Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.55 · now $30.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, JAN has typically landed between $28.13 and $35.78 — a range of −7.9% to +17.1% from the issuance price $30.55.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
103 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-03-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where JAN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $30.55 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.95 (+4.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $30.32–$33.57
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $28.13–$35.78
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-05-08 | −9.0% | −11.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-05-07 | −8.7% | −10.1% | +1.8% |
| 2026-05-11 | −6.7% | −9.5% | +1.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-06-04 | +21.8% | +0.0% | +21.8% |
| 2026-06-03 | +19.9% | +0.0% | +19.9% |
| 2026-06-16 | +19.8% | +0.0% | +19.8% |
103 overlapping windows · 2026-03-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Brinker Scott M | director | Purchase | 100,000 @ $20.00 | $2.0M | ownership Δ n/a | −6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Arabia John V | director | Purchase | 60,000 @ $20.00 | $1.2M | +800.0% of holding | −6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 67,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Sandstrom Katherine M | director | Purchase | 13,500 @ $20.00 | $270K | +180.0% of holding | −6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Miller Jeffrey H | officer | Purchase | 7,500 @ $20.00 | $150K | ownership Δ n/a | −6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | HERMAN CHARLES J JR | director | Purchase | 5,500 @ $20.00 | $110K | +73.3% of holding | −6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-23 | Olsen Denise | director | Purchase | 500 @ $20.00 | $10K | +6.7% of holding | −6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
15 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Porter Tracy A | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | HERMAN CHARLES J JR | director | Award / grant | 2,500 | 2,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | HERMAN CHARLES J JR | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 7,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Olsen Denise | director | Award / grant | 2,500 | 2,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Olsen Denise | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 7,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Patadia Ankit B. | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Arabia John V | director | Award / grant | 2,500 | 2,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Arabia John V | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 7,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Sandstrom Katherine M | director | Award / grant | 2,500 | 2,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Johnston Shawn G | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Sandstrom Katherine M | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 7,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Miller Jeffrey H | officer | Award / grant | 12,500 | 12,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mabry Adam G | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Moses Kelvin O | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Brinker Scott M | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.