KWRQuaker HoughtonBasic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $153.99 · now $153.99 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KWR has typically landed between $130.15 and $180.76 — a range of −15.5% to +17.4% from the issuance price $153.99.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($153.99) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where KWR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $153.99 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$130.15worst · -15.5%$180.76best · +17.4%
  • now $153.99 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $153.14 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $142.42–$163.86
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $130.15–$180.76
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-05−57.5%−57.5%+3.5%
2009-01-28−56.9%−56.9%+0.0%
2009-02-06−53.2%−58.6%+0.7%
3 best
2009-03-09+93.1%+0.0%+107.4%
2009-03-11+85.8%+0.0%+85.8%
2009-03-06+83.9%−9.1%+88.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
−1.4%
n=20
Feb
60%
−0.7%
n=20
Mar
60%
+3.4%
n=20
Apr
50%
+5.4%
n=20
May
55%
+0.3%
n=20
Jun
55%
+1.1%
n=20
Jul
70%
+5.8%
n=20
Aug
55%
−0.3%
n=20
Sep
35%
−1.9%
n=20
Oct
60%
+2.1%
n=20
Nov
65%
+5.1%
n=20
Dec
60%
+2.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$179$1142026-08-04: 1 insider sale, $101K — Osborne William H2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $107K — Bijlani Jeewat2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $107K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $101K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Osborne William H — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Bijlani Jeewat — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-04Osborne William HdirectorSale600 @ $168.31$101K−49.3% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open616Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Bijlani JeewatofficerSale731 @ $145.77$107K−9.8% of holding+9.1%not yet — horizon still open6,748Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

298 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-20Gulf Hungary Holding Korlatolt Felelossegu TarsasagtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition5,0173,639,017Form 4
2026-08-07Bijlani JeewatofficerOther acquisition76,741Form 4
2026-06-15Coler ThomasofficerWithheld for tax7413,157Form 4
2026-06-15Coler ThomasofficerOption exercise2,3520Form 4
2026-06-15Coler ThomasofficerOption exercise680Form 4
2026-06-15Coler ThomasofficerOption exercise683,898Form 4
2026-06-15Coler ThomasofficerOption exercise2,3523,830Form 4
2026-06-15Coler ThomasofficerOption exercise680Form 4
2026-06-15Coler ThomasofficerOption exercise2,3523,830Form 4
2026-06-15Coler ThomasofficerOption exercise683,898Form 4
2026-06-01Shaller RusselldirectorAward / grant4134,045Form 4
2026-06-01BAKHSHI NANDITAdirectorAward / grant4133,059Form 4
2026-06-01Foufopoulos - De Ridder LucrecedirectorAward / grant4132,694Form 4
2026-06-01Foufopoulos - De Ridder LucrecedirectorWithheld for tax1242,570Form 4
2026-06-01West FaydirectorAward / grant975975Form 4
2026-06-01Henry Charlotte C.directorAward / grant975975Form 4
2026-06-01Osborne William HdirectorAward / grant975975Form 4
2026-06-01Foufopoulos - De Ridder LucrecedirectorAward / grant975975Form 4
2026-06-01Shaller RusselldirectorAward / grant975975Form 4
2026-06-01BAKHSHI NANDITAdirectorAward / grant975975Form 4
2026-06-01Hinduja SanjaydirectorAward / grant975975Form 4
2026-06-01DOUGLAS MARKdirectorAward / grant7666,278Form 4
2026-06-01DOUGLAS MARKdirectorAward / grant975975Form 4
2026-06-01FRISBY JEFFRY DdirectorAward / grant975975Form 4
2026-05-31Foufopoulos - De Ridder LucrecedirectorWithheld for tax3652,281Form 4
2026-05-31Henry Charlotte C.directorOption exercise1,1980Form 4
2026-05-31BAKHSHI NANDITAdirectorOption exercise1,1980Form 4
2026-05-31Hinduja SanjaydirectorOption exercise1,1980Form 4
2026-05-31DOUGLAS MARKdirectorOption exercise1,1980Form 4
2026-05-31Osborne William HdirectorOption exercise1,1980Form 4
2026-05-31Shaller RusselldirectorOption exercise1,1980Form 4
2026-05-31West FaydirectorOption exercise1,1980Form 4
2026-05-31Foufopoulos - De Ridder LucrecedirectorOption exercise1,1980Form 4
2026-05-31FRISBY JEFFRY DdirectorOption exercise1,1980Form 4
2026-05-31Osborne William HdirectorOption exercise181,216Form 4
2026-05-31FRISBY JEFFRY DdirectorOption exercise180Form 4
2026-05-31Foufopoulos - De Ridder LucrecedirectorOption exercise180Form 4
2026-05-31DOUGLAS MARKdirectorOption exercise180Form 4
2026-05-31West FaydirectorOption exercise185,279Form 4
2026-05-31Hinduja SanjaydirectorOption exercise180Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.