JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logisticsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $236.73 · now $236.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, JBHT has typically landed between $210.18 and $269.89 — a range of −11.2% to +14.0% from the issuance price $236.73.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($236.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where JBHT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $236.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$210.18worst · -11.2%$269.89best · +14.0%
  • now $236.73 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $238.47 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $224.36$252.58
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $210.18$269.89
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−34.0%−34.0%+0.0%
2008-09-10−29.4%−29.4%+4.7%
2008-09-08−28.8%−28.8%+3.0%
3 best
2009-03-06+39.3%−0.2%+42.1%
2009-03-05+38.1%−3.0%+38.1%
2020-03-16+33.7%+0.0%+33.7%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$27.2B
market cap
$7.06
EPS (TTM)
40.8
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-21
next earnings
Revenue$12.0B
'20'25
Net income$598M
'20'25
Free cash flow$948M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr5.0%
'20'25
ROE · by yr16.8%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.53
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $236.73$28.78$395.28
  • DCF (intrinsic)$54.06
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$216.41
  • Analyst target · range $200.00$370.00$300.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$236.73

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+1.0%
n=18
Feb
58%
+1.2%
n=19
Mar
47%
+2.0%
n=19
Apr
58%
+0.6%
n=19
May
63%
+1.9%
n=19
Jun
42%
−0.1%
n=19
Jul
68%
+3.6%
n=19
Aug
42%
−1.7%
n=19
Sep
37%
−1.6%
n=19
Oct
67%
+3.9%
n=18
Nov
78%
+3.9%
n=18
Dec
67%
+0.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$298$1302026-06-05: 2 insider sales, $626K — Webb Brian, Keefauver David2026-05-19: 1 insider sale, $516K — Frazier Spencer2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Hicks Bradley W.2026-05-14: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Field Darren P.2026-04-22: 1 insider sale, $319K — Hobbs Nicholas2026-04-21: 1 insider sale, $254K — THOMPSON JAMES K2026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $519K — BOATTINI JENNIFER2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $531K — THOMPSON JAMES K2026-02-06: 1 insider sale, $227K — Delco Albert Brad2026-02-04: 3 insider sales, $1.2M — Hicks Bradley W., Kuhlow John, Woodruff Ronald Greer2026-02-03: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Field Darren P.2026-01-22: 1 insider sale, $824K — Hicks Bradley W.2026-01-21: 1 insider sale, $288K — Woodruff Ronald Greer2026-01-20: 1 insider sale, $614K — Hobbs Nicholas2025-12-09: 1 insider sale, $151K — Webb Brian2025-12-08: 2 insider sales, $511K — Keefauver David, Bracy Kevin2025-12-03: 1 insider sale, $380K — Hicks Bradley W.2025-12-02: 1 insider sale, $180K — Delco Albert Brad2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $580K — Kuhlow John2025-11-21: 1 insider purchase, $2K — Frazier Spencer2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $164K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $1.1M2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $2K2025-12: 6 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-01: 3 open-market sales, $1.7M2026-02: 7 open-market sales, $4.5M2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $573K2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $3.5M2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $626K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Webb Brian — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Keefauver David — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Frazier Spencer — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 7 days after the tradeofficer Hicks Bradley W. — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Field Darren P. — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hobbs Nicholas — Sale on 2026-04-22, filed same daydirector THOMPSON JAMES K — Sale on 2026-04-21, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BOATTINI JENNIFER — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 3 days after the tradedirector THOMPSON JAMES K — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Delco Albert Brad — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed same dayofficer Hicks Bradley W. — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed same dayofficer Kuhlow John — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Woodruff Ronald Greer — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Field Darren P. — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed same dayofficer Hicks Bradley W. — Sale on 2026-01-22, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Woodruff Ronald Greer — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hobbs Nicholas — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Webb Brian — Sale on 2025-12-09, filed same dayofficer Keefauver David — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bracy Kevin — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hicks Bradley W. — Sale on 2025-12-03, filed same dayofficer Delco Albert Brad — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kuhlow John — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Frazier Spencer — Purchase on 2025-11-21, filed 112 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-05Webb BrianofficerSale1,500 @ $284.01$426K−8.6% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open15,881Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-05Keefauver DavidofficerSale703 @ $285.13$200K−47.1% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open790Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-19Frazier SpencerofficerSale2,000 @ $258.20$516K−30.3% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open4,604Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2026-05-15Hicks Bradley W.officerSale7,644 @ $261.91$2.0M−24.2% of holding+5.2%not yet — horizon still open23,982Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-14Field Darren P.officerSale4,000 @ $254.49$1.0M−31.5% of holding+10.3%not yet — horizon still open8,696Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-22Hobbs NicholasofficerSale1,272 @ $250.75$319K−1.4% of holding+0.7%not yet — horizon still open91,736Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-21THOMPSON JAMES KdirectorSale1,000 @ $254.28$254K−4.9% of holding−0.4%not yet — horizon still open19,559Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-27BOATTINI JENNIFERofficerSale2,238 @ $232.00$519K−11.8% of holding−4.6%−0.7%16,650Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-11THOMPSON JAMES KdirectorSale2,300 @ $230.75$531K−10.1% of holding−8.8%+9.8%20,559Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-06Delco Albert BradofficerSale1,000 @ $227.25$227K−12.5% of holding−3.3%+4.5%6,983Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-04Hicks Bradley W.officerSale4,028 @ $225.13$907K−11.7% of holding−4.3%+4.8%30,395Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-04Kuhlow JohnofficerSale1,000 @ $225.68$226K−5.3% of holding−4.3%+4.8%17,931Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04Woodruff Ronald GreerofficerSale331 @ $225.57$75K−7.6% of holding−4.3%+4.8%4,019Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-03Field Darren P.officerSale9,000 @ $219.76$2.0M−45.6% of holding+4.0%+11.6%10,736Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-22Hicks Bradley W.officerSale3,919 @ $210.13$824K−12.8% of holding+6.5%+29.5%26,580Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-21Woodruff Ronald GreerofficerSale1,391 @ $207.00$288K−25.7% of holding+9.4%+30.3%4,019Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-20Hobbs NicholasofficerSale3,038 @ $201.97$614K−3.3% of holding+10.1%+33.3%90,318Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09Webb BrianofficerSale796 @ $189.11$151K−4.8% of holding+7.1%+44.3%15,697Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-08Keefauver DavidofficerSale1,588 @ $189.29$301K−74.3% of holding+7.0%+41.7%550Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-08Bracy KevinofficerSale1,100 @ $191.15$210K−10.3% of holding+7.0%+41.7%9,574Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-03Hicks Bradley W.officerSale2,000 @ $190.04$380K−6.2% of holding+6.6%+43.8%30,499Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-02Delco Albert BradofficerSale1,000 @ $179.54$180K−12.4% of holding+5.4%+41.4%7,043Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-01Kuhlow JohnofficerSale3,225 @ $179.76$580K−19.8% of holding+7.6%+44.9%13,095Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-21Frazier SpencerofficerPurchase13 @ $161.69$2K+0.2% of holding+13.7%+48.9%6,184Form 4 · filed 112 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

276 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-02GARRISON EARL WAYNEofficerGift76,7441,108,000Form 4
2026-05-29Hobbs NicholasofficerGift6,20485,532Form 4
2026-05-28ROBO JAMES LdirectorOther acquisition37,85680,113Form 4
2026-05-05Delco Albert BradofficerGift986,885Form 4
2026-04-23GASAWAY SHARILYN SdirectorAward / grant1,39933,977Form 4
2026-04-23ROBO JAMES LdirectorAward / grant1,35942,257Form 4
2026-04-23Hill ThaddirectorAward / grant1,32010,025Form 4
2026-04-23Edwardson Francesca M.directorAward / grant1,24132,811Form 4
2026-04-23Lisboa Persio VdirectorAward / grant1,2417,203Form 4
2026-04-23Biggs M. BrettdirectorAward / grant8552,370Form 4
2026-03-31Simpson ShelleyofficerWithheld for tax1,75483,623Form 4
2026-03-31Hobbs NicholasofficerWithheld for tax1,10093,008Form 4
2026-03-31Hicks Bradley W.officerWithheld for tax94331,626Form 4
2026-03-31Webb BrianofficerWithheld for tax91817,381Form 4
2026-03-31Kuhlow JohnofficerWithheld for tax85819,050Form 4
2026-03-31Field Darren P.officerWithheld for tax41212,696Form 4
2026-03-31Keefauver DavidofficerWithheld for tax1931,493Form 4
2026-03-31ROBERTS JOHN NdirectorWithheld for tax172335,241Form 4
2026-03-31Webb BrianofficerOption exercise1,33817,780Form 4
2026-03-31Keefauver DavidofficerOption exercise4201,686Form 4
2026-03-31Keefauver DavidofficerOption exercise5750Form 4
2026-03-31ROBERTS JOHN NdirectorOption exercise7,316335,413Form 4
2026-03-31ROBERTS JOHN NdirectorOption exercise10,0090Form 4
2026-03-31Simpson ShelleyofficerOption exercise3,95485,377Form 4
2026-03-31Simpson ShelleyofficerOption exercise5,4100Form 4
2026-03-31Hicks Bradley W.officerOption exercise2,17432,569Form 4
2026-03-31Hicks Bradley W.officerOption exercise2,9750Form 4
2026-03-31Field Darren P.officerOption exercise2,37213,108Form 4
2026-03-31Field Darren P.officerOption exercise3,2460Form 4
2026-03-31Hobbs NicholasofficerOption exercise2,37294,108Form 4
2026-03-31Hobbs NicholasofficerOption exercise3,2460Form 4
2026-03-31Kuhlow JohnofficerOption exercise1,97719,908Form 4
2026-03-31Kuhlow JohnofficerOption exercise2,7050Form 4
2026-03-31Scott Stuart LockardofficerOption exercise1,87854,301Form 4
2026-03-31Scott Stuart LockardofficerOption exercise2,5700Form 4
2026-03-31Webb BrianofficerOption exercise51918,299Form 4
2026-03-31Webb BrianofficerOption exercise7100Form 4
2026-03-31Webb BrianofficerOption exercise1,3380Form 4
2026-03-31Frazier SpencerofficerOption exercise4206,604Form 4
2026-03-31Frazier SpencerofficerOption exercise5750Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-05-142025-04-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-05-122025-04-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-05-122025-04-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-04-102025-03-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-12-052024-11-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-06-052024-05-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-11-082023-10-31$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2023-06-122023-05-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-08-092022-07-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2022-07-072022-06-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2022-06-102022-05-29$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.