Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.83 · now $13.83 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KRRO has typically landed between $8.58 and $23.98 — a range of −37.9% to +73.4% from the issuance price $13.83.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,720 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-10-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.83) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where KRRO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.83 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $13.83 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.06 (-5.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.23–$15.88
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.58–$23.98
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,720 windows spanning 2019-10-03 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-10-15 | −88.2% | −88.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-10-16 | −87.3% | −87.5% | +0.0% |
| 2023-01-24 | −87.2% | −87.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-11-01 | +367.7% | +0.0% | +367.7% |
| 2023-10-31 | +308.3% | +0.0% | +323.3% |
| 2023-11-02 | +308.1% | +0.0% | +309.9% |
1,720 overlapping windows · 2019-10-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
86%
+18.8%
n=7
Feb
14%
−22.3%
n=7
Mar
14%
−14.4%
n=7
Apr
43%
−9.1%
n=7
May
14%
−11.3%
n=7
Jun
57%
+6.3%
n=7
Jul
57%
+13.1%
n=7
Aug
57%
+8.3%
n=7
Sep
29%
+6.1%
n=7
Oct
33%
+3.6%
n=6
Nov
57%
+30.1%
n=7
Dec
86%
+18.6%
n=7
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 31,888 @ $14.12 | $450K | −4.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 640,610 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 6,602 @ $14.12 | $93K | −4.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 132,650 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 8,450 @ $13.99 | $118K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 672,498 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 1,750 @ $13.99 | $24K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 139,252 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Dolan Oliver | officer | Sale | 5 @ $13.72 | $69 | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,241 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Dolan Oliver | officer | Sale | 6 @ $13.60 | $82 | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,246 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Dolan Oliver | officer | Sale | 7,347 @ $13.51 | $99K | −31.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,252 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 249 @ $13.96 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 680,948 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 51 @ $13.96 | $712 | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 141,002 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 23,584 @ $14.00 | $330K | −3.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 681,197 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 4,884 @ $14.00 | $68K | −3.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 141,053 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 1,775 @ $13.96 | $25K | −0.3% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 704,781 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 368 @ $13.96 | $5K | −0.3% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 145,937 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Lynx1 Capital Management LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,462 @ $13.19 | $19K | +0.1% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,544,980 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Lynx1 Capital Management LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 5,222 @ $11.40 | $60K | +0.3% of holding | +0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,543,518 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Aiyar Ram | director | Sale | 5,802 @ $10.84 | $63K | −7.8% of holding | +6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 69,046 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 8,506 @ $13.96 | $119K | −5.5% of holding | −21.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 146,305 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 817 @ $13.96 | $11K | −0.1% of holding | −21.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 706,556 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 85,955 @ $14.03 | $1.2M | −10.8% of holding | −25.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 707,373 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-02 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 14,745 @ $14.03 | $207K | −8.7% of holding | −25.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 154,811 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 40,679 @ $14.60 | $594K | −4.9% of holding | −23.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 793,994 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-24 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 6,979 @ $14.60 | $102K | −4.0% of holding | −23.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 169,670 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-24 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 666 @ $14.98 | $10K | −0.1% of holding | −23.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 793,328 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-24 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 114 @ $14.98 | $2K | −0.1% of holding | −23.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 169,556 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-23 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 101,579 @ $14.25 | $1.4M | −10.8% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 834,673 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 17,426 @ $14.25 | $248K | −9.0% of holding | −16.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 176,649 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 3,382 @ $13.95 | $47K | −0.4% of holding | −16.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 936,252 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 580 @ $13.95 | $8K | −0.3% of holding | −16.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 194,075 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Cerio Jeffrey | officer | Sale | 6,609 @ $10.83 | $72K | −15.8% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,293 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincent Loic A | officer | Sale | 3,418 @ $10.83 | $37K | −15.7% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,297 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Dolan Oliver | officer | Sale | 3,383 @ $10.83 | $37K | −15.7% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,099 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Chappell Todd | officer | Sale | 3,168 @ $10.83 | $34K | −15.7% of holding | +15.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,964 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Aiyar Ram | director | Sale | 15,152 @ $12.98 | $197K | −16.8% of holding | −0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 74,848 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 2,441 @ $13.95 | $34K | −0.3% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 939,634 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Sale | 419 @ $13.95 | $6K | −0.2% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 194,655 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-31 | Lynx1 Capital Management LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 520 @ $10.60 | $6K | +0.0% of holding | +8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,538,296 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | SANDELL SCOTT D | director | Purchase | 242,945 @ $11.11 | $2.7M | ownership Δ n/a | +13.3% | −0.6% | 242,945 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | New Enterprise Associates 17, L.P. | director | Purchase | 242,945 @ $11.11 | $2.7M | ownership Δ n/a | +13.3% | −0.6% | 242,945 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | BASKETT FOREST | director | Purchase | 242,945 @ $11.11 | $2.7M | ownership Δ n/a | +13.3% | −0.6% | 242,945 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Chang Carmen | director | Purchase | 242,945 @ $11.11 | $2.7M | ownership Δ n/a | +13.3% | −0.6% | 242,945 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Florence Anthony A. Jr. | director | Purchase | 242,945 @ $11.11 | $2.7M | ownership Δ n/a | +13.3% | −0.6% | 242,945 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Makhzoumi Mohamad | director | Purchase | 242,945 @ $11.11 | $2.7M | ownership Δ n/a | +13.3% | −0.6% | 242,945 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Walker Paul Edward | director | Purchase | 242,945 @ $11.11 | $2.7M | ownership Δ n/a | +13.3% | −0.6% | 242,945 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Mathers Edward T | director | Purchase | 242,945 @ $11.11 | $2.7M | ownership Δ n/a | +13.3% | −0.6% | 242,945 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Yang Rick | director | Purchase | 242,945 @ $11.11 | $2.7M | ownership Δ n/a | +13.3% | −0.6% | 242,945 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Yang Rick | director | Purchase | 207,100 @ $11.11 | $2.3M | +19.0% of holding | +13.3% | −0.6% | 1,297,893 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | New Enterprise Associates 17, L.P. | director | Purchase | 207,100 @ $11.11 | $2.3M | +19.0% of holding | +13.3% | −0.6% | 1,297,893 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Walker Paul Edward | director | Purchase | 207,100 @ $11.11 | $2.3M | +19.0% of holding | +13.3% | −0.6% | 1,297,893 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Makhzoumi Mohamad | director | Purchase | 207,100 @ $11.11 | $2.3M | +19.0% of holding | +13.3% | −0.6% | 1,297,893 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Florence Anthony A. Jr. | director | Purchase | 207,100 @ $11.11 | $2.3M | +19.0% of holding | +13.3% | −0.6% | 1,297,893 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Mathers Edward T | director | Purchase | 207,100 @ $11.11 | $2.3M | +19.0% of holding | +13.3% | −0.6% | 1,297,893 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Chang Carmen | director | Purchase | 207,100 @ $11.11 | $2.3M | +19.0% of holding | +13.3% | −0.6% | 1,297,893 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | BASKETT FOREST | director | Purchase | 207,100 @ $11.11 | $2.3M | +19.0% of holding | +13.3% | −0.6% | 1,297,893 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | SANDELL SCOTT D | director | Purchase | 207,100 @ $11.11 | $2.3M | +19.0% of holding | +13.3% | −0.6% | 1,297,893 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
36 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Vincent Loic A | officer | Award / grant | 7,500 | 25,797 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Cerio Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 6,500 | 41,793 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Chappell Todd | officer | Award / grant | 7,500 | 24,464 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Dolan Oliver | officer | Award / grant | 5,500 | 23,599 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | PEARSON TIMOTHY R | director | Award / grant | 14,677 | 14,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Behbahani Ali | director | Award / grant | 14,677 | 14,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Meyers Rachel | director | Award / grant | 14,677 | 14,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Knobil Katharine | director | Award / grant | 14,677 | 14,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Award / grant | 14,677 | 14,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Bermingham Nessan | director | Award / grant | 14,677 | 14,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Aiyar Ram | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Behbahani Ali | director | Award / grant | 242,945 | 242,945 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Behbahani Ali | director | Award / grant | 207,100 | 1,297,893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Dolan Oliver | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Aiyar Ram | director | Award / grant | 80,000 | 80,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Aiyar Ram | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Vincent Loic A | officer | Award / grant | 35,000 | 35,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Chappell Todd | officer | Award / grant | 38,000 | 38,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Cerio Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 23,000 | 23,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Chappell Todd | officer | Award / grant | 20,132 | 20,132 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Cerio Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 41,902 | 41,902 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Vincent Loic A | officer | Award / grant | 21,715 | 21,715 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Dolan Oliver | officer | Award / grant | 21,482 | 21,482 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Knobil Katharine | director | Award / grant | 6,010 | 6,010 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Bermingham Nessan | director | Award / grant | 6,010 | 6,010 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Behbahani Ali | director | Award / grant | 6,010 | 6,010 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Meyers Rachel | director | Award / grant | 6,010 | 6,010 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | FORMELA JEAN FRANCOIS | director | Award / grant | 6,010 | 6,010 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | PEARSON TIMOTHY R | director | Award / grant | 6,010 | 6,010 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Vincent Loic A | officer | Award / grant | 70,000 | 70,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Dolan Oliver | officer | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Cerio Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 29,000 | 29,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Agarwal Vineet | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Olugemo Olukemi | officer | Award / grant | 42,000 | 42,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Chappell Todd | officer | Award / grant | 34,500 | 34,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Aiyar Ram | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.