Issued 2026-09-16 at $79.55 · now $79.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KLIC has typically landed between $66.63 and $97.47 — a range of −16.2% to +22.5% from the issuance price $79.55.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($79.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where KLIC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $79.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $79.55 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $79.35 (-0.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $72.6–$86.1
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $66.63–$97.47
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-22 | −62.5% | −62.5% | +6.1% |
| 2008-10-21 | −61.7% | −61.7% | +0.0% |
| 2008-11-04 | −61.4% | −64.7% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-05 | +165.4% | +0.0% | +169.4% |
| 2009-03-11 | +156.4% | +0.0% | +156.4% |
| 2009-03-09 | +141.4% | +0.0% | +169.4% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Wong Lester A | officer | Sale | 60,000 @ $121.71 | $7.3M | −54.2% of holding | −11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,743 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | WONG NELSON MUNPUN | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $113.72 | $1.7M | −17.4% of holding | −6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,369 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Kong Peter T M | director | Sale | 1,551 @ $110.00 | $171K | −1.5% of holding | −3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,009 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Yeo Mui Sung | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $100.00 | $2.0M | −25.3% of holding | +22.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 59,197 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Lim Zi Yao | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $102.98 | $154K | −6.6% of holding | −0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,214 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | RICHARDSON DAVID JEFFREY | director | Sale | 9,364 @ $72.19 | $676K | −34.6% of holding | −4.0% | +6.1% | 17,694 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Yeo Mui Sung | director | Sale | 19,143 @ $71.98 | $1.4M | −19.6% of holding | −5.7% | +28.9% | 78,522 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | Chylak Robert Nestor | officer | Sale | 7,098 @ $73.28 | $520K | −23.6% of holding | −11.5% | +15.5% | 22,987 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Lim Zi Yao | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $71.54 | $72K | −4.2% of holding | −7.5% | +13.8% | 22,714 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | WONG NELSON MUNPUN | officer | Sale | 39,800 @ $60.98 | $2.4M | −31.5% of holding | −1.5% | +23.5% | 86,369 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-22 | WONG NELSON MUNPUN | officer | Sale | 200 @ $60.00 | $12K | −0.2% of holding | +17.0% | +63.3% | 126,169 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-12 | WONG NELSON MUNPUN | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $56.53 | $1.7M | −19.2% of holding | +33.4% | +82.5% | 126,369 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | WONG NELSON MUNPUN | officer | Sale | 5,004 @ $50.07 | $251K | −3.1% of holding | +10.5% | +105.2% | 156,369 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | Lim Zi Yao | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $45.00 | $45K | −4.0% of holding | +7.1% | +128.3% | 23,714 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | WONG NELSON MUNPUN | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $37.07 | $1.1M | −16.9% of holding | +2.7% | +95.2% | 147,533 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | Chylak Robert Nestor | officer | Sale | 11,391 @ $49.52 | $564K | −35.3% of holding | −3.8% | −30.4% | 20,838 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-06 | Lim Chin Hu | director | Sale | 30,000 @ $48.11 | $1.4M | −33.4% of holding | +1.7% | −26.8% | 59,701 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | CHEN FUSEN ERNIE | director | Sale | 80,000 @ $48.29 | $3.9M | −6.8% of holding | +2.7% | −26.2% | 1,100,765 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
79 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wong Lester A | officer | Award / grant | 6,038 | 56,781 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Talluri Rajendra K | director | Award / grant | 89,697 | 89,697 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Kong Peter T M | director | Award / grant | 407 | 100,416 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Yeo Mui Sung | director | Award / grant | 407 | 59,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | RICHARDSON DAVID JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 407 | 1,958 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Olson Jon A | director | Award / grant | 407 | 21,761 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Dignam Denise | director | Award / grant | 407 | 11,611 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Milzcik Gregory F | director | Award / grant | 407 | 79,144 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Dignam Denise | director | Award / grant | 675 | 11,204 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Milzcik Gregory F | director | Award / grant | 675 | 78,737 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kong Peter T M | director | Award / grant | 675 | 101,560 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Yeo Mui Sung | director | Award / grant | 675 | 79,197 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Olson Jon A | director | Award / grant | 675 | 21,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | RICHARDSON DAVID JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 675 | 1,551 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Kong Peter T M | director | Award / grant | 876 | 100,885 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Milzcik Gregory F | director | Award / grant | 876 | 78,062 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | RICHARDSON DAVID JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 876 | 876 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Olson Jon A | director | Award / grant | 876 | 20,679 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Yeo Mui Sung | director | Award / grant | 876 | 97,665 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Dignam Denise | director | Award / grant | 876 | 10,529 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | RICHARDSON DAVID JEFFREY | director | Gift | 5,665 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | RICHARDSON DAVID JEFFREY | director | Gift | 5,665 | 27,058 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Kong Peter T M | director | Award / grant | 1,339 | 100,009 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-01 | Wong Lester A | officer | Award / grant | 10,338 | 110,743 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Chylak Robert Nestor | officer | Withheld for tax | 41 | 30,085 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | WONG NELSON MUNPUN | officer | Option exercise | 166 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | CHEN FUSEN ERNIE | director | Option exercise | 1,920 | 1,161,725 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | CHEN FUSEN ERNIE | director | Option exercise | 1,920 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Chong Chan Pin | officer | Option exercise | 174 | 52,195 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Chong Chan Pin | officer | Option exercise | 174 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Chylak Robert Nestor | officer | Option exercise | 142 | 30,126 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Chylak Robert Nestor | officer | Option exercise | 142 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Wong Lester A | officer | Option exercise | 356 | 100,405 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | Wong Lester A | officer | Option exercise | 356 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-20 | WONG NELSON MUNPUN | officer | Option exercise | 166 | 161,373 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-16 | Chylak Robert Nestor | officer | Withheld for tax | 674 | 29,984 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-14 | Chylak Robert Nestor | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,245 | 30,658 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-14 | Chylak Robert Nestor | officer | Withheld for tax | 675 | 31,903 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-14 | Wong Lester A | officer | Option exercise | 10,951 | 100,049 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-14 | CHEN FUSEN ERNIE | director | Option exercise | 59,040 | 1,159,805 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.