JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.Technology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $158.98 · now $158.98 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, JKHY has typically landed between $142.49 and $176.56 — a range of −10.4% to +11.1% from the issuance price $158.98.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($158.98) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where JKHY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $158.98 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$142.49worst · -10.4%$176.56best · +11.1%
  • now $158.98 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $158.88 (-0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $151.82–$165.95
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $142.49–$176.56
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−28.4%−28.4%+0.0%
2008-09-25−24.4%−24.4%+0.9%
2020-02-21−24.0%−24.0%+0.0%
3 best
2026-06-17+23.3%−0.6%+23.8%
2020-03-23+23.2%+0.0%+31.3%
2020-04-21+21.8%−0.1%+22.1%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$10.7B
market cap
$7.15
EPS (TTM)
21.1
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-18
next earnings
Revenue$2.4B
'20'25
Net income$456M
'20'25
Free cash flow$588M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr19.2%
'20'25
ROE · by yr21.4%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.00
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $158.98$152.13$251.41
  • DCF (intrinsic)$199.83
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$244.57
  • Analyst target · range $165.00–$216.00$173.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$158.98

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
−0.0%
n=18
Feb
58%
+0.5%
n=19
Mar
79%
+2.7%
n=19
Apr
53%
+1.4%
n=19
May
47%
−0.8%
n=19
Jun
63%
+1.5%
n=19
Jul
74%
+3.0%
n=19
Aug
47%
+0.1%
n=19
Sep
53%
−0.5%
n=19
Oct
61%
+1.4%
n=18
Nov
67%
+2.7%
n=18
Dec
72%
+1.2%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$191$1232026-05-14: 2 insider purchases, $317K — Adelson Gregory R., Carsley Mimi2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $3.5M — Foss David B2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $37K — McLachlan Shanon G.2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $967K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $37K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $3.5M2026-05: 2 open-market purchases, $317K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Adelson Gregory R. — Purchase on 2026-05-14, filed same dayofficer Carsley Mimi — Purchase on 2026-05-14, filed same daydirector Foss David B — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer McLachlan Shanon G. — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-14Adelson Gregory R.directorPurchase2,000 @ $133.42$267K+10.5% of holding−3.2%not yet — horizon still open21,036Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-14Carsley MimiofficerPurchase375 @ $134.12$50K+6.7% of holding−3.2%not yet — horizon still open6,007Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-01Foss David BdirectorSale20,000 @ $174.92$3.5M−13.5% of holding+4.6%−34.2%128,133Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-10McLachlan Shanon G.officerSale227 @ $160.83$37K−13.8% of holding+13.2%−22.0%1,420Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-04Foss David BdirectorSale5,780 @ $167.28$967K−4.0% of holding−7.2%−11.7%139,265Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-13Swearingen Renee AnnofficerSale1,010 @ $179.10$181K−59.3% of holding−1.5%−23.5%693Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-13McLachlan Shanon G.officerSale246 @ $179.42$44K−24.9% of holding−1.5%−23.5%741Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12Foss David BdirectorSale10,682 @ $180.54$1.9M−7.7% of holding−3.9%−27.4%127,983Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12Morgan Craig KeithofficerSale5,000 @ $180.16$901K−42.7% of holding−3.9%−27.4%6,718Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12Foss David BdirectorSale4,318 @ $181.23$783K−3.4% of holding−3.9%−27.4%123,665Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

214 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Preece RicharddirectorAward / grant270270Form 4
2026-08-27Adelson Gregory R.directorWithheld for tax1,16230,128Form 4
2026-08-27Adelson Gregory R.directorWithheld for tax1,09028,051Form 4
2026-08-27Morgan Craig KeithofficerWithheld for tax53210,636Form 4
2026-08-27Morgan Craig KeithofficerWithheld for tax4989,675Form 4
2026-08-27Adelson Gregory R.directorWithheld for tax49528,670Form 4
2026-08-27Morgan Craig KeithofficerWithheld for tax2269,962Form 4
2026-08-27Swearingen Renee AnnofficerWithheld for tax16714,003Form 4
2026-08-27Swearingen Renee AnnofficerWithheld for tax15713,702Form 4
2026-08-27McLachlan Shanon G.officerWithheld for tax733,068Form 4
2026-08-27Swearingen Renee AnnofficerWithheld for tax7113,792Form 4
2026-08-27McLachlan Shanon G.officerWithheld for tax682,945Form 4
2026-08-27McLachlan Shanon G.officerWithheld for tax312,830Form 4
2026-08-27Swearingen Renee AnnofficerAward / grant16113,863Form 4
2026-08-27Swearingen Renee AnnofficerAward / grant35513,859Form 4
2026-08-27Morgan Craig KeithofficerAward / grant51310,188Form 4
2026-08-27McLachlan Shanon G.officerAward / grant462462Form 4
2026-08-27McLachlan Shanon G.officerAward / grant1963,141Form 4
2026-08-27McLachlan Shanon G.officerAward / grant1833,013Form 4
2026-08-27McLachlan Shanon G.officerAward / grant832,861Form 4
2026-08-27Carsley MimiofficerAward / grant5,1135,113Form 4
2026-08-27Adelson Gregory R.directorAward / grant2,62031,290Form 4
2026-08-27Adelson Gregory R.directorAward / grant1,11429,165Form 4
2026-08-27Adelson Gregory R.directorAward / grant2,45629,141Form 4
2026-08-27Morgan Craig KeithofficerAward / grant1,20611,168Form 4
2026-08-27Swearingen Renee AnnofficerAward / grant37814,170Form 4
2026-08-27Morgan Craig KeithofficerAward / grant1,13010,173Form 4
2026-08-04Adelson Gregory R.directorWithheld for tax2,12226,685Form 4
2026-08-04Adelson Gregory R.directorWithheld for tax1,73824,024Form 4
2026-08-04Carsley MimiofficerWithheld for tax7697,444Form 4
2026-08-04Adelson Gregory R.directorWithheld for tax64621,845Form 4
2026-08-04Carsley MimiofficerWithheld for tax6426,462Form 4
2026-08-04McLachlan Shanon G.officerWithheld for tax3582,778Form 4
2026-08-04Morgan Craig KeithofficerWithheld for tax2958,711Form 4
2026-08-04McLachlan Shanon G.officerWithheld for tax2892,167Form 4
2026-08-04Morgan Craig KeithofficerWithheld for tax2629,043Form 4
2026-08-04Swearingen Renee AnnofficerWithheld for tax10313,504Form 4
2026-08-04Swearingen Renee AnnofficerWithheld for tax9813,374Form 4
2026-08-04Swearingen Renee AnnofficerWithheld for tax9313,250Form 4
2026-08-04McLachlan Shanon G.officerWithheld for tax801,673Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-07-022026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-06$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-12-152025-11-12$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-12-152025-11-18$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-12-082025-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-11-062025-10-07$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-08-132025-07-16$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-07-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-03-062025-02-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-02-062025-01-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-12-052024-11-15$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.