Issued 2026-09-16 at $36.94 · now $36.94 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KRMN has typically landed between $26.03 and $49.54 — a range of −29.5% to +34.1% from the issuance price $36.94.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
378 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-02-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($36.94) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where KRMN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $36.94 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $36.94 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $38.41 (+4.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $32.23–$44.6
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $26.03–$49.54
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-08-11 | −44.5% | −44.5% | +0.1% |
| 2026-08-10 | −43.3% | −43.3% | +0.0% |
| 2026-08-12 | −43.0% | −44.5% | +0.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-12-09 | +66.6% | +0.0% | +66.6% |
| 2025-12-17 | +63.7% | +0.0% | +68.6% |
| 2025-12-16 | +61.5% | −3.3% | +63.0% |
378 overlapping windows · 2025-02-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | Koblinski Anthony | director | Sale | 75,000 @ $69.31 | $5.2M | −3.1% of holding | +56.3% | −35.1% | 2,315,826 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Koblinski Anthony | director | Sale | 75,000 @ $66.51 | $5.0M | −3.0% of holding | +39.3% | −34.2% | 2,390,826 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Koblinski Anthony | director | Sale | 75,000 @ $67.40 | $5.1M | −3.0% of holding | +10.5% | −30.2% | 2,465,826 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Koblinski Anthony | director | Sale | 75,000 @ $58.48 | $4.4M | −2.9% of holding | +28.4% | −8.8% | 2,540,826 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Willis Michael | officer | Sale | 115,000 @ $58.63 | $6.7M | −11.8% of holding | +10.6% | +0.8% | 859,709 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Beaudoin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 74,000 @ $63.69 | $4.7M | −10.0% of holding | +12.2% | −0.2% | 666,861 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Sawhill Stephanie | officer | Sale | 62,000 @ $63.93 | $4.0M | −10.9% of holding | +12.2% | −0.2% | 504,939 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Raduenz Brian | director | Sale | 90,000 @ $68.00 | $6.1M | −26.2% of holding | +1.3% | −16.1% | 254,105 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-25 | TCFIII Spaceco SPV LP | director | Sale | 23,623,968 @ $49.00 | $1.2B | −31.9% of holding | +4.3% | +106.1% | 50,450,859 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-25 | Koblinski Anthony | director | Sale | 250,000 @ $49.00 | $12.3M | −8.7% of holding | +4.3% | +106.1% | 2,615,826 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-25 | Willis Michael | officer | Sale | 100,000 @ $49.00 | $4.9M | −9.3% of holding | +4.3% | +106.1% | 974,709 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-25 | Beaudoin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 80,000 @ $49.00 | $3.9M | −9.7% of holding | +4.3% | +106.1% | 740,861 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-25 | Sawhill Stephanie | officer | Sale | 62,000 @ $49.00 | $3.0M | −9.9% of holding | +4.3% | +106.1% | 566,939 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-25 | Raduenz Brian | director | Sale | 34,032 @ $49.00 | $1.7M | −8.3% of holding | +4.3% | +106.1% | 378,137 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | TCFIII Spaceco SPV LP | director | Sale | 9,686,678 @ $22.00 | $213.1M | −11.6% of holding | +15.8% | +55.7% | 74,074,827 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Koblinski Anthony | director | Sale | 379,055 @ $22.00 | $8.3M | −100.0% of holding | +15.8% | +55.7% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Willis Michael | officer | Sale | 72,727 @ $22.00 | $1.6M | −6.3% of holding | +15.8% | +55.7% | 1,074,709 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Beaudoin Jonathan | officer | Sale | 72,727 @ $22.00 | $1.6M | −8.1% of holding | +15.8% | +55.7% | 820,861 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Sawhill Stephanie | officer | Sale | 72,727 @ $22.00 | $1.6M | −10.4% of holding | +15.8% | +55.7% | 628,939 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Koblinski Anthony | director | Sale | 2,764 @ $22.00 | $61K | −0.1% of holding | +15.8% | +55.7% | 2,865,826 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
16 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Boynton Chris Michael | officer | Award / grant | 11,358 | 11,358 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Beaudoin Jonathan | officer | Award / grant | 689 | 667,550 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Hamilton John | director | Award / grant | 1,962 | 56,758 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Raduenz Brian | director | Award / grant | 2,363 | 2,363 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Laurendeau Doug | officer | Award / grant | 10,864 | 10,864 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Koblinski Anthony | director | Award / grant | 1,149 | 1,149 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | RAMBEAU JON | officer | Award / grant | 99,937 | 99,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Stinnett David | director | Award / grant | 1,962 | 3,503,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Twitty Stephen | director | Award / grant | 2,363 | 2,363 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Willis Michael | officer | Award / grant | 689 | 689 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Petryszyn Mary D | director | Award / grant | 2,294 | 2,294 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Sawhill Stephanie | officer | Award / grant | 689 | 505,628 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Alty Matthew | director | Award / grant | 2,363 | 2,363 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-25 | Stinnett David | director | Other acquisition | 3,501,433 | 3,501,433 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-25 | TCFIII Spaceco SPV LP | director | Other acquisition | 50,450,859 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-25 | Hamilton John | director | Other acquisition | 54,796 | 54,796 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.