Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.42 · now $9.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KODK has typically landed between $7.38 and $12.58 — a range of −21.6% to +33.5% from the issuance price $9.42.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,232 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-09-23 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where KODK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $9.42 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.3 (-1.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.24–$10.35
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $7.38–$12.58
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-07-29 | −82.3% | −82.3% | +0.0% |
| 2020-07-30 | −79.8% | −80.3% | +0.0% |
| 2020-07-31 | −72.6% | −73.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-06-29 | +1306.8% | −14.4% | +1306.8% |
| 2020-06-30 | +1237.7% | −9.4% | +1388.8% |
| 2020-07-01 | +875.4% | −9.8% | +1382.1% |
3,232 overlapping windows · 2013-09-23 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Katz Philippe D | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $10.30 | $21K | +1.1% of holding | −6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 187,026 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Purchase | 746,620 @ $101.50 | $75.8M | ownership Δ n/a | −8.6% | −0.3% | 746,620 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-05 | Kennedy Lewis Investment Holdings II LLC | director | Purchase | 746,620 @ $101.50 | $75.8M | ownership Δ n/a | −8.6% | −0.3% | 746,620 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-05 | Kennedy Lewis Investment Holdings II LLC | director | Purchase | 178,479 @ $101.50 | $18.1M | ownership Δ n/a | −8.6% | −0.3% | 178,479 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-05 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Purchase | 178,479 @ $101.50 | $18.1M | ownership Δ n/a | −8.6% | −0.3% | 178,479 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-05 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Purchase | 69,171 @ $101.50 | $7.0M | ownership Δ n/a | −8.6% | −0.3% | 69,171 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-05 | Kennedy Lewis Investment Holdings II LLC | director | Purchase | 69,171 @ $101.50 | $7.0M | ownership Δ n/a | −8.6% | −0.3% | 69,171 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-05 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Purchase | 5,730 @ $101.50 | $582K | ownership Δ n/a | −8.6% | −0.3% | 5,730 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-05 | Kennedy Lewis Investment Holdings II LLC | director | Purchase | 5,730 @ $101.50 | $582K | ownership Δ n/a | −8.6% | −0.3% | 5,730 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-17 | Katz Philippe D | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $7.35 | $37K | +2.8% of holding | +17.3% | +22.0% | 185,026 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Byrd Roger W. | officer | Sale | 19,744 @ $8.00 | $158K | −25.0% of holding | +6.2% | +9.9% | 59,266 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | CONTINENZA JAMES V | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $5.74 | $287K | +2.7% of holding | +0.1% | +25.2% | 1,902,011 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-14 | Katz Philippe D | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $5.67 | $57K | +5.9% of holding | +0.1% | +25.2% | 180,026 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-19 | SILECK MICHAEL | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $7.02 | $70K | +10.2% of holding | +1.3% | −22.0% | 107,940 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | Katz Philippe D | director | Purchase | 6,000 @ $6.50 | $39K | +3.7% of holding | −0.2% | −12.8% | 170,026 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
206 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Lynch Kathleen B. | director | Award / grant | 12,726 | 12,726 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | New Jason Griffin | director | Award / grant | 12,726 | 12,726 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | SILECK MICHAEL | director | Award / grant | 12,726 | 12,726 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Bovenzi David | director | Award / grant | 12,726 | 12,726 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Katz Philippe D | director | Award / grant | 12,726 | 12,726 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | SILECK MICHAEL | director | Option exercise | 16,393 | 144,254 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | SILECK MICHAEL | director | Option exercise | 16,393 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | New Jason Griffin | director | Disposition | 16,393 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | New Jason Griffin | director | Award / grant | 16,393 | 81,754 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Lynch Kathleen B. | director | Disposition | 16,393 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Lynch Kathleen B. | director | Award / grant | 16,393 | 81,754 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Katz Philippe D | director | Disposition | 16,393 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Katz Philippe D | director | Award / grant | 16,393 | 142,264 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Bovenzi David | director | Option exercise | 16,393 | 52,142 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Bovenzi David | director | Option exercise | 16,393 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Bullwinkle David E | officer | Withheld for tax | 18,025 | 133,441 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Byrd Roger W. | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,088 | 121,380 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Bullwinkle David E | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,009 | 101,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Michaels Richard T | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,648 | 30,182 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Byrd Roger W. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,030 | 102,468 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Bullwinkle David E | officer | Option exercise | 16,668 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Byrd Roger W. | officer | Option exercise | 8,334 | 104,498 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Michaels Richard T | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 33,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Bullwinkle David E | officer | Option exercise | 50,000 | 151,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Byrd Roger W. | officer | Option exercise | 25,000 | 127,468 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Bullwinkle David E | officer | Option exercise | 50,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Michaels Richard T | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Byrd Roger W. | officer | Option exercise | 8,334 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Byrd Roger W. | officer | Option exercise | 25,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Bullwinkle David E | officer | Option exercise | 16,668 | 107,475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Kennedy Lewis Investment Holdings II LLC | director | Disposition | 746,620 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Kennedy Lewis Investment Holdings II LLC | director | Disposition | 69,171 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Disposition | 746,620 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Disposition | 69,171 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Disposition | 5,730 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Disposition | 178,479 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Award / grant | 746,620 | 746,620 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Award / grant | 69,171 | 69,171 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Award / grant | 5,730 | 5,730 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | KENNEDY LEWIS MANAGEMENT LP | director | Disposition | 746,620 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.