JBLUJetBlue Airways CorporationIndustrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.30 · now $4.30 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, JBLU has typically landed between $3.27 and $5.48 — a range of −24.0% to +27.3% from the issuance price $4.30.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.30) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where JBLU has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.3 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$3.27worst · -24.0%$5.48best · +27.3%
  • now $4.3 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.21 (-2.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.75–$4.68
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.27–$5.48
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−66.7%−66.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−65.7%−65.7%+0.0%
2020-02-18−64.0%−64.0%+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-07+90.6%−3.5%+90.6%
2008-07-11+85.7%+0.0%+85.7%
2008-07-14+82.9%−0.9%+82.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.1%
n=20
Feb
60%
−0.9%
n=20
Mar
40%
−2.7%
n=20
Apr
40%
−2.3%
n=20
May
45%
+1.5%
n=20
Jun
65%
+0.1%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.5%
n=20
Aug
35%
−3.4%
n=20
Sep
40%
−1.1%
n=20
Oct
60%
+2.2%
n=20
Nov
55%
+6.2%
n=20
Dec
50%
+4.5%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$6$42026-08-31: 1 insider sale, $9K — Clements Carol Ann2026-07-30: 3 insider sales, $456K — Hurley Ursula L, Clements Carol Ann …2026-05-28: 3 insider sales, $173K — Sharma Vivek …2026-05-04: 1 insider sale, $91K — Southerton Dawn2026-05-01: 3 insider sales, $179K — Winkelmann Thomas, Christie Warren …2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $2K — Christie Warren2025-11-04: 1 insider purchase, $206K — BONEPARTH PETER2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $206K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $2K2026-05: 7 open-market sales, $443K2026-07: 3 open-market sales, $456K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $9K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Clements Carol Ann — Sale on 2026-08-31, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hurley Ursula L — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hurley Ursula L — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Clements Carol Ann — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Sharma Vivek — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Sharma Vivek — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Sharma Vivek — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Southerton Dawn — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Winkelmann Thomas — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Winkelmann Thomas — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Christie Warren — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Christie Warren — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BONEPARTH PETER — Purchase on 2025-11-04, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Clements Carol AnndirectorSale2,000 @ $4.71$9K−1.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open181,896Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-30Hurley Ursula LofficerSale74,276 @ $5.75$427K−26.0% of holding−24.7%not yet — horizon still open211,099Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-30Hurley Ursula LofficerSale2,977 @ $6.00$18K−1.0% of holding−24.7%not yet — horizon still open285,375Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-30Clements Carol AnndirectorSale2,000 @ $5.75$12K−1.1% of holding−24.7%not yet — horizon still open183,896Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-28Sharma VivekdirectorSale26,415 @ $5.41$143K−42.3% of holding+6.2%not yet — horizon still open36,064Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-28Sharma VivekdirectorSale5,000 @ $5.40$27K−7.4% of holding+6.2%not yet — horizon still open62,479Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-28Sharma VivekdirectorSale585 @ $5.42$3K−1.6% of holding+6.2%not yet — horizon still open35,479Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-04Southerton DawnofficerSale18,193 @ $5.00$91K−100.0% of holding−5.5%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-01Winkelmann ThomasdirectorSale22,094 @ $4.70$104K−62.3% of holding−4.0%not yet — horizon still open13,379Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-01Winkelmann ThomasdirectorSale13,379 @ $4.71$63K−100.0% of holding−4.0%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-01Christie WarrenofficerSale2,680 @ $4.65$12K−1.1% of holding−4.0%not yet — horizon still open234,833Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-11Christie WarrenofficerSale505 @ $4.43$2K−0.3% of holding+11.8%+2.3%155,495Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-04BONEPARTH PETERdirectorPurchase50,000 @ $4.12$206K+82.8% of holding+12.6%+16.8%110,398Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

287 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-29Geraghty JoannadirectorWithheld for tax135,873700,328Form 4
2026-05-29Geraghty JoannadirectorOption exercise245,7000Form 4
2026-05-29Geraghty JoannadirectorOption exercise245,7000Form 4
2026-05-29Geraghty JoannadirectorOption exercise245,700836,201Form 4
2026-05-29Geraghty JoannadirectorOption exercise245,700836,201Form 4
2026-04-30Christie WarrenofficerAward / grant2,680237,513Form 4
2026-04-30Hurley Ursula LofficerAward / grant2,546288,352Form 4
2026-04-30St George Martin JofficerAward / grant2,074122,931Form 4
2026-04-30McCarthy Eileen PdirectorAward / grant41136,103Form 4
2026-04-22St George Martin JofficerWithheld for tax23,934120,857Form 4
2026-04-22St George Martin JofficerOption exercise46,88246,882Form 4
2026-04-22Clements Carol AnndirectorAward / grant160,256160,256Form 4
2026-04-22Christie WarrenofficerAward / grant274,725274,725Form 4
2026-04-22St George Martin JofficerAward / grant274,725274,725Form 4
2026-04-22St George Martin JofficerOption exercise46,88246,882Form 4
2026-04-22Geraghty JoannadirectorAward / grant446,428446,428Form 4
2026-04-22Clements Carol AnndirectorAward / grant160,256160,256Form 4
2026-04-22St George Martin JofficerOption exercise46,882144,791Form 4
2026-04-22St George Martin JofficerAward / grant274,725274,725Form 4
2026-04-22Christie WarrenofficerAward / grant274,725274,725Form 4
2026-04-22McCarthy Eileen PdirectorAward / grant91,57591,575Form 4
2026-04-22Geraghty JoannadirectorAward / grant446,428446,428Form 4
2026-04-22St George Martin JofficerOption exercise46,882144,791Form 4
2026-04-22Hurley Ursula LofficerAward / grant274,725274,725Form 4
2026-04-22McCarthy Eileen PdirectorAward / grant91,57591,575Form 4
2026-04-22Hurley Ursula LofficerAward / grant274,725274,725Form 4
2026-04-10Geraghty JoannadirectorWithheld for tax39,110562,841Form 4
2026-04-10Geraghty JoannadirectorWithheld for tax34,221590,501Form 4
2026-04-10Hurley Ursula LofficerWithheld for tax31,290262,785Form 4
2026-04-10Hurley Ursula LofficerWithheld for tax24,009285,806Form 4
2026-04-10Clements Carol AnndirectorWithheld for tax19,555174,832Form 4
2026-04-10Clements Carol AnndirectorWithheld for tax13,688185,896Form 4
2026-04-10Christie WarrenofficerWithheld for tax7,410226,348Form 4
2026-04-10Christie WarrenofficerWithheld for tax6,366234,833Form 4
2026-04-10Clements Carol AnndirectorOption exercise24,752199,584Form 4
2026-04-10Christie WarrenofficerOption exercise14,851241,199Form 4
2026-04-10Hurley Ursula LofficerOption exercise47,030309,815Form 4
2026-04-10Geraghty JoannadirectorOption exercise61,881624,722Form 4
2026-04-10Clements Carol AnndirectorOption exercise35,361194,387Form 4
2026-04-10Clements Carol AnndirectorOption exercise35,3610Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.