KRP · TickerCove

KRPKimbell Royalty Partners, LPEnergy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Productionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.61 · now $14.61 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KRP has typically landed between $13.25 and $16.36 — a range of −9.3% to +12.0% from the issuance price $14.61.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,396 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-02-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.61) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$14.61 · 80% of range

$10.78 low$15.54 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.9%

typical move · IQR 8.1%

−9.3%worst (p90)+12.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where KRP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.61 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $14.61 (+0.0%)
typical $14.74 (+0.9%)
middle 50% $14.16–$15.33
90% range $13.25–$16.36

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,396 windows spanning 2017-02-03 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−71.3%	−71.3%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−69.1%	−69.1%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−69.1%	−69.1%	+0.7%
3 best
2020-05-07	+58.1%	−8.4%	+58.1%
2020-05-08	+56.7%	−7.3%	+59.9%
2020-11-04	+55.2%	−4.8%	+55.2%

2,396 overlapping windows · 2017-02-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

56%

+5.8%

n=9

Feb

67%

+2.8%

n=9

Mar

60%

−4.2%

n=10

Apr

60%

+3.8%

n=10

May

70%

+6.6%

n=10

Jun

40%

−1.0%

n=10

Jul

70%

+2.4%

n=10

Aug

20%

−1.1%

n=10

Sep

40%

−2.2%

n=10

Oct

67%

+2.7%

n=9

Nov

44%

+0.7%

n=9

Dec

33%

−1.6%

n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-25	Rhynsburger Blayne	officer	Sale	4,524 @ $15.08	$68K	−6.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	70,639	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-23	Rhynsburger Blayne	officer	Sale	6,609 @ $14.48	$96K	−8.1% of holding	−8.3%	not yet — horizon still open	75,163	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	Wynne Mitch S.	director	Sale	35,000 @ $14.48	$507K	−11.3% of holding	+6.9%	−4.2%	274,254	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-04	Rhynsburger Blayne	officer	Sale	3,600 @ $13.74	$49K	−7.6% of holding	−4.0%	+3.5%	43,663	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-28	Rhynsburger Blayne	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $13.27	$27K	−4.1% of holding	+0.4%	−17.1%	47,263	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-18	Rhynsburger Blayne	officer	Sale	7,851 @ $13.86	$109K	−13.7% of holding	−6.3%	−16.9%	49,263	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-12	Wynne Mitch S.	director	Sale	22,000 @ $13.77	$303K	−7.6% of holding	−7.1%	−10.8%	268,463	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

65 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-04	Ravnaas Robert D.	director	Withheld for tax	36,597	615,495	Form 4
2026-03-04	Ravnaas Robert Davis	officer	Withheld for tax	32,464	1,140,743	Form 4
2026-03-04	Ravnaas Robert D.	director	Withheld for tax	30,496	652,092	Form 4
2026-03-04	Ravnaas Robert Davis	officer	Withheld for tax	27,054	1,173,207	Form 4
2026-03-04	Taylor Brett G.	director	Withheld for tax	25,435	641,561	Form 4
2026-03-04	Taylor Brett G.	director	Withheld for tax	21,195	666,996	Form 4
2026-03-04	Daly Matthew S.	officer	Withheld for tax	20,070	747,829	Form 4
2026-03-04	Daly Matthew S.	officer	Withheld for tax	16,724	767,899	Form 4
2026-03-04	Rhynsburger Blayne	officer	Withheld for tax	1,442	83,073	Form 4
2026-03-04	Alcorn Peter	officer	Withheld for tax	1,303	100,471	Form 4
2026-03-04	Rhynsburger Blayne	officer	Withheld for tax	1,301	81,772	Form 4
2026-03-04	Alcorn Peter	officer	Withheld for tax	1,159	99,312	Form 4
2026-03-03	Ravnaas Robert D.	director	Withheld for tax	24,209	682,588	Form 4
2026-03-03	Ravnaas Robert Davis	officer	Withheld for tax	20,870	1,200,261	Form 4
2026-03-03	Daly Matthew S.	officer	Withheld for tax	10,420	784,623	Form 4
2026-03-03	Rhynsburger Blayne	officer	Withheld for tax	1,523	84,515	Form 4
2026-03-03	Alcorn Peter	officer	Withheld for tax	1,302	101,774	Form 4
2026-02-24	Daly Matthew S.	officer	Award / grant	112,200	795,043	Form 4
2026-02-24	Alcorn Peter	officer	Award / grant	17,126	103,076	Form 4
2026-02-24	ADAMS WILLIAM H III	director	Award / grant	14,108	115,568	Form 4
2026-02-24	Ravnaas Robert Davis	officer	Award / grant	181,500	1,221,131	Form 4
2026-02-24	Ravnaas Robert D.	director	Award / grant	204,600	706,797	Form 4
2026-02-24	MARTIN T SCOTT	director	Award / grant	10,395	104,983	Form 4
2026-02-24	Rhynsburger Blayne	officer	Award / grant	42,375	86,038	Form 4
2026-02-24	Daugbjerg Erik B	director	Award / grant	14,108	120,099	Form 4
2026-02-24	Stone Craig	director	Award / grant	14,108	90,296	Form 4
2026-02-24	Wynne Mitch S.	director	Award / grant	40,791	309,254	Form 4
2026-02-24	Taylor Brett G.	director	Award / grant	142,196	688,191	Form 4
2025-05-20	Ravnaas Robert D.	director	Gift	34,944	761,194	Form 4
2025-05-20	Ravnaas Robert D.	director	Gift	34,944	0	Form 4
2025-05-20	Ravnaas Robert Davis	officer	Gift	34,944	254,394	Form 4
2025-05-20	Ravnaas Robert D.	director	Gift	34,944	34,944	Form 4
2025-05-14	Ravnaas Robert D.	director	Gift	76,954	726,250	Form 4
2025-05-14	Ravnaas Robert D.	director	Gift	219,450	579,151	Form 4
2025-05-14	Ravnaas Robert Davis	officer	Gift	219,450	219,450	Form 4
2025-05-14	Ravnaas Robert D.	director	Gift	76,954	502,197	Form 4
2025-03-04	Ravnaas Robert D.	director	Withheld for tax	30,498	798,601	Form 4
2025-03-04	Ravnaas Robert Davis	officer	Withheld for tax	27,054	1,039,631	Form 4
2025-03-04	Taylor Brett G.	director	Withheld for tax	21,196	610,313	Form 4
2025-03-04	Daly Matthew S.	officer	Withheld for tax	16,725	682,843	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i