KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Midstreamas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.73 · now $30.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KMI has typically landed between $28.37 and $34.07 — a range of −7.7% to +10.9% from the issuance price $30.73.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,900 overlapping 1 month windows · 2011-02-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where KMI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$28.37worst · -7.7%$34.07best · +10.9%
  • now $30.73 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.2 (+1.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $30.02–$32.38
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $28.37–$34.07
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,900 windows spanning 2011-02-11 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−54.6%−54.6%+1.0%
2020-02-21−50.2%−54.9%+0.0%
2020-02-19−49.5%−54.9%+0.4%
3 best
2020-03-18+49.9%+0.0%+53.8%
2016-01-20+46.0%+0.0%+50.3%
2016-01-19+43.9%−4.3%+43.9%

3,900 overlapping windows · 2011-02-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$73.1B
market cap
$1.56
EPS (TTM)
21.1
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-28
next earnings
Revenue$16.9B
'20'25
Net income$3.1B
'20'25
Free cash flow$3.2B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr18.0%
'20'25
ROE · by yr9.8%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.04
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 22 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $30.73$29.32$49.77
  • DCF (intrinsic)$48.36
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 20.3× · n=22$31.62
  • Analyst target · range $32.00–$43.00$36.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$30.73

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
73%
+4.5%
n=15
Feb
47%
+0.3%
n=15
Mar
75%
+1.4%
n=16
Apr
56%
+0.2%
n=16
May
63%
+1.0%
n=16
Jun
63%
+0.4%
n=16
Jul
56%
+1.9%
n=16
Aug
38%
−0.8%
n=16
Sep
44%
−2.3%
n=16
Oct
47%
+0.5%
n=15
Nov
67%
+3.0%
n=15
Dec
60%
−2.2%
n=15

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$34$252026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $51K — Garthwaite Michael P.2026-07-16: 1 insider sale, $50K — Garthwaite Michael P.2026-07-06: 1 insider sale, $197K — Schlosser John W2026-06-16: 1 insider sale, $49K — Garthwaite Michael P.2026-06-05: 1 insider sale, $196K — Schlosser John W2026-05-18: 1 insider sale, $52K — Garthwaite Michael P.2026-05-05: 1 insider sale, $200K — Schlosser John W2026-04-16: 1 insider sale, $49K — Garthwaite Michael P.2026-04-06: 1 insider sale, $203K — Schlosser John W2026-03-16: 1 insider sale, $52K — Garthwaite Michael P.2026-03-05: 1 insider sale, $208K — Schlosser John W2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $256K — ASHLEY ANTHONY B2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $186K — Schlosser John W2026-02-02: 1 insider purchase, $89K — SMITH WILLIAM A2026-01-22: 1 insider sale, $600K — Michels David Patrick2026-01-05: 1 insider sale, $169K — Schlosser John W2025-12-05: 1 insider sale, $171K — Schlosser John W2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $166K — Schlosser John W2025-10-31: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Chronis Amy W2025-10-30: 1 insider purchase, $13K — Chronis Amy W2025-10-27: 1 insider purchase, $26.0M — KINDER RICHARD D2025-10-06: 1 insider sale, $174K — Schlosser John W2025-09-15: 1 insider sale, $659K — Grahmann Kevin P2025-09-08: 1 insider sale, $166K — Schlosser John W2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $3.4M2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $825K2025-10: 3 open-market purchases, $26.1M2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $174K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $166K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $171K2026-01: 2 open-market sales, $769K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $89K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $441K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $259K2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $252K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $252K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $245K2026-07: 2 open-market sales, $247K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $51K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Garthwaite Michael P. — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Garthwaite Michael P. — Sale on 2026-07-16, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Schlosser John W — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed same dayofficer Garthwaite Michael P. — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schlosser John W — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed same dayofficer Garthwaite Michael P. — Sale on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schlosser John W — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed same dayofficer Garthwaite Michael P. — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schlosser John W — Sale on 2026-04-06, filed same dayofficer Garthwaite Michael P. — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schlosser John W — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed same dayofficer ASHLEY ANTHONY B — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Schlosser John W — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed same daydirector SMITH WILLIAM A — Purchase on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Michels David Patrick — Sale on 2026-01-22, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Schlosser John W — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed same dayofficer Schlosser John W — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Schlosser John W — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed same daydirector Chronis Amy W — Purchase on 2025-10-31, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Chronis Amy W — Purchase on 2025-10-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector KINDER RICHARD D — Purchase on 2025-10-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schlosser John W — Sale on 2025-10-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Grahmann Kevin P — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schlosser John W — Sale on 2025-09-08, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17Garthwaite Michael P.officerSale1,550 @ $32.65$51K−3.0% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open50,413Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-16Garthwaite Michael P.officerSale1,550 @ $32.52$50K−3.7% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open40,193Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-06Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $31.90$197K−3.6% of holding−3.6%not yet — horizon still open164,208Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-16Garthwaite Michael P.officerSale1,550 @ $31.44$49K−3.6% of holding+3.4%not yet — horizon still open41,743Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-05Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $31.83$196K−3.5% of holding+1.2%not yet — horizon still open170,374Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-18Garthwaite Michael P.officerSale1,550 @ $33.65$52K−3.5% of holding−7.6%not yet — horizon still open43,293Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $32.41$200K−3.4% of holding−6.4%not yet — horizon still open176,540Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-16Garthwaite Michael P.officerSale1,550 @ $31.72$49K−3.3% of holding+1.4%not yet — horizon still open44,843Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-06Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $32.93$203K−3.3% of holding−11.7%not yet — horizon still open182,706Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-16Garthwaite Michael P.officerSale1,550 @ $33.30$52K−3.2% of holding−9.7%−20.6%46,393Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $33.67$208K−3.2% of holding+2.4%−18.6%188,872Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-17ASHLEY ANTHONY BofficerSale8,000 @ $31.95$256K−7.4% of holding+4.6%−9.7%100,146Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-05Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $30.09$186K−3.1% of holding+9.7%−12.1%195,038Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-02SMITH WILLIAM AdirectorPurchase3,000 @ $29.75$89K+10.7% of holding+16.0%−4.6%31,087Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-22Michels David PatrickofficerSale20,000 @ $30.00$600K−12.5% of holding+12.1%+4.9%139,428Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-05Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $27.49$169K−3.0% of holding+9.0%+9.7%201,204Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-05Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $27.81$171K−2.9% of holding−3.6%+6.9%207,370Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-10Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $27.00$166K−2.8% of holding−2.6%+14.0%213,536Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-31Chronis Amy WdirectorPurchase3,800 @ $26.23$100K+10.8% of holding+3.8%+20.4%39,051Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-30Chronis Amy WdirectorPurchase487 @ $26.26$13K+1.4% of holding+5.8%+22.1%35,251Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-27KINDER RICHARD DdirectorPurchase1,000,000 @ $25.96$26.0M+0.4% of holding+4.1%+19.9%246,212,353Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-06Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $28.17$174K−2.7% of holding−7.0%+19.3%219,702Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15Grahmann Kevin PofficerSale23,867 @ $27.61$659K−28.9% of holding−0.7%+22.1%58,653Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-08Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $27.00$166K−2.7% of holding+2.4%+22.2%225,868Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-11Sanders DaxofficerSale30,127 @ $27.05$815K−9.4% of holding−0.8%+8.3%292,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05Schlosser John WofficerSale6,166 @ $27.80$171K−2.6% of holding−8.1%−0.4%232,034Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-04Michels David PatrickofficerSale40,000 @ $28.19$1.1M−20.1% of holding−7.5%−0.4%159,428Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01Mody Sital KdirectorSale45,549 @ $27.96$1.3M−100.0% of holding−7.8%−4.9%0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-28Chronis Amy WdirectorPurchase2,759 @ $27.21$75K+8.6% of holding−2.4%+1.4%34,764Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04MARTIN THOMAS AofficerSale18,000 @ $28.26$509K−2.3% of holding−3.4%−16.3%771,652Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-07MARTIN THOMAS AofficerSale18,000 @ $27.57$496K−2.2% of holding−4.9%−25.5%789,652Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-02MARTIN THOMAS AofficerSale18,000 @ $28.75$517K−2.2% of holding−6.6%−19.5%807,652Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-05MARTIN THOMAS AofficerSale18,000 @ $26.61$479K−2.1% of holding+11.4%−9.9%825,652Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19MORGAN MICHAEL CdirectorSale100,000 @ $26.83$2.7M−2.9% of holding+12.1%−3.8%3,400,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19MORGAN MICHAEL CdirectorSale60,000 @ $26.88$1.6M−17.4% of holding+12.1%−3.8%285,087Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18Schlosser John WofficerSale75,461 @ $26.65$2.0M−25.5% of holding+11.4%−4.4%220,681Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-05MARTIN THOMAS AofficerSale18,000 @ $27.70$499K−2.1% of holding−0.8%−6.4%843,652Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-02MARTIN THOMAS AofficerSale18,000 @ $27.91$502K−2.0% of holding−4.0%−4.5%861,652Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

91 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-31Dang Kimberly AdirectorWithheld for tax250,2331,216,943Form 4
2026-07-31Sanders DaxofficerWithheld for tax51,238369,471Form 4
2026-07-31Holland James EofficerWithheld for tax50,993614,693Form 4
2026-07-31Michels David PatrickofficerWithheld for tax47,573213,383Form 4
2026-07-31Mody Sital KdirectorWithheld for tax45,54570,196Form 4
2026-07-31ASHLEY ANTHONY BofficerWithheld for tax40,275164,038Form 4
2026-07-31James Catherine C.officerWithheld for tax26,760165,338Form 4
2026-07-31Grahmann Kevin PofficerWithheld for tax13,57685,587Form 4
2026-07-31James Catherine C.officerOption exercise69,4450Form 4
2026-07-31Mody Sital KdirectorOption exercise115,741115,741Form 4
2026-07-31Mody Sital KdirectorOption exercise115,7410Form 4
2026-07-31Sanders DaxofficerOption exercise130,209420,709Form 4
2026-07-31Sanders DaxofficerOption exercise130,2090Form 4
2026-07-31Michels David PatrickofficerOption exercise121,528260,956Form 4
2026-07-31ASHLEY ANTHONY BofficerOption exercise104,167204,313Form 4
2026-07-31Michels David PatrickofficerOption exercise121,5280Form 4
2026-07-31ASHLEY ANTHONY BofficerOption exercise104,1670Form 4
2026-07-31Dang Kimberly AdirectorOption exercise636,5751,467,176Form 4
2026-07-31Dang Kimberly AdirectorOption exercise636,5750Form 4
2026-07-31Grahmann Kevin PofficerOption exercise40,51099,163Form 4
2026-07-31Grahmann Kevin PofficerOption exercise40,5100Form 4
2026-07-31Holland James EofficerOption exercise130,209665,686Form 4
2026-07-31Holland James EofficerOption exercise130,2090Form 4
2026-07-31James Catherine C.officerOption exercise69,445192,098Form 4
2026-07-21Michels David PatrickofficerAward / grant84,92984,929Form 4
2026-07-21ASHLEY ANTHONY BofficerAward / grant66,40066,400Form 4
2026-07-21Dang Kimberly AdirectorAward / grant399,167399,167Form 4
2026-07-21Garthwaite Michael P.officerAward / grant61,76761,767Form 4
2026-07-21Grahmann Kevin PofficerAward / grant30,88430,884Form 4
2026-07-21James Catherine C.officerAward / grant49,41449,414Form 4
2026-07-21Sanders DaxofficerAward / grant98,82798,827Form 4
2026-07-21Mody Sital KdirectorAward / grant154,417154,417Form 4
2026-07-21Schlosser John WofficerAward / grant80,29780,297Form 4
2026-07-21Pitta Michael JofficerAward / grant24,70724,707Form 4
2026-07-18Garthwaite Michael P.officerWithheld for tax4,14551,963Form 4
2026-07-18Pitta Michael JofficerWithheld for tax3,52377,236Form 4
2026-07-18Pitta Michael JofficerOption exercise14,46880,759Form 4
2026-07-18Garthwaite Michael P.officerOption exercise15,9150Form 4
2026-07-18Garthwaite Michael P.officerOption exercise15,91556,108Form 4
2026-07-18Pitta Michael JofficerOption exercise14,4680Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatesale2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Richard W. AllenHousepurchase2026-03-112026-02-19$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-10$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-02-132026-01-09$1–15K
Marjorie Taylor GreeneHousepurchase2025-10-282025-10-24$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-10-102025-09-05$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-09-122025-08-05$1–15K
Ritchie John TorresHousepurchase2025-08-202024-09-26$1–15K
Ritchie John TorresHousesale2025-08-202025-07-11$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-07-10$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-08-132025-07-22$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-06-062025-05-30$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-05-062025-04-29$1–15K
Marjorie Taylor GreeneHousepurchase2025-05-062025-05-05$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.