	812	33,780	Form 4
2025-05-15	REILLY ANNA	director	Award / grant	641	147,978	Form 4
2025-05-15	Reilly Wendell	director	Award / grant	641	7,164	Form 4
2025-03-11	REILLY KEVIN P JR	director	Award / grant	26,400	26,400	Form 4
2025-03-11	REILLY SEAN E	officer	Award / grant	60,000	60,000	Form 4
2025-03-11	Johnson Jay LeCoryelle	director	Award / grant	33,600	33,600	Form 4
2024-12-20	REILLY SEAN E	officer	Gift	48,513	0	Form 4
2024-05-16	REIFENHEISER THOMAS V	director	Award / grant	812	44,272	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i