KLARKlarna Group plcFinancial Services · Financial - Credit Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.00 · now $14.00 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KLAR has typically landed between $9.28 and $17.19 — a range of −33.7% to +22.8% from the issuance price $14.00.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

235 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-09-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where KLAR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$9.28worst · -33.7%$17.19best · +22.8%
  • now $14 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.09 (-6.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.34–$14.85
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.28–$17.19
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 235 windows spanning 2025-09-10 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-01-22−55.5%−55.5%+0.0%
2026-01-21−52.3%−52.3%+5.1%
2026-01-23−49.4%−53.7%+0.0%
3 best
2026-04-29+35.9%+0.0%+35.9%
2026-04-30+28.6%−1.7%+31.4%
2026-04-28+26.2%−2.6%+26.2%

235 overlapping windows · 2025-09-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~1 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
0%
−20.2%
n=1
Feb
0%
−41.2%
n=1
Mar
0%
−3.5%
n=1
Apr
100%
+6.3%
n=1
May
100%
+31.4%
n=1
Jun
100%
+10.7%
n=1
Jul
0%
−6.4%
n=1
Aug
0%
−22.4%
n=1
Sep
0%
−4.7%
n=1
Oct
100%
+2.5%
n=1
Nov
0%
−16.2%
n=1
Dec
0%
−8.1%
n=1

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$46$122026-08-26: 1 insider purchase, $9.9M — Siemiatkowski Sebastian2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $9.9M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Siemiatkowski Sebastian — Purchase on 2026-08-26, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-26Siemiatkowski SebastiandirectorPurchase692,506 @ $14.37$9.9M+2.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open25,344,322Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

60 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30Sandstrom DavidofficerAward / grant13,65536,120Form 4
2026-06-30Sandstrom DavidofficerAward / grant13,65536,120Form 4
2026-06-30Shaer YaronofficerAward / grant13,65536,107Form 4
2026-06-30Shaer YaronofficerAward / grant13,65536,107Form 4
2026-06-30Sykes DavidofficerAward / grant17,943181,400Form 4
2026-06-30Neglen NiclasdirectorAward / grant15,94486,673Form 4
2026-06-30Greenway AnthonyofficerAward / grant1,0769,375Form 4
2026-06-30Greenway AnthonyofficerAward / grant1,0769,375Form 4
2026-06-30Sykes DavidofficerAward / grant17,943181,400Form 4
2026-06-30Neglen NiclasdirectorAward / grant15,94486,673Form 4
2026-06-01Fock DavidofficerAward / grant84,0341,949,033Form 4
2026-06-01Siemiatkowski SebastiandirectorAward / grant1,166,56323,242,172Form 4
2026-06-01Giesecke CamillaofficerAward / grant84,0341,949,033Form 4
2026-06-01Fock DavidofficerAward / grant84,0341,949,033Form 4
2026-06-01Siemiatkowski SebastiandirectorAward / grant1,166,56323,242,172Form 4
2026-06-01Giesecke CamillaofficerAward / grant84,0341,949,033Form 4
2026-05-06Sykes DavidofficerOption exercise238163,457Form 4
2026-05-06Neglen NiclasdirectorOption exercise12770,729Form 4
2026-05-06Giesecke CamillaofficerOption exercise4150,485Form 4
2026-05-06Greenway AnthonyofficerOption exercise5268,299Form 4
2026-05-06Sandstrom DavidofficerOption exercise6122,465Form 4
2026-05-06Shaer YaronofficerOption exercise4822,452Form 4
2026-05-06Giesecke CamillaofficerOption exercise4150,485Form 4
2026-05-06Neglen NiclasdirectorOption exercise12770,729Form 4
2026-05-06Greenway AnthonyofficerOption exercise5268,299Form 4
2026-05-06Sandstrom DavidofficerOption exercise6122,465Form 4
2026-05-06Shaer YaronofficerOption exercise4822,452Form 4
2026-05-06Sykes DavidofficerOption exercise238163,457Form 4
2026-05-06Fock DavidofficerOption exercise69176,977Form 4
2026-05-06Fock DavidofficerOption exercise69176,977Form 4
2026-04-13Fock DavidofficerOption exercise70176,908Form 4
2026-04-13Neglen NiclasdirectorAward / grant12970,602Form 4
2026-04-13Sandstrom DavidofficerOption exercise61178,032Form 4
2026-04-13Greenway AnthonyofficerOption exercise5337,773Form 4
2026-04-13Shaer YaronofficerOption exercise9222,404Form 4
2026-04-13Sandstrom DavidofficerOption exercise61178,032Form 4
2026-04-13Greenway AnthonyofficerOption exercise5337,773Form 4
2026-04-13Giesecke CamillaofficerOption exercise8950,444Form 4
2026-04-13Sykes DavidofficerOption exercise251163,219Form 4
2026-04-13Fock DavidofficerOption exercise70176,908Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.