JBTM · TickerCove

JBTMJBT Marel CorporationIndustrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $111.41 · now $111.41 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, JBTM has typically landed between $95.51 and $128.21 — a range of −14.3% to +15.1% from the issuance price $111.41.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,546 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-07-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($111.41) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$111.41 · 0% of range

$111.38 low$168.31 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.4%

typical move · IQR 10.7%

−14.3%worst (p90)+15.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where JBTM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $111.41 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $111.41 (+0.0%)
typical $111.82 (+0.4%)
middle 50% $105.87–$117.77
90% range $95.51–$128.21

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,546 windows spanning 2008-07-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−44.9%	−44.9%	+1.7%
2020-02-21	−44.8%	−45.1%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−44.0%	−45.9%	+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20	+51.6%	+0.0%	+56.2%
2020-11-04	+50.5%	+0.0%	+50.5%
2020-11-06	+48.5%	+0.0%	+48.5%

4,546 overlapping windows · 2008-07-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

67%

+2.3%

n=18

Feb

44%

+2.8%

n=18

Mar

56%

−0.7%

n=18

Apr

44%

−0.1%

n=18

May

44%

+2.5%

n=18

Jun

56%

+1.5%

n=18

Jul

67%

+3.4%

n=18

Aug

37%

−2.0%

n=19

Sep

47%

+0.8%

n=19

Oct

61%

+1.0%

n=18

Nov

89%

+6.6%

n=18

Dec

44%

−0.2%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-03	Deck Brian A	director	Sale	8,634 @ $150.51	$1.3M	−6.3% of holding	−12.4%	−36.4%	127,667	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	Deck Brian A	director	Sale	10,000 @ $151.39	$1.5M	−6.8% of holding	−12.1%	−36.5%	136,301	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-10	Gudmundsson Olafur S	director	Sale	10,000 @ $150.09	$1.5M	−50.1% of holding	−0.5%	−27.0%	9,980	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-26	Gudmundsson Olafur S	director	Sale	19,870 @ $141.79	$2.8M	−49.7% of holding	+8.6%	−20.1%	20,110	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-26	Gudmundsson Olafur S	director	Sale	130 @ $142.51	$19K	−0.6% of holding	+8.6%	−20.1%	19,980	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-27	Rizzolo Luiz Augusto	officer	Sale	1,271 @ $118.55	$151K	−16.7% of holding	−2.7%	+3.8%	6,342	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

119 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-15	Moller Andrew James	officer	Award / grant	743	743	Form 4
2026-06-30	Pelletier James C	officer	Withheld for tax	409	3,392	Form 4
2026-06-01	Savage Ann	director	Award / grant	1,232	2,987	Form 4
2026-06-01	BRASIER BARBARA L	director	Award / grant	1,232	10,259	Form 4
2026-06-01	FELDMAN ALAN D	director	Award / grant	1,232	65,855	Form 4
2026-06-01	Gronfeldt Svafa	director	Award / grant	1,232	3,132	Form 4
2026-06-01	Gudmundsson Olafur S	director	Award / grant	1,232	11,212	Form 4
2026-06-01	Harrington Charles L.	director	Award / grant	1,964	11,356	Form 4
2026-06-01	JACKSON LAWRENCE V	director	Award / grant	1,232	10,783	Form 4
2026-06-01	KAWALEK POLLY B	director	Award / grant	1,964	76,024	Form 4
2026-06-01	Masson Arnar Thor	director	Award / grant	1,232	9,761	Form 4
2026-02-27	Deck Brian A	director	Withheld for tax	2,508	146,301	Form 4
2026-02-27	Meister Matthew J	officer	Withheld for tax	476	21,985	Form 4
2026-02-27	Petrie Robert James	officer	Withheld for tax	407	12,223	Form 4
2026-02-27	Rizzolo Luiz Augusto	officer	Withheld for tax	343	8,840	Form 4
2026-02-27	Bridarolli Shelley Rae	officer	Withheld for tax	247	11,518	Form 4
2026-02-27	Siddons Mary Beth	officer	Withheld for tax	79	2,764	Form 4
2026-02-26	Deck Brian A	director	Withheld for tax	2,425	148,809	Form 4
2026-02-26	Meister Matthew J	officer	Withheld for tax	492	22,461	Form 4
2026-02-26	Sigurdsson Arni	officer	Withheld for tax	437	25,733	Form 4
2026-02-26	Petrie Robert James	officer	Withheld for tax	373	12,630	Form 4
2026-02-26	Claessens Roger	officer	Withheld for tax	304	3,109	Form 4
2026-02-26	Rizzolo Luiz Augusto	officer	Withheld for tax	261	9,183	Form 4
2026-02-26	Bridarolli Shelley Rae	officer	Withheld for tax	241	11,765	Form 4
2026-02-26	Siddons Mary Beth	officer	Withheld for tax	145	2,517	Form 4
2026-02-25	Deck Brian A	director	Withheld for tax	14,425	135,162	Form 4
2026-02-25	Meister Matthew J	officer	Withheld for tax	2,908	19,126	Form 4
2026-02-25	Petrie Robert James	officer	Withheld for tax	2,516	10,962	Form 4
2026-02-25	Rizzolo Luiz Augusto	officer	Withheld for tax	2,075	7,658	Form 4
2026-02-25	Bridarolli Shelley Rae	officer	Withheld for tax	1,601	10,348	Form 4
2026-02-25	Siddons Mary Beth	officer	Withheld for tax	168	2,988	Form 4
2026-02-25	Deck Brian A	director	Award / grant	16,072	151,234	Form 4
2026-02-25	Rizzolo Luiz Augusto	officer	Award / grant	4,235	9,733	Form 4
2026-02-25	Rizzolo Luiz Augusto	officer	Award / grant	1,786	9,444	Form 4
2026-02-25	Bridarolli Shelley Rae	officer	Award / grant	1,658	12,006	Form 4
2026-02-25	Meister Matthew J	officer	Award / grant	3,827	22,953	Form 4
2026-02-25	Pelletier James C	officer	Award / grant	1,722	3,801	Form 4
2026-02-25	Bridarolli Shelley Rae	officer	Award / grant	3,601	11,949	Form 4
2026-02-25	Claessens Roger	officer	Award / grant	1,786	3,413	Form 4
2026-02-25	Deck Brian A	director	Award / grant	30,495	149,587	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i