Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.20 · now $3.20 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KRMD has typically landed between $2.55 and $4.09 — a range of −20.4% to +27.7% from the issuance price $3.20.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,995 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.20) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where KRMD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.2 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.2 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.19 (-0.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.93–$3.44
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.55–$4.09
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-01-02 | −62.6% | −62.6% | +0.0% |
| 2007-12-31 | −52.1% | −52.6% | +0.0% |
| 2007-07-19 | −50.0% | −50.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2007-05-16 | +300.0% | +0.0% | +300.0% |
| 2007-05-15 | +242.9% | +0.0% | +242.9% |
| 2007-05-10 | +200.0% | +0.0% | +200.0% |
4,995 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | KALBERMATTEN ADAM R | officer | Purchase | 32,000 @ $3.16 | $101K | +8.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 394,017 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | KALBERMATTEN ADAM R | officer | Purchase | 7,500 @ $3.93 | $29K | +2.5% of holding | +1.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 312,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | KALBERMATTEN ADAM R | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $3.96 | $20K | +1.7% of holding | +1.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 305,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Schiller Eric | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $3.91 | $20K | ownership Δ n/a | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Tharby Linda M | director | Purchase | 1,191 @ $1191.00 | $1.4M | +0.2% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 620,622 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Adams Thomas Edward | officer | Purchase | 5,041 @ $3.86 | $19K | +1.7% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 307,688 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Pazdan Christopher | officer | Purchase | 5,000 @ $3.88 | $19K | +1.7% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 305,131 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Adams Thomas Edward | officer | Purchase | 459 @ $3.90 | $2K | +0.1% of holding | −3.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 308,147 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
112 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | KALBERMATTEN ADAM R | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,483 | 362,017 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | KALBERMATTEN ADAM R | officer | Option exercise | 75,000 | 387,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | FLETCHER R JOHN | director | Award / grant | 5,357 | 232,157 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | CASCELLA ROBERT | director | Award / grant | 3,571 | 98,155 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | French Donna | director | Award / grant | 3,571 | 98,514 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Matin Shahriar | director | Award / grant | 3,571 | 101,144 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | WHOLIHAN EDWARD | director | Award / grant | 3,571 | 51,312 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | KALBERMATTEN ADAM R | officer | Award / grant | 286,697 | 286,697 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Manko Joseph M. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 3,571 | 5,069,541 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Tharby Linda M | director | Withheld for tax | 7,326 | 619,431 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Adams Thomas Edward | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,900 | 313,440 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Pazdan Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,470 | 308,988 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Tharby Linda M | director | Option exercise | 13,977 | 626,757 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Pazdan Christopher | officer | Option exercise | 5,327 | 310,458 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Adams Thomas Edward | officer | Option exercise | 8,193 | 316,340 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | FLETCHER R JOHN | director | Award / grant | 5,208 | 226,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | CASCELLA ROBERT | director | Award / grant | 3,472 | 94,584 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Matin Shahriar | director | Award / grant | 3,472 | 97,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | French Donna | director | Award / grant | 3,472 | 94,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | WHOLIHAN EDWARD | director | Award / grant | 3,472 | 47,741 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Manko Joseph M. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 3,472 | 5,065,970 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Pazdan Christopher | officer | Award / grant | 46,929 | 46,929 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | KALBERMATTEN ADAM R | officer | Award / grant | 45,098 | 45,098 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | KALBERMATTEN ADAM R | officer | Award / grant | 67,779 | 67,779 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Adams Thomas Edward | officer | Award / grant | 38,918 | 38,918 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Adams Thomas Edward | officer | Award / grant | 58,490 | 58,490 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Pazdan Christopher | officer | Award / grant | 31,226 | 31,226 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Tharby Linda M | director | Withheld for tax | 5,756 | 10,212 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Adams Thomas Edward | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,123 | 3,281 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Pazdan Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,628 | 3,436 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Pazdan Christopher | officer | Option exercise | 5,064 | 5,064 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Adams Thomas Edward | officer | Option exercise | 5,404 | 5,404 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Tharby Linda M | director | Option exercise | 15,968 | 15,968 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Manko Joseph M. Jr. | director | Other acquisition | 750,000 | 750,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Manko Joseph M. Jr. | director | Other acquisition | 750,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Manko Joseph M. Jr. | director | Other acquisition | 282,347 | 782,547 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Manko Joseph M. Jr. | director | Other acquisition | 770,418 | 5,062,498 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | FLETCHER R JOHN | director | Award / grant | 3,872 | 221,592 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Matin Shahriar | director | Award / grant | 2,581 | 94,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | WHOLIHAN EDWARD | director | Award / grant | 2,581 | 44,269 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.