JBSS · TickerCove

JBSSJohn B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foodsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $68.55 · now $68.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, JBSS has typically landed between $61.21 and $77.04 — a range of −10.7% to +12.4% from the issuance price $68.55.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($68.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$68.55 · 33% of range

$57.6 low$90.6 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.4%

typical move · IQR 9.4%

−10.7%worst (p90)+12.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where JBSS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $68.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $68.55 (+0.0%)
typical $68.84 (+0.4%)
middle 50% $65.61–$72.06
90% range $61.21–$77.04

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-11	−37.0%	−37.0%	+0.0%
2008-09-10	−36.2%	−36.2%	+0.0%
2008-11-14	−35.6%	−36.9%	+1.1%
3 best
2009-04-28	+49.1%	+0.0%	+49.1%
2016-10-27	+42.7%	+0.0%	+43.6%
2009-08-11	+41.2%	+0.0%	+41.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+0.4%

n=20

Feb

75%

+3.6%

n=20

Mar

60%

+3.5%

n=20

Apr

60%

+1.2%

n=20

May

45%

−0.8%

n=20

Jun

50%

+1.2%

n=20

Jul

65%

+2.8%

n=20

Aug

40%

+0.6%

n=20

Sep

30%

−1.8%

n=20

Oct

65%

+4.0%

n=20

Nov

55%

+1.6%

n=20

Dec

50%

+2.1%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-02	SANFILIPPO JASPER BRIAN JR	director	Sale	7,212 @ $80.97	$584K	−19.9% of holding	+0.8%	−21.7%	29,048	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	SANFILIPPO JEFFREY T	director	Sale	7,212 @ $80.08	$578K	−15.1% of holding	+0.8%	−21.7%	40,497	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	Sanfilippo Lisa	director	Sale	2,272 @ $81.43	$185K	−59.7% of holding	+0.8%	−21.7%	1,536	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	Sanfilippo James J	director	Sale	1,268 @ $80.63	$102K	−45.2% of holding	+0.8%	−21.7%	1,536	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-11	Sanfilippo James J	director	Sale	1,004 @ $70.67	$71K	−44.2% of holding	+6.3%	−18.9%	1,268	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-16	SANFILIPPO JASPER BRIAN JR	director	Sale	5,158 @ $90.00	$464K	−17.4% of holding	−23.3%	−33.1%	24,441	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-16	SANFILIPPO JEFFREY T	director	Sale	5,158 @ $90.00	$464K	−17.4% of holding	−23.3%	−33.1%	24,441	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

52 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-18	Pronitcheva Julia A	officer	Award / grant	986	10,936	Form 4
2026-08-18	SANFILIPPO JASPER BRIAN JR	director	Award / grant	4,698	33,746	Form 4
2026-08-18	SANFILIPPO JEFFREY T	director	Award / grant	4,698	45,195	Form 4
2026-08-18	Finn Michael J	officer	Award / grant	517	6,776	Form 4
2026-08-18	Pellegrino Frank S	officer	Award / grant	2,584	37,882	Form 4
2026-04-06	Sanfilippo John E	director	Other acquisition	125,000	294,569	Form 4
2026-04-06	SANFILIPPO JASPER BRIAN JR	director	Other acquisition	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-04-06	SANFILIPPO JASPER BRIAN JR	director	Other acquisition	125,000	294,570	Form 4
2026-04-06	SANFILIPPO JEFFREY T	director	Other acquisition	125,000	252,710	Form 4
2026-04-06	Sanfilippo James J	director	Other acquisition	500,000	0	Form 4
2026-04-06	Sanfilippo Lisa	director	Other acquisition	125,000	259,968	Form 4
2026-02-25	Sanfilippo Lisa	director	Other acquisition	72,847	134,968	Form 4
2026-02-25	SANFILIPPO JASPER BRIAN JR	director	Other acquisition	489,233	500,000	Form 4
2026-02-25	SANFILIPPO JASPER BRIAN JR	director	Other acquisition	72,847	169,570	Form 4
2026-02-25	SANFILIPPO JEFFREY T	director	Other acquisition	72,847	127,710	Form 4
2026-02-25	Sanfilippo James J	director	Other acquisition	489,233	500,000	Form 4
2026-02-25	Sanfilippo James J	director	Other acquisition	197,846	247,846	Form 4
2026-02-25	Sanfilippo John E	director	Other acquisition	72,846	169,569	Form 4
2026-02-10	Pronitcheva Julia A	officer	Other acquisition	100	9,950	Form 4
2026-02-09	Sanfilippo John E	director	Other acquisition	335	0	Form 4
2026-02-06	SANFILIPPO JEFFREY T	director	Award / grant	11,449	47,709	Form 4
2025-11-17	Pronitcheva Julia A	officer	Withheld for tax	485	10,050	Form 4
2025-11-17	VALENTINE JAMES A	director	Withheld for tax	355	16,980	Form 4
2025-11-17	Finn Michael J	officer	Withheld for tax	355	6,259	Form 4
2025-11-12	Taaffe Ellen	director	Award / grant	1,536	12,857	Form 4
2025-11-12	Lieberman Pamela Forbes	director	Award / grant	1,536	6,870	Form 4
2025-11-12	Pellegrino Frank S	officer	Award / grant	6,500	35,298	Form 4
2025-11-12	Pronitcheva Julia A	officer	Award / grant	2,482	10,535	Form 4
2025-11-12	VALENTINE MICHAEL J	director	Award / grant	1,536	53,562	Form 4
2025-11-12	Sanfilippo James J	director	Award / grant	1,536	2,804	Form 4
2025-11-12	Romero Mercedes	director	Award / grant	1,536	5,841	Form 4
2025-11-12	SANFILIPPO JASPER BRIAN JR	director	Award / grant	11,819	36,260	Form 4
2025-11-12	SANFILIPPO JEFFREY T	director	Award / grant	11,819	36,260	Form 4
2025-11-12	Sanfilippo Lisa	director	Award / grant	1,536	3,808	Form 4
2025-11-12	Sanfilippo John E	director	Award / grant	1,536	6,870	Form 4
2025-11-12	VALENTINE JAMES A	director	Award / grant	1,625	17,335	Form 4
2025-11-12	Finn Michael J	officer	Award / grant	1,300	6,614	Form 4
2025-07-24	SANFILIPPO JASPER BRIAN JR	director	Other acquisition	250,000	989,233	Form 4
2025-07-24	SANFILIPPO JEFFREY T	director	Other acquisition	50,000	54,863	Form 4
2025-07-24	SANFILIPPO JASPER BRIAN JR	director	Other acquisition	50,000	96,723	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i