JBIJanus International Group, Inc.Basic Materials · Construction Materialsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.36 · now $4.36 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, JBI has typically landed between $3.57 and $5.10 — a range of −18.2% to +16.9% from the issuance price $4.36.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,671 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-12-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.36) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where JBI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.36 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$3.57worst · -18.2%$5.1best · +16.9%
  • now $4.36 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.34 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.03–$4.64
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.57–$5.1
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,671 windows spanning 2019-12-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-10-22−42.9%−42.9%+1.3%
2025-10-21−42.6%−42.6%+0.0%
2025-10-23−41.7%−43.4%+0.4%
3 best
2025-04-16+46.2%+0.0%+46.2%
2025-04-21+37.7%+0.0%+40.4%
2025-04-15+37.3%−3.3%+37.3%

1,671 overlapping windows · 2019-12-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
86%
+6.7%
n=7
Feb
43%
−1.4%
n=7
Mar
14%
−7.7%
n=7
Apr
57%
−0.5%
n=7
May
57%
+4.9%
n=7
Jun
57%
+0.7%
n=7
Jul
71%
+4.8%
n=7
Aug
57%
−0.0%
n=7
Sep
14%
−8.3%
n=7
Oct
33%
−4.2%
n=6
Nov
67%
−1.9%
n=6
Dec
50%
+2.5%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$11$4↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2022-12-22Castillo RebeccaofficerSale340 @ $9.44$3K−1.1% of holding+7.8%−11.7%29,672Form 4 · filed 775 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

115 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-15Williams Jason RaymondofficerWithheld for tax2,83250,868Form 4
2026-08-15KAHLER ELLIOT HOUSMANofficerWithheld for tax599100,180Form 4
2026-08-15VANEVENHOVEN DAVIDofficerWithheld for tax59940,118Form 4
2026-06-16Youds Eileen MdirectorGift38,37938,379Form 4
2026-06-16Youds Eileen MdirectorGift38,37937,072Form 4
2026-06-09FRADIN ROGERdirectorAward / grant38,973873,640Form 4
2026-06-09Gutierrez Xavier AdirectorAward / grant20,91285,937Form 4
2026-06-09Harding HeatherdirectorAward / grant22,81369,138Form 4
2026-06-09HANNA JOSEPH FdirectorAward / grant20,91266,179Form 4
2026-06-09Lane Jeannine JdirectorAward / grant33,26941,029Form 4
2026-06-09Youds Eileen MdirectorAward / grant37,07275,451Form 4
2026-06-09Vasington Paul SdirectorAward / grant26,61533,178Form 4
2026-06-09Byerly Lance AdirectorAward / grant41,82587,535Form 4
2026-04-01KAHLER ELLIOT HOUSMANofficerWithheld for tax589100,779Form 4
2026-04-01Castillo RebeccaofficerWithheld for tax58968,634Form 4
2026-03-21Jackson Ramey PiercedirectorWithheld for tax15,547676,297Form 4
2026-03-21WONG ANSELMofficerWithheld for tax4,575425,637Form 4
2026-03-21Nettie Norman VofficerWithheld for tax1,408353,725Form 4
2026-03-21Hodges MorganofficerWithheld for tax1,24476,321Form 4
2026-03-21VANEVENHOVEN DAVIDofficerWithheld for tax70440,717Form 4
2026-03-21Castillo RebeccaofficerWithheld for tax70469,223Form 4
2026-03-21KAHLER ELLIOT HOUSMANofficerWithheld for tax704101,368Form 4
2026-03-19WONG ANSELMofficerWithheld for tax54,166430,212Form 4
2026-03-19Jackson Ramey PiercedirectorWithheld for tax15,586691,844Form 4
2026-03-19KAHLER ELLIOT HOUSMANofficerWithheld for tax3,142102,072Form 4
2026-03-19Nettie Norman VofficerWithheld for tax1,917355,133Form 4
2026-03-19Castillo RebeccaofficerWithheld for tax1,76269,927Form 4
2026-03-19Hodges MorganofficerWithheld for tax1,46977,565Form 4
2026-03-19VANEVENHOVEN DAVIDofficerWithheld for tax95041,421Form 4
2026-03-11WONG ANSELMofficerAward / grant64,199484,378Form 4
2026-03-11Byerly Lance AdirectorAward / grant44345,710Form 4
2026-03-11Castillo RebeccaofficerAward / grant31,47471,689Form 4
2026-03-11Hodges MorganofficerAward / grant31,47479,034Form 4
2026-03-11Youds Eileen MdirectorAward / grant66538,379Form 4
2026-03-11Lane Jeannine JdirectorAward / grant7,7607,760Form 4
2026-03-11Vasington Paul SdirectorAward / grant6,5636,563Form 4
2026-03-11Jackson Ramey PiercedirectorAward / grant268,974707,430Form 4
2026-03-11KAHLER ELLIOT HOUSMANofficerAward / grant47,032105,214Form 4
2026-03-11Williams Jason RaymondofficerAward / grant34,62253,700Form 4
2026-03-11Nettie Norman VofficerAward / grant31,474357,050Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.