KIDS · TickerCove

KIDSOrthoPediatrics Corp.Healthcare · Medical - Devicesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $23.15 · now $23.15 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KIDS has typically landed between $18.87 and $27.87 — a range of −18.5% to +20.4% from the issuance price $23.15.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,222 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-10-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($23.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$23.15 · 72% of range

$14.64 low$26.5 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.7%

typical move · IQR 16.4%

−18.5%worst (p90)+20.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where KIDS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $23.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $23.15 (+0.0%)
typical $22.75 (-1.7%)
middle 50% $20.85–$24.65
90% range $18.87–$27.87

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,222 windows spanning 2017-10-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-13	−30.5%	−30.5%	+1.4%
2023-09-14	−29.4%	−29.4%	+0.0%
2020-02-11	−28.7%	−28.7%	+2.3%
3 best
2018-05-09	+47.2%	−0.2%	+47.2%
2018-05-23	+40.0%	+0.0%	+45.9%
2018-05-16	+39.9%	+0.0%	+46.8%

2,222 overlapping windows · 2017-10-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

44%

−2.0%

n=9

Feb

78%

+6.6%

n=9

Mar

44%

−4.4%

n=9

Apr

56%

+4.3%

n=9

May

44%

+0.3%

n=9

Jun

67%

+4.3%

n=9

Jul

44%

+0.6%

n=9

Aug

78%

+7.1%

n=9

Sep

22%

−5.8%

n=9

Oct

25%

−4.1%

n=8

Nov

67%

+2.1%

n=9

Dec

44%

+0.7%

n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-10	Pelizzon David R	director	Sale	302,369 @ $21.01	$6.4M	−4.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,201,764	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-10	Squadron Capital LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	302,369 @ $21.01	$6.4M	−4.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,201,764	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-10	Pritzker Jennifer N.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	302,369 @ $21.01	$6.4M	−4.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,201,764	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02	Squadron Capital LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	22,500 @ $23.35	$525K	−0.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,504,133	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-02	Pelizzon David R	director	Sale	22,500 @ $23.35	$525K	−0.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,504,133	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-02	Pritzker Jennifer N.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	22,500 @ $23.35	$525K	−0.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,504,133	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01	Pritzker Jennifer N.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	10,131 @ $23.10	$234K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,526,633	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01	Pelizzon David R	director	Sale	10,131 @ $23.10	$234K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,526,633	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01	Squadron Capital LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	10,131 @ $23.10	$234K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,526,633	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-28	Pelizzon David R	director	Sale	326,700 @ $23.04	$7.5M	−4.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,536,764	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28	Squadron Capital LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	326,700 @ $23.04	$7.5M	−4.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,536,764	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28	Pritzker Jennifer N.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	326,700 @ $23.04	$7.5M	−4.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,536,764	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-26	Pritzker Jennifer N.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	18,000 @ $24.28	$437K	−0.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,863,464	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-26	Pelizzon David R	director	Sale	18,000 @ $24.28	$437K	−0.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,863,464	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-26	Squadron Capital LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	18,000 @ $24.28	$437K	−0.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,863,464	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-25	Pelizzon David R	director	Sale	16,300 @ $24.74	$403K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,881,464	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25	Squadron Capital LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	16,300 @ $24.74	$403K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,881,464	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25	Pritzker Jennifer N.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	16,300 @ $24.74	$403K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,881,464	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-24	Pritzker Jennifer N.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	4,000 @ $25.75	$103K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,897,764	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-24	Pelizzon David R	director	Sale	4,000 @ $25.75	$103K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,897,764	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-24	Squadron Capital LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	4,000 @ $25.75	$103K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	6,897,764	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-16	Bailey David R	director	Sale	19,535 @ $17.25	$337K	−6.2% of holding	−0.6%	+22.0%	298,020	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16	Hite Fred	director	Sale	12,993 @ $17.25	$224K	−4.5% of holding	−0.6%	+22.0%	277,477	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16	Gerritzen Daniel J	officer	Sale	8,614 @ $17.25	$149K	−5.4% of holding	−0.6%	+22.0%	149,533	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16	Hauser Joseph W	officer	Sale	8,596 @ $17.25	$148K	−4.2% of holding	−0.6%	+22.0%	194,767	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16	Odle Gregory A	officer	Sale	8,433 @ $17.25	$145K	−4.3% of holding	−0.6%	+22.0%	187,735	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-21	Hite Fred	director	Purchase	5,076 @ $19.41	$99K	+2.4% of holding	−4.2%	−22.9%	213,065	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-18	Bailey David R	director	Sale	6,620 @ $24.86	$165K	−2.0% of holding	−13.0%	−42.5%	319,155	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-18	Hite Fred	director	Sale	6,443 @ $24.86	$160K	−3.0% of holding	−13.0%	−42.5%	207,989	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-18	Odle Gregory A	officer	Sale	5,359 @ $24.86	$133K	−3.5% of holding	−13.0%	−42.5%	148,788	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-18	Gerritzen Daniel J	officer	Sale	5,310 @ $24.86	$132K	−4.6% of holding	−13.0%	−42.5%	110,767	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-18	Hauser Joseph W	officer	Sale	5,300 @ $24.86	$132K	−3.7% of holding	−13.0%	−42.5%	137,663	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

32 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-09	Throdahl Mark C	director	Award / grant	11,436	179,317	Form 4
2026-06-09	Ruf Harold	director	Award / grant	11,436	19,837	Form 4
2026-06-09	Riccitelli Samuel D	director	Award / grant	11,436	31,859	Form 4
2026-06-09	Pelizzon David R	director	Award / grant	11,436	44,384	Form 4
2026-06-09	Dyer George Sinclair Mitchell	director	Award / grant	11,436	24,568	Form 4
2026-06-09	Fischer Kelly Laine	director	Award / grant	11,436	15,781	Form 4
2026-06-09	Bailey David R	director	Award / grant	119,140	417,160	Form 4
2026-06-09	Hughes Bryan W	director	Award / grant	11,436	32,663	Form 4
2026-06-09	Infante (Reynolds) Marie C	director	Award / grant	11,436	31,202	Form 4
2026-06-09	McDonald Jimmy Duane	director	Award / grant	11,436	24,568	Form 4
2026-05-13	Gerritzen Daniel J	officer	Gift	2,479	147,054	Form 4
2026-03-15	Odle Gregory A	officer	Award / grant	47,380	196,168	Form 4
2026-03-15	Hauser Joseph W	officer	Award / grant	65,700	203,363	Form 4
2026-03-15	Hite Fred	director	Award / grant	77,405	290,470	Form 4
2026-03-15	Gerritzen Daniel J	officer	Award / grant	47,380	158,147	Form 4
2025-12-29	Bailey David R	director	Gift	1,600	317,555	Form 4
2025-11-10	Fischer Kelly Laine	director	Award / grant	4,345	4,345	Form 4
2025-05-23	McDonald Jimmy Duane	director	Award / grant	8,401	13,132	Form 4
2025-05-23	Hughes Bryan W	director	Award / grant	8,401	21,227	Form 4
2025-05-23	Infante (Reynolds) Marie C	director	Award / grant	8,401	19,766	Form 4
2025-05-23	Riccitelli Samuel D	director	Award / grant	8,401	20,423	Form 4
2025-05-23	Ruf Harold	director	Award / grant	8,401	8,401	Form 4
2025-05-23	Throdahl Mark C	director	Award / grant	8,401	167,881	Form 4
2025-05-23	Pelizzon David R	director	Award / grant	8,401	32,948	Form 4
2025-05-23	Schlotterback Terry D	director	Award / grant	8,401	26,619	Form 4
2025-05-23	Dyer George Sinclair Mitchell	director	Award / grant	8,401	13,132	Form 4
2025-03-15	Hite Fred	director	Award / grant	63,342	214,432	Form 4
2025-03-15	Odle Gregory A	officer	Award / grant	38,773	154,147	Form 4
2025-03-15	Bailey David R	director	Award / grant	97,496	325,775	Form 4
2025-03-15	Gerritzen Daniel J	officer	Award / grant	38,773	116,077	Form 4
2025-03-15	Hauser Joseph W	officer	Award / grant	52,169	142,963	Form 4
2024-12-27	Bailey David R	director	Gift	1,500	228,279	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i