KRG · TickerCove

KRGKite Realty Group TrustReal Estate · REIT - Retailas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $25.65 · now $25.65 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KRG has typically landed between $22.95 and $28.51 — a range of −10.5% to +11.2% from the issuance price $25.65.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($25.65) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$25.65 · 55% of range

$20.5 low$29.83 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.8%

typical move · IQR 8.4%

−10.5%worst (p90)+11.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where KRG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $25.65 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $25.65 (+0.0%)
typical $25.86 (+0.8%)
middle 50% $24.78–$26.94
90% range $22.95–$28.51

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-10-21	−60.0%	−60.0%	+0.0%
2008-10-22	−58.8%	−58.8%	+0.0%
2008-10-23	−57.5%	−57.5%	+5.5%
3 best
2008-11-21	+92.2%	+0.0%	+108.3%
2008-11-20	+82.3%	−6.7%	+94.3%
2009-04-08	+80.2%	−0.7%	+80.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

−0.0%

n=20

Feb

50%

−0.2%

n=20

Mar

50%

−2.4%

n=20

Apr

45%

+3.9%

n=20

May

45%

−2.1%

n=20

Jun

55%

−0.1%

n=20

Jul

65%

+2.2%

n=20

Aug

45%

−0.2%

n=20

Sep

50%

−0.0%

n=20

Oct

55%

+0.5%

n=20

Nov

65%

+1.6%

n=20

Dec

65%

+4.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-26	Grimes Steven P	director	Sale	5,922 @ $27.25	$161K	−0.8% of holding	+7.6%	not yet — horizon still open	696,384	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-26	WURTZEBACH CHARLES H	director	Sale	7,722 @ $26.08	$201K	−11.7% of holding	+0.4%	−10.5%	58,060	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-03	Kite John A	director	Sale	50,000 @ $22.70	$1.1M	−48.0% of holding	−7.6%	+10.6%	54,121	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-12	Grimes Steven P	director	Sale	13,576 @ $22.62	$307K	−1.9% of holding	−3.5%	−9.5%	697,037	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

49 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-01	COLEMAN VICTOR J	director	Award / grant	418	108,403	Form 4
2026-05-14	Burks Derrick	director	Award / grant	4,958	36,751	Form 4
2026-05-14	WURTZEBACH CHARLES H	director	Award / grant	4,958	71,102	Form 4
2026-05-14	O'Reilly David R.	director	Award / grant	4,958	73,734	Form 4
2026-05-14	Lynch Peter L	director	Award / grant	4,958	84,126	Form 4
2026-05-14	Grimes Steven P	director	Award / grant	4,958	702,306	Form 4
2026-05-14	Kelly Christie B.	director	Award / grant	4,958	95,777	Form 4
2026-05-14	Peterson Barton R	director	Award / grant	4,958	114,189	Form 4
2026-05-14	COLEMAN VICTOR J	director	Award / grant	4,958	107,985	Form 4
2026-05-14	Young Caroline L.	director	Award / grant	4,958	55,705	Form 4
2026-04-06	Jaworski Adam M	officer	Award / grant	13,371	13,371	Form 4
2026-04-01	COLEMAN VICTOR J	director	Award / grant	483	97,935	Form 4
2026-02-23	McGowan Thomas K	officer	Option exercise	149,254	0	Form 4
2026-02-23	McGowan Thomas K	officer	Option exercise	50,245	979,399	Form 4
2026-02-19	Heath R Fear	officer	Award / grant	42,807	566,279	Form 4
2026-02-19	Heath R Fear	officer	Award / grant	33,965	600,244	Form 4
2026-02-19	McGowan Thomas K	officer	Award / grant	45,153	892,577	Form 4
2026-02-19	McGowan Thomas K	officer	Award / grant	36,577	929,154	Form 4
2026-02-19	Kite John A	director	Award / grant	138,390	2,758,960	Form 4
2026-02-19	Kite John A	director	Award / grant	111,036	2,869,996	Form 4
2026-01-02	COLEMAN VICTOR J	director	Award / grant	495	97,452	Form 4
2025-10-01	COLEMAN VICTOR J	director	Award / grant	532	96,957	Form 4
2025-07-01	COLEMAN VICTOR J	director	Award / grant	524	96,425	Form 4
2025-05-16	Biumi Bonnie	director	Award / grant	5,611	73,680	Form 4
2025-05-16	Burks Derrick	director	Award / grant	5,611	31,181	Form 4
2025-05-16	COLEMAN VICTOR J	director	Award / grant	5,611	95,901	Form 4
2025-05-16	Grimes Steven P	director	Award / grant	5,611	710,613	Form 4
2025-05-16	Lynch Peter L	director	Award / grant	5,611	75,861	Form 4
2025-05-16	O'Reilly David R.	director	Award / grant	5,611	68,924	Form 4
2025-05-16	WURTZEBACH CHARLES H	director	Award / grant	5,611	65,782	Form 4
2025-05-16	Kelly Christie B.	director	Award / grant	5,611	71,836	Form 4
2025-05-16	Peterson Barton R	director	Award / grant	5,611	85,780	Form 4
2025-05-16	Young Caroline L.	director	Award / grant	5,611	42,749	Form 4
2025-04-01	COLEMAN VICTOR J	director	Award / grant	530	90,290	Form 4
2025-03-03	Buell David	officer	Award / grant	14,015	74,058	Form 4
2025-02-18	Heath R Fear	officer	Award / grant	80,863	468,738	Form 4
2025-02-18	Heath R Fear	officer	Award / grant	37,467	506,205	Form 4
2025-02-18	Heath R Fear	officer	Award / grant	17,267	523,472	Form 4
2025-02-18	Kite John A	director	Award / grant	202,157	2,441,276	Form 4
2025-02-18	Kite John A	director	Award / grant	120,429	2,561,705	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i