Issued 2026-09-16 at $340.18 · now $340.18 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, JLL has typically landed between $288.57 and $391.20 — a range of −15.2% to +15.0% from the issuance price $340.18.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($340.18) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where JLL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $340.18 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $340.18 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $345.86 (+1.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $324.24–$367.48
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $288.57–$391.2
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −49.5% | −49.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −46.1% | −46.1% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-25 | −45.5% | −45.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-06 | +66.7% | −0.2% | +68.4% |
| 2009-03-05 | +66.7% | −1.3% | +66.7% |
| 2009-03-11 | +64.9% | +0.0% | +64.9% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $386.99 | $774K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 138,418 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-20 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $385.53 | $771K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 140,418 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-19 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $375.16 | $750K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 142,418 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $375.00 | $750K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 144,418 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-14 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $375.00 | $750K | −1.3% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 146,418 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Quinlan Larry | director | Sale | 402 @ $301.73 | $121K | −8.4% of holding | +7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,369 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | Quinlan Larry | director | Sale | 403 @ $295.14 | $119K | −7.8% of holding | +8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,771 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | Bloxam Richard | officer | Sale | 5,440 @ $296.94 | $1.6M | −100.0% of holding | +5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | MCANENY DEBORAH H | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $300.50 | $751K | −14.3% of holding | +7.6% | +4.0% | 14,985 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 96 @ $332.18 | $32K | −0.1% of holding | +1.4% | −21.8% | 114,685 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $330.87 | $1.7M | −4.2% of holding | +4.4% | −18.0% | 114,781 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 4,664 @ $330.36 | $1.5M | −3.7% of holding | +6.8% | −14.8% | 119,781 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $330.93 | $1.7M | −3.9% of holding | +5.6% | −18.6% | 124,445 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $330.24 | $1.7M | −3.7% of holding | +5.1% | −18.7% | 129,445 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 240 @ $330.01 | $79K | −0.2% of holding | +3.3% | −20.9% | 134,445 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $331.21 | $1.7M | −3.6% of holding | +1.8% | −25.9% | 134,685 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $330.33 | $1.7M | −3.5% of holding | +2.3% | −27.3% | 139,685 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-20 | Poppink Andrew W | officer | Sale | 275 @ $237.97 | $65K | −2.6% of holding | +3.2% | +26.0% | 10,297 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
233 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Howe Kelly Campbell | officer | Withheld for tax | 333 | 2,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tse Alan K | officer | Withheld for tax | 179 | 18,330 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tse Alan K | officer | Option exercise | 404 | 404 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tse Alan K | officer | Option exercise | 404 | 18,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Howe Kelly Campbell | officer | Option exercise | 751 | 1,503 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Howe Kelly Campbell | officer | Option exercise | 751 | 2,675 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | RIVERA EFRAIN | director | Award / grant | 125 | 8,242 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Gore Susan M. | director | Award / grant | 69 | 3,325 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Ju Tina L. | director | Award / grant | 125 | 8,704 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Macaskill Bridget | director | Award / grant | 46 | 12,320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Ojeisekhoba Moses Ifidon | director | Award / grant | 141 | 6,739 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Quinlan Larry | director | Award / grant | 635 | 5,174 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Carter Matthew Jr | director | Award / grant | 635 | 9,381 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Macaskill Bridget | director | Award / grant | 635 | 12,274 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | RIVERA EFRAIN | director | Award / grant | 635 | 8,117 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Patel Jeetendra I | director | Award / grant | 635 | 8,308 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Mehta Siddharth N | director | Award / grant | 984 | 11,316 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | MCANENY DEBORAH H | director | Award / grant | 635 | 15,620 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gore Susan M. | director | Award / grant | 635 | 3,256 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Ju Tina L. | director | Award / grant | 635 | 8,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Ojeisekhoba Moses Ifidon | director | Award / grant | 635 | 6,598 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Shah Mihir | officer | Award / grant | 4,722 | 4,722 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Adams Laura M. | officer | Award / grant | 1,521 | 1,521 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Murray Neil D | officer | Award / grant | 3,922 | 3,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Award / grant | 16,407 | 16,407 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Bloxam Richard | officer | Award / grant | 4,082 | 4,082 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Brennan Karen G | officer | Award / grant | 3,642 | 3,642 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Hawke Benjamin G. | officer | Award / grant | 467 | 467 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Howe Kelly Campbell | officer | Award / grant | 2,681 | 2,681 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tse Alan K | officer | Award / grant | 2,951 | 2,951 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Ulbrich Christian | director | Withheld for tax | 23,491 | 148,418 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Shah Mihir | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,319 | 54,610 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Bloxam Richard | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,090 | 45,926 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Murray Neil D | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,741 | 32,366 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Brennan Karen G | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,783 | 27,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Tse Alan K | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,904 | 18,105 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Adams Laura M. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,276 | 4,593 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Brennan Karen G | officer | Award / grant | 10,796 | 31,831 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Murray Neil D | officer | Award / grant | 12,957 | 38,107 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Bague Hugo | director | Award / grant | 94 | 27,719 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.