KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc.Technology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.84 · now $12.84 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, KD has typically landed between $10.19 and $15.91 — a range of −20.6% to +23.9% from the issuance price $12.84.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,208 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-10-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where KD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$10.19worst · -20.6%$15.91best · +23.9%
  • now $12.84 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $12.86 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.72–$14.01
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.19–$15.91
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,208 windows spanning 2021-10-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-01-08−61.2%−61.2%+0.9%
2026-01-09−59.2%−61.1%+0.9%
2026-01-13−58.1%−60.9%+1.7%
3 best
2024-11-01+51.4%+0.0%+51.6%
2024-11-04+51.3%−0.0%+51.4%
2024-11-05+50.8%+0.0%+51.5%

1,208 overlapping windows · 2021-10-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
+1.7%
n=5
Feb
60%
−5.6%
n=5
Mar
20%
−7.1%
n=5
Apr
40%
−2.5%
n=5
May
60%
+7.3%
n=5
Jun
40%
−3.6%
n=5
Jul
80%
+4.4%
n=5
Aug
20%
−1.1%
n=5
Sep
0%
−8.8%
n=5
Oct
25%
+2.4%
n=4
Nov
60%
+7.1%
n=5
Dec
60%
+5.5%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$33$112025-12-05: 1 insider sale, $177K — Khurana Vineet2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $177K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Khurana Vineet — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-12-05Khurana VineetofficerSale6,641 @ $26.69$177K−10.0% of holding+2.5%−64.1%59,708Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-02Khurana VineetofficerSale22,272 @ $39.14$872K−22.9% of holding+3.2%−49.3%75,081Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-02Khurana VineetofficerSale2,376 @ $39.07$93K−2.4% of holding+3.2%−49.3%97,353Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-02Khurana VineetofficerSale1,803 @ $39.21$71K−2.4% of holding+3.2%−49.3%73,278Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-06Khurana VineetofficerSale12,807 @ $42.95$550K−19.3% of holding−13.6%−34.3%53,467Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Khurana VineetofficerSale11,465 @ $42.65$489K−20.7% of holding−13.6%−34.3%43,877Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Khurana VineetofficerSale7,584 @ $43.03$326K−14.2% of holding−13.6%−34.3%45,883Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Sebold EdwardofficerSale7,482 @ $42.95$321K−5.1% of holding−13.6%−34.3%138,429Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Khurana VineetofficerSale6,890 @ $42.85$295K−9.4% of holding−13.6%−34.3%66,274Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Khurana VineetofficerSale5,845 @ $42.74$250K−7.4% of holding−13.6%−34.3%73,164Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Sebold EdwardofficerSale4,448 @ $43.04$191K−3.2% of holding−13.6%−34.3%133,981Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Khurana VineetofficerSale4,050 @ $42.57$172K−4.7% of holding−13.6%−34.3%82,127Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Sebold EdwardofficerSale3,746 @ $42.84$160K−2.5% of holding−13.6%−34.3%145,911Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Sebold EdwardofficerSale3,439 @ $42.62$147K−2.2% of holding−13.6%−34.3%152,661Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Khurana VineetofficerSale3,118 @ $42.64$133K−3.8% of holding−13.6%−34.3%79,009Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Sebold EdwardofficerSale3,004 @ $42.75$128K−2.0% of holding−13.6%−34.3%149,657Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Sebold EdwardofficerSale2,000 @ $42.58$85K−1.3% of holding−13.6%−34.3%156,100Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Khurana VineetofficerSale1,800 @ $43.15$78K−3.9% of holding−13.6%−34.3%44,083Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Sebold EdwardofficerSale1,600 @ $42.47$68K−1.0% of holding−13.6%−34.3%158,100Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Sebold EdwardofficerSale1,163 @ $43.15$50K−0.9% of holding−13.6%−34.3%132,818Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Khurana VineetofficerSale900 @ $42.37$38K−1.0% of holding−13.6%−34.3%86,977Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Khurana VineetofficerSale800 @ $42.44$34K−0.9% of holding−13.6%−34.3%86,177Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Sebold EdwardofficerSale618 @ $42.35$26K−0.4% of holding−13.6%−34.3%159,700Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Khurana VineetofficerSale206 @ $43.23$9K−0.5% of holding−13.6%−34.3%43,877Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

148 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Paulek Mark DofficerWithheld for tax1,661147,546Form 4
2026-08-12Johnson Ellen TobidirectorAward / grant121,248121,248Form 4
2026-08-12Johnson Ellen TobidirectorAward / grant115,474236,722Form 4
2026-08-12Bonzani AndrewofficerAward / grant96,228163,593Form 4
2026-08-12Bonzani AndrewofficerAward / grant67,36067,365Form 4
2026-08-01Schroeter Martin JdirectorWithheld for tax44,1862,404,900Form 4
2026-08-01Schroeter Martin JdirectorWithheld for tax35,0812,369,819Form 4
2026-08-01Keinan EllyofficerWithheld for tax34,6451,568,330Form 4
2026-08-01Keinan EllyofficerWithheld for tax27,5061,540,824Form 4
2026-08-01Chugh HarshofficerWithheld for tax1,673182,782Form 4
2026-08-01Chugh HarshofficerWithheld for tax1,288181,494Form 4
2026-08-01Paulek Mark DofficerWithheld for tax1,184149,207Form 4
2026-07-30HARRIS JOHN DdirectorAward / grant17,84477,986Form 4
2026-07-30Hester Stephen A. M.directorAward / grant17,84475,220Form 4
2026-07-30Machuel DenisdirectorAward / grant17,84475,645Form 4
2026-07-30Caruso Dominic JdirectorAward / grant17,84477,930Form 4
2026-07-30JACKSON SHIRLEY AdirectorAward / grant17,84484,656Form 4
2026-07-30Kugel JaninadirectorAward / grant17,84466,154Form 4
2026-07-30Schreuder Jana RdirectorAward / grant17,84477,930Form 4
2026-07-30Merchant Rahul NdirectorAward / grant17,84435,130Form 4
2026-07-30Ungerleider Howard IdirectorAward / grant17,84497,930Form 4
2026-07-30Hester Stephen A. M.directorWithheld for tax1,26073,960Form 4
2026-07-30Kugel JaninadirectorWithheld for tax88265,272Form 4
2026-07-30Machuel DenisdirectorWithheld for tax37875,267Form 4
2026-06-03Schroeter Martin JdirectorWithheld for tax19,4072,449,086Form 4
2026-06-03Keinan EllyofficerWithheld for tax13,8941,602,975Form 4
2026-06-03Chugh HarshofficerWithheld for tax651184,455Form 4
2026-06-03Ringes MarkofficerWithheld for tax52599,264Form 4
2026-06-03Paulek Mark DofficerWithheld for tax437150,391Form 4
2026-06-02Schroeter Martin JdirectorWithheld for tax20,7762,468,493Form 4
2026-06-02Keinan EllyofficerWithheld for tax11,2531,616,869Form 4
2026-06-02Chugh HarshofficerWithheld for tax1,157185,106Form 4
2026-06-02Ringes MarkofficerWithheld for tax74299,789Form 4
2026-06-02Paulek Mark DofficerWithheld for tax598150,828Form 4
2026-06-01Paulek Mark DofficerAward / grant27,560151,426Form 4
2026-06-01Chugh HarshofficerAward / grant55,119186,263Form 4
2026-06-01Doegar BhavnaofficerAward / grant19,843112,593Form 4
2026-06-01Keinan EllyofficerAward / grant248,0321,628,122Form 4
2026-06-01Schroeter Martin JdirectorAward / grant496,0632,489,269Form 4
2026-06-01Ringes MarkofficerAward / grant24,804100,531Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.