KMBKimberly-Clark CorporationConsumer Defensive · Household & Personal Productsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $98.10 · now $98.10 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KMB has typically landed between $90.01 and $107.64 — a range of −8.3% to +9.7% from the issuance price $98.10.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($98.10) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where KMB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $98.1 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$90.01worst · -8.3%$107.64best · +9.7%
  • now $98.1 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $97.89 (-0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $94.04–$101.73
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $90.01–$107.64
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−19.9%−19.9%+4.9%
2025-10-07−18.2%−18.2%+0.0%
2025-10-03−16.6%−16.6%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+27.1%+0.0%+27.1%
2026-06-04+23.1%+0.0%+23.1%
2020-03-25+21.7%+0.0%+22.7%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$36.4B
market cap
$6.37
EPS (TTM)
17.2
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$17.2B
'20'25
Net income$2.0B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.6B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr11.7%
'20'25
ROE · by yr134.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr4.86
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 28 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $98.10$93.49$160.31
  • DCF (intrinsic)$150.90
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 24.4× · n=28$155.70
  • Analyst target · range $100.00–$121.00$115.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$98.10

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
33%
−0.6%
n=18
Feb
63%
+0.8%
n=19
Mar
68%
+1.5%
n=19
Apr
63%
+1.8%
n=19
May
37%
−0.3%
n=19
Jun
74%
+2.2%
n=19
Jul
47%
+0.7%
n=19
Aug
63%
+1.0%
n=19
Sep
42%
−1.1%
n=19
Oct
28%
−1.1%
n=18
Nov
78%
+2.6%
n=18
Dec
39%
−0.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$129$922026-05-06: 1 insider sale, $401K — Scribner Andrew2026-05-04: 1 insider sale, $152K — Chen Katy2026-04-30: 1 insider sale, $136K — Chen Katy2026-02-09: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — MACLIN TODD2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $318K — Scribner Andrew2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $2.0M2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $1.0M2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $318K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $136K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $553K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Scribner Andrew — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed same dayofficer Chen Katy — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed same dayofficer Chen Katy — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MACLIN TODD — Purchase on 2026-02-09, filed same dayofficer Scribner Andrew — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-06Scribner AndrewofficerSale4,095 @ $98.00$401K−100.0% of holding+0.7%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-04Chen KatyofficerSale1,596 @ $95.34$152K−16.0% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open8,362Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-30Chen KatyofficerSale1,405 @ $96.95$136K−17.8% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open6,502Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09MACLIN TODDdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $104.15$1.0Mownership Δ n/a−0.7%−5.2%10,000Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-05Scribner AndrewofficerSale3,049 @ $104.29$318K−100.0% of holding−0.2%−6.8%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-04Hicks Zackery AdirectorSale15,038 @ $133.40$2.0M−51.2% of holding−5.9%−32.5%14,321Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-02Chen KatyofficerSale740 @ $129.70$96K−15.6% of holding+1.8%−27.4%3,997Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-29Chen KatyofficerSale1,794 @ $130.74$235K−36.7% of holding+3.7%−30.4%3,098Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-09MACLIN TODDdirectorPurchase266 @ $145.77$39K+12.5% of holding−4.4%−32.9%2,400Form 4 · filed 303 days after the trade
2025-02-28Drexler AndrewofficerSale10,838 @ $141.00$1.5M−58.4% of holding+6.6%−16.6%7,720Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-21Drexler AndrewofficerSale2,500 @ $140.00$350K−49.5% of holding+3.2%−11.3%2,553Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

283 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-31Slavtcheff CraigofficerWithheld for tax1,7116,651Form 4
2026-07-31Slavtcheff CraigofficerWithheld for tax5348,362Form 4
2026-07-31Corsi PatriciaofficerWithheld for tax4041,661Form 4
2026-07-31Slavtcheff CraigofficerOption exercise4,0240Form 4
2026-07-31Slavtcheff CraigofficerOption exercise1,2551,674Form 4
2026-07-31Corsi PatriciaofficerOption exercise9661,288Form 4
2026-07-31Corsi PatriciaofficerOption exercise9662,065Form 4
2026-07-31Slavtcheff CraigofficerOption exercise4,0247,641Form 4
2026-07-31Slavtcheff CraigofficerOption exercise1,2558,896Form 4
2026-05-01Hsu Michael D.directorWithheld for tax4,377332,816Form 4
2026-05-01Hsu Michael D.directorWithheld for tax4,128337,193Form 4
2026-05-01Torres RussellofficerWithheld for tax1,63786,294Form 4
2026-05-01Urdaneta NelsonofficerWithheld for tax1,33245,285Form 4
2026-05-01Urdaneta NelsonofficerWithheld for tax1,31446,617Form 4
2026-05-01Torres RussellofficerWithheld for tax1,23987,931Form 4
2026-05-01Melucci Jeffrey P.officerWithheld for tax1,19964,417Form 4
2026-05-01Melucci Jeffrey P.officerWithheld for tax1,18365,616Form 4
2026-05-01Fenske TameraofficerWithheld for tax1,15129,782Form 4
2026-05-01Fenske TameraofficerWithheld for tax64730,933Form 4
2026-05-01Fenske TameraofficerWithheld for tax63731,580Form 4
2026-05-01Slavtcheff CraigofficerWithheld for tax5353,617Form 4
2026-05-01McGee Grant BofficerWithheld for tax4576,144Form 4
2026-05-01McGee Grant BofficerWithheld for tax4516,601Form 4
2026-05-01Corsi PatriciaofficerWithheld for tax4031,099Form 4
2026-05-01Scribner AndrewofficerWithheld for tax1624,095Form 4
2026-05-01Scribner AndrewofficerWithheld for tax1604,257Form 4
2026-05-01Fenske TameraofficerOption exercise2,58229,337Form 4
2026-05-01Fenske TameraofficerOption exercise1,45030,787Form 4
2026-05-01Fenske TameraofficerOption exercise1,43032,217Form 4
2026-05-01Fenske TameraofficerOption exercise2,5822,583Form 4
2026-05-01Fenske TameraofficerOption exercise1,4301,908Form 4
2026-05-01Fenske TameraofficerOption exercise1,4503,385Form 4
2026-05-01Fenske TameraofficerAward / grant6,9626,962Form 4
2026-05-01Scribner AndrewofficerOption exercise6653,762Form 4
2026-05-01Scribner AndrewofficerOption exercise6554,417Form 4
2026-05-01Scribner AndrewofficerOption exercise655874Form 4
2026-05-01Scribner AndrewofficerOption exercise6651,552Form 4
2026-05-01Scribner AndrewofficerAward / grant2,8162,816Form 4
2026-05-01Abou-Oaf EhabofficerOption exercise1,45053,163Form 4
2026-05-01Abou-Oaf EhabofficerOption exercise1,43054,593Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-24$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-21$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-21$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-21$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-22$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-22$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.