KIMKimco Realty CorporationReal Estate · REIT - Retailas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $22.59 · now $22.59 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KIM has typically landed between $20.22 and $25.08 — a range of −10.5% to +11.0% from the issuance price $22.59.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($22.59) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where KIM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $22.59 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$20.22worst · -10.5%$25.08best · +11.0%
  • now $22.59 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $22.68 (+0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $21.64–$23.72
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.22–$25.08
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-03-04−56.3%−56.3%+0.0%
2020-03-05−55.2%−55.3%+0.0%
2008-09-26−53.6%−53.6%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-30+73.2%+0.0%+78.4%
2009-03-31+67.8%−5.3%+67.8%
2009-04-02+66.2%+0.0%+66.2%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$17.6B
market cap
$0.88
EPS (TTM)
29.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$2.1B
'20'25
Net income$584M
'20'25
Free cash flow$772M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr27.3%
'20'25
ROE · by yr5.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.83
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $22.59$21.20$41.36
  • DCF (intrinsic)$39.97
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$28.93
  • Analyst target · range $25.00–$29.00$27.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$22.59

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+0.8%
n=18
Feb
42%
−1.5%
n=19
Mar
53%
−1.4%
n=19
Apr
58%
+5.0%
n=19
May
42%
−1.6%
n=19
Jun
58%
+0.5%
n=19
Jul
79%
+3.8%
n=19
Aug
47%
+0.4%
n=19
Sep
32%
−1.6%
n=19
Oct
56%
+1.2%
n=18
Nov
44%
+0.2%
n=18
Dec
50%
+3.2%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$26$192026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $199K — LOURENSO FRANK2025-09-29: 1 insider sale, $500K — Preusse Mary Hogan2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $500K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $199K↑ buys↓ salesdirector LOURENSO FRANK — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Preusse Mary Hogan — Sale on 2025-09-29, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-17LOURENSO FRANKdirectorSale8,594 @ $23.14$199K−4.0% of holding+2.9%−6.1%203,936Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-29Preusse Mary HogandirectorSale23,100 @ $21.66$500K−36.5% of holding−2.9%+7.7%40,260Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-14LOURENSO FRANKdirectorSale8,714 @ $22.30$194K−4.1% of holding+5.2%−7.0%203,810Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

39 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-02-19Preusse Mary HogandirectorAward / grant7,72025,430Form 4
2026-02-19Jamieson DaviddirectorAward / grant31,77061,650Form 4
2026-02-19Cooper RossdirectorAward / grant31,770654,966Form 4
2026-02-19LOURENSO FRANKdirectorAward / grant7,720211,656Form 4
2026-02-19Lashine NancydirectorAward / grant7,7209,136Form 4
2026-02-19SALTZMAN RICHARD BdirectorAward / grant7,72025,430Form 4
2026-02-19COHEN GLENN GARYdirectorAward / grant31,770689,813Form 4
2026-02-19COVIELLO PHILIP E JRdirectorAward / grant7,72091,215Form 4
2026-02-19Moniz HenrydirectorAward / grant7,72050,690Form 4
2026-02-19Flynn Conor CdirectorAward / grant285,880703,340Form 4
2026-02-19Richardson ValeriedirectorAward / grant7,72080,800Form 4
2026-02-13Flynn Conor CdirectorWithheld for tax47,9321,371,444Form 4
2026-02-13COHEN GLENN GARYdirectorWithheld for tax14,810658,043Form 4
2026-02-13Cooper RossdirectorWithheld for tax14,810623,196Form 4
2026-02-13Jamieson DaviddirectorWithheld for tax11,510338,962Form 4
2026-02-13WESTBROOK PAULofficerWithheld for tax1,95786,778Form 4
2026-01-01COVIELLO PHILIP E JRdirectorGift40,12340,942Form 4
2025-04-30COVIELLO PHILIP E JRdirectorAward / grant8,720124,437Form 4
2025-04-30Flynn Conor CdirectorAward / grant314,740417,460Form 4
2025-04-30Moniz HenrydirectorAward / grant8,72042,970Form 4
2025-04-30WESTBROOK PAULofficerAward / grant3,98088,735Form 4
2025-04-30Richardson ValeriedirectorAward / grant8,72073,080Form 4
2025-04-30SALTZMAN RICHARD BdirectorAward / grant8,72017,710Form 4
2025-04-30Lashine NancydirectorAward / grant8,7208,720Form 4
2025-04-30Preusse Mary HogandirectorAward / grant8,72017,710Form 4
2025-04-30COHEN GLENN GARYdirectorAward / grant29,880672,853Form 4
2025-04-30Cooper RossdirectorAward / grant29,880638,006Form 4
2025-04-30LOURENSO FRANKdirectorAward / grant8,720212,530Form 4
2025-02-13Flynn Conor CdirectorWithheld for tax141,7021,419,376Form 4
2025-02-13Jamieson DaviddirectorWithheld for tax43,192350,472Form 4
2025-02-13COHEN GLENN GARYdirectorWithheld for tax42,926642,973Form 4
2025-02-13Cooper RossdirectorWithheld for tax42,926608,126Form 4
2025-02-13WESTBROOK PAULofficerWithheld for tax3,76484,755Form 4
2025-02-13Flynn Conor CdirectorAward / grant188,5201,561,078Form 4
2025-02-13Jamieson DaviddirectorAward / grant56,553393,664Form 4
2025-02-13COHEN GLENN GARYdirectorAward / grant56,553685,899Form 4
2025-02-13COOPER MILTONdirectorAward / grant47,12710,636,406Form 4
2025-02-13Cooper RossdirectorAward / grant56,553651,052Form 4
2025-02-13WESTBROOK PAULofficerAward / grant3,53488,519Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-12-062023-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2023-11-082023-10-31$1–15K
Daniel GoldmanHousesale2023-08-132023-07-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-06-122023-05-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2023-05-082023-04-10$1–15K
Daniel GoldmanHousesale2023-04-172023-03-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-04-072023-03-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2022-09-082022-09-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-07-072022-06-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-06-102022-05-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2022-03-082022-02-17$1–15K
Tom MalinowskiHousepurchase2021-03-052020-03-16$15–50K
Tom MalinowskiHousesale2021-03-052020-02-07$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.