Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.13 · now $8.13 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KRO has typically landed between $6.67 and $9.94 — a range of −18.0% to +22.2% from the issuance price $8.13.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.13) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where KRO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.13 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $8.13 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.12 (-0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $7.44–$8.8
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.67–$9.94
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-01-28 | −64.4% | −64.4% | +14.7% |
| 2009-02-03 | −64.4% | −69.0% | +0.0% |
| 2009-02-04 | −63.6% | −68.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2010-07-12 | +89.1% | +0.0% | +89.1% |
| 2010-07-13 | +85.7% | +0.0% | +87.9% |
| 2010-07-19 | +82.4% | +0.0% | +85.4% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 6,800 @ $6.77 | $46K | +18.1% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 44,411 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 3,735 @ $6.75 | $25K | +11.1% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,276 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 3,731 @ $6.70 | $25K | +12.5% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,541 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-18 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 335 @ $6.76 | $2K | +0.9% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,611 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-15 | McCoy Kristin B | officer | Purchase | 2,000 @ $6.05 | $12K | ownership Δ n/a | +2.1% | −1.2% | 2,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | NACE ANDREW B | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $5.77 | $6K | +5.7% of holding | −1.1% | +3.4% | 18,453 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | NACE ANDREW B | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $5.76 | $6K | +6.1% of holding | −1.1% | +3.4% | 17,453 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | NACE ANDREW B | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $5.98 | $3K | +2.6% of holding | −1.1% | +3.4% | 19,453 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | NACE ANDREW B | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $5.96 | $3K | +2.7% of holding | −1.1% | +3.4% | 18,953 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | Reichert Bart W | officer | Purchase | 20,000 @ $4.96 | $99K | ownership Δ n/a | +22.7% | +22.2% | 20,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-11 | Simmons Michael Shawn | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $4.87 | $24K | ownership Δ n/a | +22.7% | +22.2% | 5,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-11 | Samford Amy A. | officer | Purchase | 3,000 @ $4.83 | $14K | +150.0% of holding | +22.7% | +22.2% | 5,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-11 | Hanley Bryan A. | officer | Purchase | 2,500 @ $4.90 | $12K | +71.4% of holding | +22.7% | +22.2% | 6,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $7.38 | $22K | +28.7% of holding | −5.6% | −34.2% | 13,460 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $7.37 | $22K | +40.2% of holding | −5.6% | −34.2% | 10,460 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 2,200 @ $7.46 | $16K | +15.2% of holding | −5.6% | −34.2% | 16,660 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 1,923 @ $7.53 | $14K | +9.8% of holding | −5.6% | −34.2% | 21,460 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 1,800 @ $7.47 | $13K | +10.8% of holding | −5.6% | −34.2% | 18,460 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $7.42 | $7K | +7.4% of holding | −5.6% | −34.2% | 14,460 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 591 @ $7.49 | $4K | +3.2% of holding | −5.6% | −34.2% | 19,051 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Hanley Bryan A. | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $7.50 | $4K | +16.7% of holding | −5.6% | −34.2% | 3,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Hanley Bryan A. | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $7.36 | $4K | +20.0% of holding | −5.6% | −34.2% | 3,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 386 @ $7.50 | $3K | +2.0% of holding | −5.6% | −34.2% | 19,437 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Purchase | 100 @ $7.51 | $751 | +0.5% of holding | −5.6% | −34.2% | 19,537 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
14 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Mendes Meredith W. | director | Award / grant | 5,550 | 19,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | MOORE CECIL H JR | director | Award / grant | 5,550 | 36,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Feehan Loretta J. | director | Award / grant | 5,550 | 26,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Simmons Michael Shawn | director | Award / grant | 5,550 | 10,550 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Award / grant | 5,550 | 29,810 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | TURNER R GERALD DR | director | Award / grant | 5,550 | 37,596 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Harper John E | director | Award / grant | 5,550 | 21,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | CHRISTIAN BRIAN W. | director | Award / grant | 5,550 | 5,550 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Mendes Meredith W. | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 13,750 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Kramer Kevin B | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 24,260 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | MOORE CECIL H JR | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 30,774 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Feehan Loretta J. | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 21,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Harper John E | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 16,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | TURNER R GERALD DR | director | Award / grant | 2,800 | 32,046 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.