KEXKirby CorporationIndustrials · Marine Shippingas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $136.94 · now $136.94 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KEX has typically landed between $120.53 and $156.67 — a range of −12.0% to +14.4% from the issuance price $136.94.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($136.94) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where KEX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $136.94 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$120.53worst · -12.0%$156.67best · +14.4%
  • now $136.94 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $140.12 (+2.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $133.13–$147.11
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $120.53–$156.67
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−53.7%−53.7%+0.7%
2020-02-13−51.5%−51.5%+0.0%
2020-02-20−50.8%−54.0%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-05+48.7%−0.4%+48.7%
2020-10-28+44.5%+0.0%+47.0%
2009-03-06+43.0%+0.0%+49.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+1.1%
n=20
Feb
70%
+4.2%
n=20
Mar
60%
+2.2%
n=20
Apr
70%
+5.1%
n=20
May
60%
+1.5%
n=20
Jun
35%
−2.8%
n=20
Jul
45%
−0.5%
n=20
Aug
40%
−1.4%
n=20
Sep
40%
−0.9%
n=20
Oct
60%
+2.6%
n=20
Nov
70%
+2.6%
n=20
Dec
50%
−1.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$153$802026-05-15: 3 insider sales, $2.3M — O'Neil Christian G., Husted Amy D., Woodruff William Matthew2026-05-04: 1 insider sale, $250K — DRAGG RONALD A2026-03-02: 2 insider sales, $1.9M — O'Neil Christian G., Kumar Raj2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $4.4M — Grzebinski David W2026-02-20: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — Husted Amy D.2026-02-19: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — DAVIS BARRY E2026-02-10: 1 insider sale, $478K — MILLER SCOTT P2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $244K — Woodruff William Matthew2026-02-04: 1 insider sale, $662K — DRAGG RONALD A2025-12-22: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — O'Neil Christian G.2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $171K — Niemietz Kurt A.2025-11-21: 2 insider sales, $4.3M — Grzebinski David W, Husted Amy D.2025-11-12: 1 insider sale, $299K — DRAGG RONALD A2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $207K — STEWART RICHARD ROSS2025-11: 4 open-market sales, $4.8M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $1.4M2026-02: 6 open-market sales, $8.4M2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-05: 4 open-market sales, $2.6M↑ buys↓ salesofficer O'Neil Christian G. — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Husted Amy D. — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Woodruff William Matthew — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer DRAGG RONALD A — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer O'Neil Christian G. — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Kumar Raj — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Grzebinski David W — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Husted Amy D. — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradedirector DAVIS BARRY E — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer MILLER SCOTT P — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Woodruff William Matthew — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer DRAGG RONALD A — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer O'Neil Christian G. — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Niemietz Kurt A. — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Grzebinski David W — Sale on 2025-11-21, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Husted Amy D. — Sale on 2025-11-21, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer DRAGG RONALD A — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STEWART RICHARD ROSS — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-15O'Neil Christian G.officerSale11,287 @ $145.93$1.6M−100.0% of holding−4.4%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15Husted Amy D.officerSale4,000 @ $145.43$582K−27.0% of holding−4.4%not yet — horizon still open10,814Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-15Woodruff William MatthewofficerSale678 @ $147.37$100K−98.7% of holding−4.4%not yet — horizon still open9Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-04DRAGG RONALD AofficerSale1,726 @ $145.01$250K−16.6% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open8,673Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02O'Neil Christian G.officerSale11,287 @ $132.34$1.5M−50.0% of holding+4.9%−5.7%11,287Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Kumar RajdirectorSale3,000 @ $132.70$398K−40.0% of holding+4.9%−5.7%4,494Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-24Grzebinski David WdirectorSale34,152 @ $130.05$4.4M−25.8% of holding+8.5%−6.4%98,241Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-20Husted Amy D.officerSale11,667 @ $129.33$1.5M−44.1% of holding+4.5%−4.8%14,814Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-19DAVIS BARRY EdirectorSale8,480 @ $128.51$1.1M−19.2% of holding+6.7%−3.5%35,723Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-10MILLER SCOTT PofficerSale3,960 @ $120.68$478K−52.6% of holding+7.1%+0.8%3,565Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09Woodruff William MatthewofficerSale2,000 @ $121.88$244K−74.4% of holding+7.4%−1.5%687Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-04DRAGG RONALD AofficerSale5,429 @ $122.00$662K−34.3% of holding+7.0%−3.2%10,399Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-22O'Neil Christian G.officerSale11,145 @ $111.68$1.2M−42.9% of holding+14.8%+16.4%14,835Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-01Niemietz Kurt A.officerSale1,500 @ $114.12$171K−61.0% of holding−3.7%+15.8%958Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-21Grzebinski David WdirectorSale29,451 @ $107.41$3.2M−27.0% of holding−1.2%+18.6%79,709Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-21Husted Amy D.officerSale10,413 @ $107.42$1.1M−47.0% of holding−1.2%+18.6%11,760Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-12DRAGG RONALD AofficerSale2,715 @ $110.29$299K−20.8% of holding+0.7%+23.0%10,325Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10STEWART RICHARD ROSSdirectorSale1,923 @ $107.83$207K−11.0% of holding+3.3%+26.3%15,488Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-06MILLER SCOTT PofficerSale3,545 @ $109.00$386K−63.9% of holding−3.7%−12.7%2,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-05MILLER SCOTT PofficerSale1,244 @ $107.61$134K−18.3% of holding−6.0%−13.0%5,545Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

210 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-05Husted Amy D.officerWithheld for tax7410,926Form 4
2026-08-05Husted Amy D.officerOption exercise18611,000Form 4
2026-08-05Husted Amy D.officerOption exercise186558Form 4
2026-05-04Embree Tracy AdirectorAward / grant1,3921,776Form 4
2026-05-04Ainsworth Anne-MariedirectorAward / grant1,39230,280Form 4
2026-05-04ALARIO RICHARD JdirectorAward / grant1,39228,632Form 4
2026-05-04Beder Tanya SdirectorAward / grant1,39219,313Form 4
2026-05-04DAVIS BARRY EdirectorAward / grant1,39237,115Form 4
2026-05-04Waterman William M.directorAward / grant1,39240,630Form 4
2026-05-04Williams Shawn D.directorAward / grant1,39213,676Form 4
2026-05-04Dio Susan LesliedirectorAward / grant1,3928,607Form 4
2026-02-24Grzebinski David WdirectorOption exercise34,152132,393Form 4
2026-02-24Grzebinski David WdirectorOption exercise34,1520Form 4
2026-02-20Husted Amy D.officerOption exercise8,66726,481Form 4
2026-02-20Embree Tracy AdirectorAward / grant384384Form 4
2026-02-20Husted Amy D.officerOption exercise8,6670Form 4
2026-02-20Kerin Matthew PofficerAward / grant2,5302,530Form 4
2026-02-19DAVIS BARRY EdirectorOption exercise3,18838,911Form 4
2026-02-19DAVIS BARRY EdirectorOption exercise2,64041,551Form 4
2026-02-19DAVIS BARRY EdirectorOption exercise2,65244,203Form 4
2026-02-19DAVIS BARRY EdirectorOption exercise3,1880Form 4
2026-02-19DAVIS BARRY EdirectorOption exercise2,6400Form 4
2026-02-19DAVIS BARRY EdirectorOption exercise2,6520Form 4
2026-02-14McCauley Jennifer N.officerWithheld for tax366568Form 4
2026-02-14McCauley Jennifer N.officerOption exercise9343,736Form 4
2026-02-14McCauley Jennifer N.officerOption exercise934934Form 4
2026-02-04DRAGG RONALD AofficerOption exercise2,78715,828Form 4
2026-02-04DRAGG RONALD AofficerOption exercise2,7870Form 4
2026-02-03Grzebinski David WdirectorWithheld for tax8,84498,241Form 4
2026-02-03O'Neil Christian G.officerWithheld for tax4,01122,574Form 4
2026-02-03Husted Amy D.officerWithheld for tax2,88217,814Form 4
2026-02-03Kumar RajdirectorWithheld for tax2,2087,494Form 4
2026-02-03MILLER SCOTT PofficerWithheld for tax1,3117,525Form 4
2026-02-03DRAGG RONALD AofficerWithheld for tax69613,041Form 4
2026-02-03Niemietz Kurt A.officerWithheld for tax6932,194Form 4
2026-02-03Woodruff William MatthewofficerWithheld for tax4752,687Form 4
2026-02-03O'Neil Christian G.officerOption exercise10,18826,585Form 4
2026-02-03Woodruff William MatthewofficerOption exercise1,1093,162Form 4
2026-02-03Woodruff William MatthewofficerOption exercise303303Form 4
2026-02-03Woodruff William MatthewofficerOption exercise278556Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.