Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.60 · now $3.60 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KDK has typically landed between $2.58 and $5.05 — a range of −28.3% to +40.2% from the issuance price $3.60.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
224 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-09-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.60) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where KDK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.6 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.6 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.19 (-11.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.86–$3.51
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.58–$5.05
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-10-31 | −38.3% | −38.3% | +0.0% |
| 2025-10-30 | −37.7% | −37.7% | +0.0% |
| 2025-10-29 | −34.6% | −34.6% | +3.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-12-02 | +94.4% | +0.0% | +96.1% |
| 2025-12-01 | +84.1% | −6.1% | +84.1% |
| 2025-11-28 | +80.3% | −7.2% | +81.3% |
224 overlapping windows · 2025-09-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~1 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
137 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Wendel Andreas | officer | Award / grant | 434,056 | 4,739,629 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Coleman Jordan S. | officer | Award / grant | 292,153 | 296,624 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Datta Surajit | officer | Award / grant | 563,063 | 563,063 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Major Zsuzsanna | officer | Award / grant | 200,333 | 210,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Wiesinger Michael | officer | Award / grant | 417,362 | 596,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Burnette Donald L. | director | Award / grant | 1,168,614 | 27,083,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Datta Surajit | officer | Award / grant | 417,362 | 980,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Datta Surajit | officer | Disposition | 2,035,915 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Datta Surajit | officer | Disposition | 2,035,915 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Reed James D | director | Award / grant | 31,758 | 31,758 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Elshenawy Mohamed | director | Award / grant | 31,758 | 31,758 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | GOLDMAN KENNETH A | director | Award / grant | 31,758 | 31,758 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | TOBIN SCOTT R | director | Award / grant | 31,758 | 31,758 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Sverchek Kristin | director | Award / grant | 31,758 | 31,758 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | AAC II Holdings II LP | tenPercentOwner | Award / grant | 769,230 | 4,360,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | AAC II Holdings II LP | tenPercentOwner | Award / grant | 769,230 | 769,230 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | AAC II Holdings II LP | tenPercentOwner | Award / grant | 769,230 | 4,360,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | AAC II Holdings II LP | tenPercentOwner | Award / grant | 769,230 | 769,230 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-30 | Major Zsuzsanna | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-30 | Major Zsuzsanna | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 436,746 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | officer | Award / grant | 134,055 | 134,055 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | officer | Award / grant | 455,673 | 455,673 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | officer | Award / grant | 132,461 | 132,461 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | officer | Award / grant | 366,498 | 366,498 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | officer | Award / grant | 331,155 | 331,155 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Major Zsuzsanna | officer | Award / grant | 295,752 | 295,752 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | officer | Award / grant | 732,996 | 732,996 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | officer | Award / grant | 132,461 | 132,461 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | officer | Award / grant | 409,355 | 409,355 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | officer | Award / grant | 88,307 | 88,307 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | officer | Award / grant | 366,498 | 366,498 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Wiesinger Michael | officer | Award / grant | 132,461 | 132,461 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | officer | Award / grant | 366,498 | 366,498 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | officer | Award / grant | 142,878 | 142,878 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | GOLDMAN KENNETH A | director | Award / grant | 183,095 | 183,095 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | officer | Award / grant | 134,055 | 134,055 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | officer | Award / grant | 134,055 | 134,055 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Coleman Jordan S. | officer | Award / grant | 665,019 | 665,019 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | officer | Award / grant | 4,397,976 | 4,397,976 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-24 | Wendel Andreas | officer | Award / grant | 662,311 | 662,311 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.