JXNJackson Financial Inc.Financial Services · Insurance - Lifeas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $137.10 · now $137.10 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, JXN has typically landed between $115.23 and $167.52 — a range of −16.0% to +22.2% from the issuance price $137.10.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,244 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-09-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($137.10) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where JXN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $137.1 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$115.23worst · -16.0%$167.52best · +22.2%
  • now $137.1 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $142.23 (+3.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $132.26–$152.19
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $115.23–$167.52
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,244 windows spanning 2021-09-01 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-04-12−31.6%−31.6%+6.2%
2022-06-06−27.4%−27.4%+0.0%
2022-04-11−27.4%−27.4%+5.4%
3 best
2021-11-04+43.8%+0.0%+43.8%
2022-07-14+41.5%+0.0%+41.5%
2021-11-09+40.0%+0.0%+43.6%

1,244 overlapping windows · 2021-09-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+7.2%
n=5
Feb
60%
+1.8%
n=5
Mar
40%
+1.0%
n=5
Apr
40%
−0.5%
n=5
May
40%
−6.0%
n=5
Jun
60%
−1.3%
n=5
Jul
80%
+9.5%
n=5
Aug
100%
+11.1%
n=5
Sep
80%
−0.2%
n=5
Oct
60%
+9.5%
n=5
Nov
60%
+9.3%
n=5
Dec
60%
+6.0%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$141$882026-08-12: 1 insider sale, $653K — Raub Christopher2026-08-05: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Chelko Carrie2026-03-11: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Kirkland Derek G2025-08-13: 1 insider sale, $286K — Chelko Carrie2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $963K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $1.1M2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.7M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Raub Christopher — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Chelko Carrie — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Kirkland Derek G — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Chelko Carrie — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12Raub ChristopherofficerSale5,000 @ $130.69$653K−10.6% of holding+6.8%not yet — horizon still open42,160Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05Chelko CarrieofficerSale7,500 @ $134.24$1.0M−8.5% of holding+3.1%not yet — horizon still open80,914Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-11Kirkland Derek GdirectorSale10,000 @ $108.32$1.1M−22.5% of holding−5.1%+18.6%34,450Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-13Chelko CarrieofficerSale3,000 @ $95.40$286K−4.0% of holding−0.5%+11.9%71,928Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-11Smith Craig DonaldofficerSale2,500 @ $91.67$229K−2.2% of holding+3.2%+22.4%109,200Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-08Smith Craig DonaldofficerSale3,500 @ $89.96$315K−3.0% of holding+4.5%+24.0%111,700Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-07Smith Craig DonaldofficerSale1,500 @ $88.44$133K−1.3% of holding+5.3%+27.0%115,200Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-07Smith Craig DonaldofficerSale6,185 @ $71.03$439K−5.0% of holding+5.5%+10.5%116,917Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-07Smith Craig DonaldofficerSale5,442 @ $70.21$382K−4.2% of holding+5.5%+10.5%123,102Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-07Smith Craig DonaldofficerSale3,063 @ $68.99$211K−2.3% of holding+5.5%+10.5%128,544Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-07Smith Craig DonaldofficerSale2,373 @ $68.10$162K−1.8% of holding+5.5%+10.5%131,607Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-07Smith Craig DonaldofficerSale1,900 @ $66.73$127K−1.4% of holding+5.5%+10.5%133,980Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-07Smith Craig DonaldofficerSale1,150 @ $65.60$75K−0.8% of holding+5.5%+10.5%135,880Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-07Smith Craig DonaldofficerSale300 @ $72.21$22K−0.3% of holding+5.5%+10.5%116,617Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-07Smith Craig DonaldofficerSale194 @ $73.91$14K−0.2% of holding+5.5%+10.5%116,423Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

285 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Raub ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax4,15437,282Form 4
2026-09-10Cummings Don WofficerWithheld for tax73671,979Form 4
2026-09-10Raub ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax72441,436Form 4
2026-09-10Anderson Craig A.officerWithheld for tax2188,163Form 4
2026-09-10Raub ChristopherofficerAward / grant29437,576Form 4
2026-06-25Chelko CarrieofficerAward / grant4988,414Form 4
2026-06-25Claffee Lily FudirectorAward / grant39947,635Form 4
2026-06-25Cummings Don WofficerAward / grant2672,555Form 4
2026-06-25Cummings Don WofficerAward / grant3272,587Form 4
2026-06-25Cummings Don WofficerAward / grant5572,642Form 4
2026-06-25Cummings Don WofficerAward / grant7372,715Form 4
2026-06-25Prieskorn Laura LouenedirectorAward / grant152521,267Form 4
2026-06-25Prieskorn Laura LouenedirectorAward / grant197521,464Form 4
2026-06-25Prieskorn Laura LouenedirectorAward / grant252521,716Form 4
2026-06-25Raub ChristopherofficerAward / grant1446,924Form 4
2026-06-25Raub ChristopherofficerAward / grant9647,020Form 4
2026-06-25Raub ChristopherofficerAward / grant2247,042Form 4
2026-06-25Raub ChristopherofficerAward / grant3147,073Form 4
2026-06-25Raub ChristopherofficerAward / grant2347,096Form 4
2026-06-25Raub ChristopherofficerAward / grant6447,160Form 4
2026-06-25KANDARIAN STEVEN AdirectorAward / grant951113,396Form 4
2026-06-25Kirkland Derek GdirectorAward / grant12536,412Form 4
2026-06-25Lawton DrewdirectorAward / grant25230,066Form 4
2026-06-25Lippert Martin JdirectorAward / grant39947,635Form 4
2026-06-25Noles Russell GdirectorAward / grant18938,210Form 4
2026-06-25STECHER ESTA EdirectorAward / grant43051,328Form 4
2026-06-25Anderson Craig A.officerAward / grant248,351Form 4
2026-06-25Binioris Savvas Steve PanagiotisofficerAward / grant4136,826Form 4
2026-06-25Binioris Savvas Steve PanagiotisofficerAward / grant5036,876Form 4
2026-06-25Binioris Savvas Steve PanagiotisofficerAward / grant436,881Form 4
2026-06-25Binioris Savvas Steve PanagiotisofficerAward / grant4136,922Form 4
2026-06-25Chelko CarrieofficerAward / grant3188,324Form 4
2026-06-25Chelko CarrieofficerAward / grant4188,366Form 4
2026-06-25Anderson Craig A.officerAward / grant141,625Form 4
2026-06-25Anderson Craig A.officerAward / grant298,381Form 4
2026-06-25Anderson Craig A.officerAward / grant88,328Form 4
2026-06-01Kirkland Derek GdirectorAward / grant1,72736,287Form 4
2026-06-01Lawton DrewdirectorAward / grant1,72729,814Form 4
2026-06-01Lippert Martin JdirectorAward / grant1,72746,069Form 4
2026-06-01Lippert Martin JdirectorAward / grant1,16747,236Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.