Issued 2026-09-16 at $24.08 · now $24.08 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KMTS has typically landed between $18.84 and $32.33 — a range of −21.8% to +34.3% from the issuance price $24.08.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
364 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-03-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($24.08) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where KMTS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $24.08 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $24.08 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $23.98 (-0.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $21.78–$26.19
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $18.84–$32.33
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 364 windows spanning 2025-03-06 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-05-20 | −39.7% | −39.7% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-16 | −38.8% | −38.8% | +1.3% |
| 2025-05-19 | −36.0% | −37.8% | +2.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-08-19 | +60.7% | +0.0% | +60.7% |
| 2025-09-04 | +50.3% | +0.0% | +55.9% |
| 2025-08-20 | +50.2% | −2.9% | +51.8% |
364 overlapping windows · 2025-03-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
0%
−7.0%
n=1
Feb
0%
−5.6%
n=1
Mar
0%
−14.4%
n=1
Apr
50%
+0.3%
n=2
May
50%
−1.9%
n=2
Jun
50%
−3.4%
n=2
Jul
0%
−5.4%
n=2
Aug
50%
+5.3%
n=2
Sep
50%
+20.4%
n=2
Oct
100%
+15.2%
n=1
Nov
0%
−1.5%
n=1
Dec
0%
−1.7%
n=1
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Hanley Conor | director | Sale | 5,694 @ $25.25 | $144K | −47.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,272 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Ladone Mary Kay | director | Sale | 3,908 @ $25.20 | $98K | −9.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 37,507 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Schwartz Jeffrey Lawrence | director | Sale | 3,890 @ $25.18 | $98K | −35.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 7,019 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Reilly Kevin C | director | Sale | 2,932 @ $25.13 | $74K | −35.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,368 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $27.48 | $412K | −3.2% of holding | −11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 460,215 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Mahboob Vaseem | officer | Sale | 25,787 @ $25.87 | $667K | −29.7% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 61,109 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Mahboob Vaseem | officer | Sale | 500 @ $26.33 | $13K | −0.8% of holding | −1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 60,609 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 48,625 @ $24.47 | $1.2M | −9.2% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 478,490 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Ford Alfred J Jr | officer | Sale | 6,275 @ $24.09 | $151K | −5.9% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 99,564 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Mahboob Vaseem | officer | Sale | 3,915 @ $25.17 | $99K | −4.3% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 86,896 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Umberger Traci S | director | Sale | 3,580 @ $24.04 | $86K | −1.8% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 195,825 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Mahboob Vaseem | officer | Sale | 3,080 @ $24.06 | $74K | −3.3% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 90,811 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 2,833 @ $25.16 | $71K | −0.6% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 475,657 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 442 @ $25.98 | $11K | −0.1% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 475,215 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 13,017 @ $23.92 | $311K | −2.4% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 527,115 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | Ford Alfred J Jr | officer | Sale | 13,015 @ $23.90 | $311K | −11.0% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 105,839 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | Umberger Traci S | director | Sale | 7,590 @ $23.86 | $181K | −3.7% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 199,405 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | Mahboob Vaseem | officer | Sale | 5,391 @ $23.80 | $128K | −5.4% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 93,891 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | Moran Timothy P. | director | Sale | 2,380 @ $23.76 | $57K | −3.5% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,345 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-31 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 8,948 @ $22.60 | $202K | −1.6% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 540,132 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Mahboob Vaseem | officer | Sale | 8,817 @ $22.61 | $199K | −8.2% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 99,282 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Moran Timothy P. | director | Sale | 8,759 @ $22.61 | $198K | −11.3% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 68,725 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Umberger Traci S | director | Sale | 8,752 @ $22.60 | $198K | −4.1% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 206,995 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Ford Alfred J Jr | officer | Sale | 8,681 @ $22.61 | $196K | −6.8% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 118,854 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 7,857 @ $22.72 | $179K | −1.4% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 549,080 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Ford Alfred J Jr | officer | Sale | 5,936 @ $22.76 | $135K | −4.4% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 127,535 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Umberger Traci S | director | Sale | 5,887 @ $22.74 | $134K | −2.7% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 215,747 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Moran Timothy P. | director | Sale | 4,117 @ $22.77 | $94K | −5.0% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 77,484 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Mahboob Vaseem | officer | Sale | 3,980 @ $22.75 | $91K | −3.6% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 108,099 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 11,216 @ $22.01 | $247K | −2.0% of holding | +9.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 560,721 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $24.00 | $72K | −0.5% of holding | +9.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 556,937 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 784 @ $22.63 | $18K | −0.1% of holding | +9.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 559,937 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $20.81 | $312K | −3.7% of holding | +17.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 395,467 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 8,155 @ $20.53 | $167K | −2.3% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 341,631 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 6,845 @ $21.46 | $147K | −2.0% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 334,786 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $20.04 | $301K | −4.1% of holding | +2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 349,786 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-26 | COHEN RAYMOND W | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $19.98 | $200K | +24.4% of holding | +2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,903 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $20.27 | $304K | −3.9% of holding | −8.3% | +0.9% | 364,786 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 11,635 @ $25.39 | $295K | −2.9% of holding | −21.8% | −5.9% | 383,151 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 3,272 @ $26.29 | $86K | −0.9% of holding | −21.8% | −5.9% | 379,879 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 93 @ $27.18 | $3K | −0.0% of holding | −21.8% | −5.9% | 379,786 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $22.80 | $342K | −3.7% of holding | +14.8% | −6.6% | 394,786 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-29 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Sale | 15,000 @ $26.59 | $399K | −3.5% of holding | −7.0% | −9.6% | 409,786 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-29 | Umberger Traci S | director | Sale | 10,500 @ $26.69 | $280K | −7.1% of holding | −7.0% | −9.6% | 136,633 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-07 | COHEN RAYMOND W | director | Purchase | 17,000 @ $17.00 | $289K | +130.8% of holding | +20.7% | −28.2% | 29,994 | Form 4 · filed 185 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
56 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | COHEN RAYMOND W | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 58,120 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Ladone Mary Kay | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 44,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Schwartz Jeffrey Lawrence | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 14,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Hanley Conor | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 13,489 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | COHEN RAYMOND W | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 58,120 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Schwartz Jeffrey Lawrence | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 14,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Reilly Kevin C | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 12,585 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Ladone Mary Kay | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 44,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Kwo Elizabeth | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 18,126 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Kwo Elizabeth | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 18,126 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | COHEN RAYMOND W | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 58,120 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Schwartz Jeffrey Lawrence | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 14,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Hanley Conor | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 13,489 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Reilly Kevin C | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 12,585 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Ladone Mary Kay | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 44,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Hanley Conor | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 13,489 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Schwartz Jeffrey Lawrence | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 14,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Reilly Kevin C | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 12,585 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Kwo Elizabeth | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 18,126 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Ladone Mary Kay | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 44,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Kwo Elizabeth | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 18,126 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | COHEN RAYMOND W | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 58,120 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Hanley Conor | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 13,489 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | Reilly Kevin C | director | Award / grant | 7,217 | 12,585 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-16 | Moran Timothy P. | director | Award / grant | 39,113 | 81,601 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Umberger Traci S | director | Award / grant | 58,832 | 221,634 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Ford Alfred J Jr | officer | Award / grant | 58,832 | 133,471 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Award / grant | 176,470 | 571,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Mahboob Vaseem | officer | Award / grant | 44,118 | 112,079 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Umberger Traci S | director | Award / grant | 942 | 162,802 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Moran Timothy P. | director | Award / grant | 227 | 42,488 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Umberger Traci S | director | Award / grant | 25,227 | 161,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Moran Timothy P. | director | Award / grant | 22,704 | 42,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ford Alfred J Jr | officer | Award / grant | 25,227 | 74,639 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Webster Brian Daniel | director | Award / grant | 75,681 | 410,467 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Mahboob Vaseem | officer | Award / grant | 25,227 | 67,961 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Reilly Kevin C | director | Award / grant | 8,300 | 8,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Reilly Kevin C | director | Award / grant | 8,300 | 8,300 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-03 | Moran Timothy P. | director | Award / grant | 19,557 | 19,557 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-03 | Moran Timothy P. | director | Award / grant | 19,557 | 19,557 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.