KOP · TickerCove

KOPKoppers Holdings Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $46.72 · now $46.72 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KOP has typically landed between $40.19 and $54.74 — a range of −14.0% to +17.2% from the issuance price $46.72.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($46.72) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$46.72 · 81% of range

$26.16 low$51.47 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.6%

typical move · IQR 12.6%

−14.0%worst (p90)+17.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

1 open-market sale

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where KOP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $46.72 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $46.72 (+0.0%)
typical $47.01 (+0.6%)
middle 50% $44.07–$49.96
90% range $40.19–$54.74

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-13	−67.9%	−67.9%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−67.5%	−67.5%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−67.4%	−67.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-07	+70.7%	−10.2%	+70.7%
2020-05-06	+70.5%	−4.0%	+70.5%
2019-10-10	+63.9%	+0.0%	+63.9%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

44%

−1.6%

n=18

Feb

63%

+1.1%

n=19

Mar

68%

+2.1%

n=19

Apr

63%

+4.2%

n=19

May

42%

−0.4%

n=19

Jun

47%

+0.1%

n=19

Jul

63%

+3.0%

n=19

Aug

42%

−2.0%

n=19

Sep

42%

−0.7%

n=19

Oct

67%

+1.8%

n=18

Nov

72%

+4.4%

n=18

Dec

61%

+0.8%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-31	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	4,000 @ $45.96	$184K	−0.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	429,555	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	3,000 @ $45.84	$138K	−0.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	433,555	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12	Lucas Stephen G	officer	Sale	1,308 @ $44.55	$58K	−3.7% of holding	+3.3%	not yet — horizon still open	34,345	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11	Sullivan James A.	officer	Sale	7,500 @ $50.00	$375K	−8.3% of holding	+2.4%	not yet — horizon still open	82,898	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Pearce Bradley A	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $51.01	$102K	−4.6% of holding	−7.5%	not yet — horizon still open	41,037	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07	Sullivan James A.	officer	Sale	79,900 @ $50.01	$4.0M	−46.9% of holding	−10.4%	not yet — horizon still open	90,498	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07	Sullivan James A.	officer	Sale	100 @ $51.22	$5K	−0.1% of holding	−10.4%	not yet — horizon still open	90,398	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-18	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	3,412 @ $43.90	$150K	−0.8% of holding	+17.5%	not yet — horizon still open	436,243	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-11	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	4,141 @ $41.34	$171K	−0.9% of holding	+14.7%	not yet — horizon still open	439,955	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-13	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	2,659 @ $42.55	$113K	−0.6% of holding	+2.0%	not yet — horizon still open	444,096	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-17	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	2,489 @ $37.91	$94K	−0.6% of holding	−6.9%	not yet — horizon still open	447,459	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	3,763 @ $37.02	$139K	−0.8% of holding	+11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	450,273	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	2,184 @ $36.53	$80K	−0.5% of holding	+11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	454,364	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	328 @ $37.45	$12K	−0.1% of holding	+11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	454,036	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-15	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	2,448 @ $30.48	$75K	−0.7% of holding	−5.6%	+12.3%	357,308	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-19	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	3,279 @ $29.15	$96K	−0.9% of holding	−8.0%	−16.5%	362,017	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-19	BALL M LEROY	director	Sale	505 @ $30.07	$15K	−0.1% of holding	−8.0%	−16.5%	361,512	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

283 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	Feng Xudong	director	Award / grant	33	445	Form 4
2026-09-14	MOTLEY DAVID L	director	Award / grant	20	316	Form 4
2026-09-14	Sandifer Andrew D	director	Award / grant	14	117	Form 4
2026-09-14	WILKERSON SONJA MICHELLE	director	Award / grant	29	385	Form 4
2026-08-31	BALL M LEROY	director	Gift	200	429,355	Form 4
2026-06-15	Sandifer Andrew D	director	Award / grant	14	103	Form 4
2026-06-15	MOTLEY DAVID L	director	Award / grant	21	296	Form 4
2026-06-15	Feng Xudong	director	Award / grant	34	412	Form 4
2026-06-15	WILKERSON SONJA MICHELLE	director	Award / grant	30	356	Form 4
2026-06-11	BALL M LEROY	director	Gift	300	439,655	Form 4
2026-06-03	Feng Xudong	director	Gift	5,695	26,489	Form 4
2026-05-26	Brenner Eric D.	officer	Award / grant	6,620	6,620	Form 4
2026-05-12	Pearce Bradley A	officer	Award / grant	5,000	43,037	Form 4
2026-05-07	MOTLEY DAVID L	director	Option exercise	50	22,044	Form 4
2026-05-07	Posadas Laura J	director	Option exercise	11	0	Form 4
2026-05-07	NEUPAVER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	50	83,834	Form 4
2026-05-07	Posadas Laura J	director	Award / grant	3,280	5,531	Form 4
2026-05-07	Posadas Laura J	director	Option exercise	11	2,251	Form 4
2026-05-07	NEUPAVER ALBERT J	director	Option exercise	50	0	Form 4
2026-05-07	WILKERSON SONJA MICHELLE	director	Award / grant	3,280	17,976	Form 4
2026-05-07	Feng Xudong	director	Award / grant	3,280	32,184	Form 4
2026-05-07	JENSEN TRACI L	director	Option exercise	50	32,059	Form 4
2026-05-07	JENSEN TRACI L	director	Award / grant	3,280	35,339	Form 4
2026-05-07	JENSEN TRACI L	director	Option exercise	50	0	Form 4
2026-05-07	Vartanian Nishan J.	director	Option exercise	50	7,384	Form 4
2026-05-07	Vartanian Nishan J.	director	Award / grant	3,280	10,664	Form 4
2026-05-07	Vartanian Nishan J.	director	Option exercise	50	0	Form 4
2026-05-07	MOTLEY DAVID L	director	Option exercise	50	276	Form 4
2026-05-07	MOTLEY DAVID L	director	Award / grant	3,280	13,198	Form 4
2026-05-07	Sandifer Andrew D	director	Award / grant	3,280	10,137	Form 4
2026-03-23	Sandifer Andrew D	director	Award / grant	50	84	Form 4
2026-03-23	Feng Xudong	director	Award / grant	30	378	Form 4
2026-03-23	WILKERSON SONJA MICHELLE	director	Award / grant	50	300	Form 4
2026-03-23	WILKERSON SONJA MICHELLE	director	Award / grant	25	326	Form 4
2026-03-23	JENSEN TRACI L	director	Award / grant	50	50	Form 4
2026-03-23	Vartanian Nishan J.	director	Award / grant	50	50	Form 4
2026-03-23	MOTLEY DAVID L	director	Award / grant	50	300	Form 4
2026-03-23	MOTLEY DAVID L	director	Award / grant	25	326	Form 4
2026-03-23	Posadas Laura J	director	Award / grant	11	11	Form 4
2026-03-23	NEUPAVER ALBERT J	director	Award / grant	50	50	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i