Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.34 · now $4.34 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KOPN has typically landed between $2.95 and $6.70 — a range of −32.0% to +54.4% from the issuance price $4.34.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.34) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where KOPN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.34 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $4.34 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.26 (-1.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.45–$5.07
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.95–$6.7
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-03-27 | −57.6% | −57.6% | +0.0% |
| 2024-03-26 | −55.6% | −55.6% | +1.1% |
| 2024-03-28 | −55.2% | −56.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2021-01-14 | +326.4% | +0.0% | +326.4% |
| 2021-01-15 | +275.3% | +0.0% | +323.8% |
| 2021-01-13 | +255.4% | +0.0% | +255.4% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Baker Paul Christopher | officer | Sale | 58,939 @ $4.90 | $289K | −12.3% of holding | +10.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 420,025 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Baker Paul Christopher | officer | Sale | 1,041 @ $4.90 | $5K | −0.2% of holding | +29.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 478,964 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-28 | Baker Paul Christopher | officer | Sale | 116,860 @ $3.95 | $462K | −19.6% of holding | +45.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 480,005 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | Murray Michael Andrew | director | Sale | 96,800 @ $3.01 | $291K | −3.4% of holding | +61.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,771,122 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Murray Michael Andrew | director | Sale | 63,200 @ $3.01 | $190K | −2.2% of holding | +82.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,867,922 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-13 | Murray Michael Andrew | director | Sale | 187,920 @ $2.80 | $526K | −6.0% of holding | +83.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,931,122 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-26 | Murray Michael Andrew | director | Sale | 5,413 @ $2.25 | $12K | −0.2% of holding | +81.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,119,042 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | Murray Michael Andrew | director | Sale | 33,334 @ $2.32 | $77K | −1.1% of holding | +52.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,124,455 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
28 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | SEIF MARGARET K | director | Award / grant | 64,500 | 193,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | NIEUWSMA DAVID J | director | Award / grant | 64,500 | 258,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Walsh Paul V Jr | director | Award / grant | 64,500 | 193,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Avery Jill Janice | director | Award / grant | 64,500 | 223,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Murray Michael Andrew | director | Award / grant | 583,658 | 3,157,789 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Baker Paul Christopher | officer | Award / grant | 72,000 | 596,865 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Murray Michael Andrew | director | Award / grant | 724,638 | 1,316,004 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Murray Michael Andrew | director | Withheld for tax | 93,477 | 2,574,131 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | SNEIDER RICHARD | officer | Withheld for tax | 20,606 | 610,277 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Baker Paul Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,666 | 524,865 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Manz Erich | officer | Award / grant | 400,000 | 400,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | Walsh Paul V Jr | director | Award / grant | 64,500 | 129,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | NIEUWSMA DAVID J | director | Award / grant | 64,500 | 193,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | Avery Jill Janice | director | Award / grant | 64,500 | 159,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-26 | SEIF MARGARET K | director | Award / grant | 64,500 | 129,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-23 | SNEIDER RICHARD | officer | Award / grant | 25,000 | 630,883 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-23 | Baker Paul Christopher | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 544,531 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-17 | SNEIDER RICHARD | officer | Disposition | 3,486 | 605,883 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-17 | Baker Paul Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,141 | 444,531 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-17 | SNEIDER RICHARD | officer | Disposition | 35,372 | 609,369 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-17 | Baker Paul Christopher | officer | Disposition | 31,858 | 447,672 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-03 | Murray Michael Andrew | director | Award / grant | 591,366 | 591,366 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-03 | Baker Paul Christopher | officer | Award / grant | 146,350 | 479,530 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-03 | Murray Michael Andrew | director | Award / grant | 408,634 | 2,667,608 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-03 | SNEIDER RICHARD | officer | Award / grant | 136,600 | 644,741 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | Murray Michael Andrew | director | Withheld for tax | 68,222 | 2,258,285 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | SNEIDER RICHARD | officer | Withheld for tax | 18,895 | 507,849 | Form 4 |
| 2024-12-10 | Baker Paul Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,521 | 322,992 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.