KLC · TickerCove

KLCKinderCare Learning Companies, Inc.Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Servicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.34 · now $2.34 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KLC has typically landed between $1.42 and $2.95 — a range of −39.3% to +26.2% from the issuance price $2.34.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

464 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-10-09 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.34) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$2.34 · 9% of range

$1.84 low$7.27 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−8.7%

typical move · IQR 29.2%

−39.3%worst (p90)+26.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where KLC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.34 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $2.34 (+0.0%)
typical $2.14 (-8.7%)
middle 50% $1.8–$2.48
90% range $1.42–$2.95

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 464 windows spanning 2024-10-09 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-02-12	−60.1%	−60.1%	+0.0%
2026-02-11	−59.9%	−59.9%	+0.0%
2026-02-13	−54.3%	−57.5%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-03-27	+88.3%	+0.0%	+88.3%
2026-03-31	+78.6%	+0.0%	+78.6%
2026-03-30	+78.4%	+0.0%	+81.2%

464 overlapping windows · 2024-10-09 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

100%

+12.3%

n=2

Feb

−15.6%

n=2

Mar

−38.8%

n=2

Apr

100%

+42.2%

n=2

May

50%

−1.1%

n=2

Jun

50%

−3.5%

n=2

Jul

50%

+10.5%

n=2

Aug

−39.0%

n=2

Sep

−7.4%

n=2

Oct

−11.1%

n=1

Nov

−25.5%

n=2

Dec

50%

−8.3%

n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-19	Nuzzo Michael	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $2.22	$56K	+114.1% of holding	+33.4%	not yet — horizon still open	46,905	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-18	Wyatt John T.	director	Purchase	275,000 @ $2.07	$569K	+36.0% of holding	+46.1%	not yet — horizon still open	1,037,834	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-17	Wyatt John T.	director	Purchase	219,118 @ $1.96	$429K	+40.3% of holding	+47.1%	+5.2%	762,834	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

63 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	Amandi Anthony Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	898	467,534	Form 4
2026-09-14	Harrah Jessica	officer	Withheld for tax	288	155,067	Form 4
2026-08-03	Barse David Michael	director	Award / grant	23,397	23,397	Form 4
2026-06-15	Amandi Anthony Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	898	468,432	Form 4
2026-06-15	Harrah Jessica	officer	Withheld for tax	288	155,355	Form 4
2026-06-05	Waxenberg Alyssa Sue	director	Award / grant	37,038	56,745	Form 4
2026-06-05	Nuzzo Michael	director	Award / grant	37,038	83,943	Form 4
2026-06-05	Deputy Christine	director	Award / grant	37,038	58,943	Form 4
2026-06-05	Desravines Jean S.	director	Award / grant	43,210	69,513	Form 4
2026-03-16	Wyatt John T.	director	Award / grant	1,180,555	1,180,555	Form 4
2026-03-16	Amandi Anthony Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	3,518	341,553	Form 4
2026-03-16	Harrah Jessica	officer	Withheld for tax	1,151	94,512	Form 4
2026-03-16	Wyatt John T.	director	Award / grant	472,222	543,716	Form 4
2026-03-16	Harrah Jessica	officer	Award / grant	122,222	122,222	Form 4
2026-03-16	Harrah Jessica	officer	Award / grant	61,111	155,623	Form 4
2026-03-16	Amandi Anthony Michael	officer	Award / grant	255,555	255,555	Form 4
2026-03-16	Amandi Anthony Michael	officer	Award / grant	127,777	469,330	Form 4
2026-02-23	Wyatt John T.	director	Withheld for tax	1,435	71,494	Form 4
2026-02-23	Amandi Anthony Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	611	345,071	Form 4
2026-02-23	Harrah Jessica	officer	Withheld for tax	261	95,663	Form 4
2026-02-23	Sorhondo Lindsay Curley	officer	Withheld for tax	234	139,478	Form 4
2025-11-21	Wyatt John T.	director	Withheld for tax	2,386	72,929	Form 4
2025-11-21	Thompson Paul Dana	officer	Withheld for tax	1,208	921,747	Form 4
2025-11-21	Amandi Anthony Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	517	345,682	Form 4
2025-11-21	Harrah Jessica	officer	Withheld for tax	222	95,924	Form 4
2025-11-21	Sorhondo Lindsay Curley	officer	Withheld for tax	204	139,712	Form 4
2025-08-26	Wyatt John T.	director	Withheld for tax	2,386	3,520,617	Form 4
2025-08-26	Thompson Paul Dana	officer	Withheld for tax	1,208	922,955	Form 4
2025-08-26	Amandi Anthony Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	517	346,199	Form 4
2025-08-26	Harrah Jessica	officer	Withheld for tax	222	96,146	Form 4
2025-06-20	Deputy Christine	director	Award / grant	13,914	21,905	Form 4
2025-06-20	Waxenberg Alyssa Sue	director	Award / grant	13,914	19,707	Form 4
2025-06-20	Wyatt John T.	director	Withheld for tax	13,914	3,523,003	Form 4
2025-06-20	Nuzzo Michael	director	Award / grant	13,914	21,905	Form 4
2025-06-20	Desravines Jean S.	director	Award / grant	13,914	26,303	Form 4
2025-05-28	Wyatt John T.	director	Withheld for tax	2,112	3,509,089	Form 4
2025-05-28	Thompson Paul Dana	officer	Withheld for tax	1,208	924,163	Form 4
2025-05-28	Amandi Anthony Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	517	346,716	Form 4
2025-05-28	Harrah Jessica	officer	Withheld for tax	222	96,368	Form 4
2025-05-19	Wyatt John T.	director	Withheld for tax	8,909	3,511,201	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i