KWYKingsway CorporationFinancial Services · Insurance - Diversifiedas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.68 · now $9.68 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KWY has typically landed between $8.10 and $11.14 — a range of −16.4% to +15.1% from the issuance price $9.68.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

82 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-04-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.68) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where KWY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.68 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$8.1worst · -16.4%$11.14best · +15.1%
  • now $9.68 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.4 (-2.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.81–$10
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.1–$11.14
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 82 windows spanning 2026-04-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-06-23−18.4%−18.4%+0.4%
2026-06-24−17.8%−18.7%+0.0%
2026-04-24−15.1%−15.1%+0.0%
3 best
2026-07-24+22.4%+0.0%+22.4%
2026-07-23+21.0%+0.0%+21.0%
2026-07-31+15.7%+0.0%+19.5%

82 overlapping windows · 2026-04-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$12$92026-09-15: 2 insider purchases, $4K — Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney, Hansen Kent A2026-08-31: 2 insider purchases, $4K — Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney, Hansen Kent A2026-08-20: 1 insider purchase, $8K — Horowitz Joshua2026-08-19: 1 insider purchase, $69K — Horowitz Joshua2026-08-18: 1 insider purchase, $13K — Horowitz Joshua2026-08-17: 2 insider purchases, $4K — Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney, Hansen Kent A2026-08-13: 3 insider sales, $1.0M — STILWELL JOSEPH …2026-07-30: 2 insider purchases, $4K — Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney, Hansen Kent A2026-07-15: 2 insider purchases, $4K — Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney, Hansen Kent A2026-06-30: 2 insider purchases, $4K — Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney, Hansen Kent A2026-06-15: 2 insider purchases, $4K — Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney, Hansen Kent A2026-05-29: 3 insider purchases, $42K — Horowitz Joshua, Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney, Hansen Kent A2026-05-28: 1 insider purchase, $7K — Horowitz Joshua2026-05-21: 1 insider sale, $51K — Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney2026-05-20: 1 insider sale, $52K — Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney2026-05-19: 1 insider sale, $52K — Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney2026-05-15: 2 insider purchases, $4K — Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney, Hansen Kent A2026-05: 6 open-market purchases, $53K2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $154K2026-06: 4 open-market purchases, $8K2026-07: 4 open-market purchases, $8K2026-08: 7 open-market purchases, $98K2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $1.0M2026-09: 2 open-market purchases, $4K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Purchase on 2026-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hansen Kent A — Purchase on 2026-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Purchase on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hansen Kent A — Purchase on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Horowitz Joshua — Purchase on 2026-08-20, filed same daydirector Horowitz Joshua — Purchase on 2026-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Horowitz Joshua — Purchase on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Purchase on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hansen Kent A — Purchase on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STILWELL JOSEPH — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradedirector STILWELL JOSEPH — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradedirector STILWELL JOSEPH — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Purchase on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hansen Kent A — Purchase on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Purchase on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hansen Kent A — Purchase on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hansen Kent A — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Purchase on 2026-06-15, filed same dayofficer Hansen Kent A — Purchase on 2026-06-15, filed same daydirector Horowitz Joshua — Purchase on 2026-05-29, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Purchase on 2026-05-29, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Hansen Kent A — Purchase on 2026-05-29, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Horowitz Joshua — Purchase on 2026-05-28, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Fitzgerald John Taylor Maloney — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hansen Kent A — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorPurchase254 @ $9.82$2K+0.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,427,161Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-15Hansen Kent AofficerPurchase159 @ $9.82$2K+0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open136,503Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-31Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorPurchase239 @ $10.45$2K+0.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,426,907Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-31Hansen Kent AofficerPurchase149 @ $10.45$2K+0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open136,344Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-20Horowitz JoshuadirectorPurchase769 @ $9.89$8K+0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open381,103Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-19Horowitz JoshuadirectorPurchase7,034 @ $9.84$69K+1.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open380,334Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-18Horowitz JoshuadirectorPurchase1,300 @ $9.75$13K+0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open373,300Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-17Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorPurchase254 @ $9.87$3K+0.0% of holding+1.0%not yet — horizon still open1,426,668Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Hansen Kent AofficerPurchase158 @ $9.87$2K+0.1% of holding+1.0%not yet — horizon still open136,195Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-13STILWELL JOSEPHdirectorSale40,850 @ $10.00$409K−11.0% of holding+2.0%not yet — horizon still open330,718Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-13STILWELL JOSEPHdirectorSale32,982 @ $10.00$330K−11.0% of holding+2.0%not yet — horizon still open267,018Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-13STILWELL JOSEPHdirectorSale26,168 @ $10.00$262K−1.2% of holding+2.0%not yet — horizon still open2,228,803Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-30Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorPurchase278 @ $8.98$2K+0.0% of holding+10.8%not yet — horizon still open1,426,414Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-30Hansen Kent AofficerPurchase174 @ $8.98$2K+0.1% of holding+10.8%not yet — horizon still open136,037Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-15Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorPurchase256 @ $9.76$2K+0.0% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open1,426,136Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-15Hansen Kent AofficerPurchase161 @ $9.76$2K+0.1% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open135,863Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorPurchase239 @ $10.45$2K+0.0% of holding−13.5%not yet — horizon still open1,425,880Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30Hansen Kent AofficerPurchase149 @ $10.45$2K+0.1% of holding−13.5%not yet — horizon still open135,702Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorPurchase240 @ $10.43$3K+0.0% of holding−7.1%not yet — horizon still open1,455,874Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-15Hansen Kent AofficerPurchase150 @ $10.43$2K+0.1% of holding−7.1%not yet — horizon still open135,553Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-29Horowitz JoshuadirectorPurchase3,800 @ $9.91$38K+1.0% of holding+5.3%not yet — horizon still open372,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-29Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorPurchase250 @ $10.03$3K+0.0% of holding+5.3%not yet — horizon still open1,455,634Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-29Hansen Kent AofficerPurchase156 @ $10.03$2K+0.1% of holding+5.3%not yet — horizon still open135,403Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-28Horowitz JoshuadirectorPurchase700 @ $9.95$7K+0.2% of holding+5.1%not yet — horizon still open368,200Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-21Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorSale5,000 @ $10.13$51K−14.7% of holding+4.1%not yet — horizon still open29,100Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-20Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorSale5,000 @ $10.43$52K−14.7% of holding+1.2%not yet — horizon still open29,100Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorSale5,000 @ $10.30$52K−14.7% of holding−1.0%not yet — horizon still open29,100Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-15Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorPurchase230 @ $10.85$2K+0.0% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open1,461,641Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15Hansen Kent AofficerPurchase144 @ $10.85$2K+0.1% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open135,247Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

3 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-15Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorWithheld for tax30,2331,425,641Form 4
2026-05-27Fitzgerald John Taylor MaloneydirectorGift6,2571,455,384Form 4
2026-05-18Patinkin Adam JonathandirectorAward / grant200,000200,000Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.