Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.05 · now $7.05 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KVHI has typically landed between $5.98 and $8.29 — a range of −15.2% to +17.6% from the issuance price $7.05.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.05) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where KVHI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.05 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.05 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.01 (-0.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.56–$7.47
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.98–$8.29
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-22 | −49.7% | −49.7% | +13.3% |
| 2008-09-29 | −43.6% | −43.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −40.7% | −40.7% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-11-20 | +74.3% | +0.0% | +77.4% |
| 2026-03-06 | +54.5% | +0.0% | +55.5% |
| 2026-02-20 | +52.9% | −1.7% | +52.9% |
5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | BRUUN BRENT C | director | Sale | 2,230 @ $7.60 | $17K | −1.3% of holding | +12.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 167,394 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | FEINGOLD FELISE | officer | Sale | 1,862 @ $7.60 | $14K | −2.7% of holding | +12.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,792 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Radoff Bradley Louis | director | Sale | 24,059 @ $11.39 | $274K | −7.7% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 290,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Radoff Bradley Louis | director | Sale | 10,941 @ $10.78 | $118K | −3.4% of holding | −10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 314,059 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | BRUUN BRENT C | director | Sale | 2,049 @ $6.64 | $14K | −1.2% of holding | +33.6% | −9.8% | 169,624 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | FEINGOLD FELISE | officer | Sale | 1,594 @ $6.64 | $11K | −2.2% of holding | +33.6% | −9.8% | 69,654 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | BRUUN BRENT C | director | Sale | 3,537 @ $6.38 | $23K | −2.0% of holding | +29.3% | +12.6% | 171,673 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | FEINGOLD FELISE | officer | Sale | 1,715 @ $6.38 | $11K | −2.4% of holding | +29.3% | +12.6% | 71,248 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-12 | Radoff Bradley Louis | director | Purchase | 30,000 @ $6.26 | $188K | +1.4% of holding | +27.6% | +14.2% | 2,180,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-09 | Deckoff Stephen H | director | Purchase | 60,201 @ $6.02 | $362K | +1.8% of holding | +18.7% | +25.1% | 3,498,596 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-08 | Deckoff Stephen H | director | Purchase | 2,461 @ $6.05 | $15K | +0.1% of holding | +21.5% | +19.2% | 3,438,395 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Deckoff Stephen H | director | Purchase | 7,956 @ $5.99 | $48K | +0.2% of holding | +20.7% | +15.4% | 3,435,934 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Deckoff Stephen H | director | Purchase | 13,000 @ $6.06 | $79K | +0.4% of holding | +19.5% | +31.1% | 3,427,978 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-01 | Deckoff Stephen H | director | Purchase | 3,345 @ $6.00 | $20K | +0.1% of holding | +15.4% | +22.8% | 3,414,978 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Deckoff Stephen H | director | Purchase | 11,697 @ $5.99 | $70K | +0.3% of holding | +14.5% | +36.5% | 3,411,633 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | Radoff Bradley Louis | director | Purchase | 40,000 @ $5.78 | $231K | +1.9% of holding | +26.7% | +68.8% | 2,150,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | BRUUN BRENT C | director | Sale | 717 @ $5.77 | $4K | −0.4% of holding | −10.8% | +69.0% | 175,210 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | BRUUN BRENT C | director | Sale | 2,368 @ $5.22 | $12K | −1.3% of holding | −1.2% | +2.7% | 175,927 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | FEINGOLD FELISE | officer | Sale | 1,601 @ $5.22 | $8K | −2.1% of holding | −1.2% | +2.7% | 72,963 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | BRUUN BRENT C | director | Sale | 1,663 @ $5.17 | $9K | −0.9% of holding | −3.9% | −14.2% | 178,295 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | FEINGOLD FELISE | officer | Sale | 1,125 @ $5.17 | $6K | −1.5% of holding | −3.9% | −14.2% | 74,564 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | BRUUN BRENT C | director | Sale | 3,141 @ $5.12 | $16K | −1.7% of holding | −2.5% | −3.8% | 179,958 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | FEINGOLD FELISE | officer | Sale | 1,714 @ $5.12 | $9K | −2.2% of holding | −2.5% | −3.8% | 75,689 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | BRUUN BRENT C | director | Sale | 3,530 @ $5.81 | $21K | −1.9% of holding | −1.2% | −12.0% | 183,099 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | FEINGOLD FELISE | officer | Sale | 1,712 @ $5.81 | $10K | −2.2% of holding | −1.2% | −12.0% | 77,403 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | Deckoff Stephen H | director | Purchase | 22,499 @ $5.78 | $130K | +0.7% of holding | +3.1% | −5.4% | 3,384,054 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
14 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Tolley David | director | Other acquisition | 13,499 | 76,234 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Spytek Joseph Anthony | director | Other acquisition | 12,548 | 30,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Kagan David B. | director | Other acquisition | 13,055 | 73,447 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deckoff Stephen H | director | Award / grant | 9,506 | 9,506 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | BRUUN BRENT C | director | Other acquisition | 200,000 | 204,674 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | FEINGOLD FELISE | officer | Other acquisition | 80,000 | 110,169 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Pike Anthony | officer | Other acquisition | 50,000 | 33,719 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-21 | Deckoff Stephen H | director | Award / grant | 13,637 | 13,637 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-21 | Tolley David | director | Other acquisition | 19,364 | 62,735 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-21 | Spytek Joseph Anthony | director | Other acquisition | 18,000 | 18,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-21 | Kagan David B. | director | Other acquisition | 18,728 | 60,392 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | BRUUN BRENT C | director | Other acquisition | 200,000 | 140,963 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | FEINGOLD FELISE | officer | Other acquisition | 80,000 | 91,877 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Pike Anthony | officer | Other acquisition | 50,000 | 13,620 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.