JJacobs Solutions Inc.Industrials · Engineering & Constructionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $143.49 · now $143.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, J has typically landed between $129.65 and $158.38 — a range of −9.6% to +10.4% from the issuance price $143.49.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($143.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where J has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $143.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$129.65worst · -9.6%$158.38best · +10.4%
  • now $143.49 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $144.38 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $138–$150.76
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $129.65–$158.38
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-25−47.3%−47.3%+0.0%
2008-09-26−47.2%−47.2%+0.0%
2008-09-23−42.1%−42.1%+0.9%
3 best
2008-11-17+68.4%−11.7%+78.8%
2008-11-20+66.5%+0.0%+102.4%
2008-11-19+59.7%−8.8%+84.7%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$15.9B
market cap
$3.25
EPS (TTM)
41.4
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$12.0B
'20'25
Net income$290M
'20'25
Free cash flow$607M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr2.4%
'20'25
ROE · by yr8.0%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.74
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $143.49$93.59$181.03
  • DCF (intrinsic)$103.15
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$99.62
  • Analyst target · range $143.00–$175.00$163.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$143.49

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+0.7%
n=18
Feb
47%
+1.0%
n=19
Mar
58%
+2.8%
n=19
Apr
47%
+0.0%
n=19
May
53%
+0.5%
n=19
Jun
42%
−1.4%
n=19
Jul
68%
+2.0%
n=19
Aug
58%
+1.8%
n=19
Sep
53%
−1.7%
n=19
Oct
56%
+0.5%
n=18
Nov
56%
+2.8%
n=18
Dec
44%
+0.0%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$163$1072026-08-07: 2 insider sales, $2.5M — Hill Patrick …2026-05-15: 1 insider purchase, $400K — PRAGADA ROBERT V2026-05-13: 1 insider purchase, $28K — Fernandez Manuel J2026-05-08: 1 insider purchase, $49K — Fernandez Manuel J2026-03-06: 1 insider sale, $193K — Miller Shannon2025-11-24: 3 insider purchases, $336K — ROBERTSON PETER J, Nathamuni Venkatesh, Fernandez Manuel J2025-11: 3 open-market purchases, $336K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $193K2026-05: 3 open-market purchases, $478K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $2.5M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Hill Patrick — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hill Patrick — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector PRAGADA ROBERT V — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Fernandez Manuel J — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fernandez Manuel J — Purchase on 2026-05-08, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Miller Shannon — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector ROBERTSON PETER J — Purchase on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Nathamuni Venkatesh — Purchase on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fernandez Manuel J — Purchase on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-07Hill PatrickofficerSale11,701 @ $143.67$1.7M−13.8% of holding+0.4%not yet — horizon still open72,856Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07Hill PatrickofficerSale5,500 @ $145.00$798K−7.5% of holding+0.4%not yet — horizon still open67,356Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-15PRAGADA ROBERT VdirectorPurchase3,601 @ $111.09$400K+1.1% of holding+11.8%not yet — horizon still open333,755Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-13Fernandez Manuel JdirectorPurchase253 @ $112.56$28K+2.1% of holding+18.8%not yet — horizon still open12,504Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-08Fernandez Manuel JdirectorPurchase403 @ $121.93$49K+3.4% of holding+6.3%not yet — horizon still open12,251Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-06Miller ShannondirectorSale1,440 @ $134.13$193K−5.4% of holding−5.3%−7.9%25,344Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-24ROBERTSON PETER JdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $134.76$135Kownership Δ n/a−0.9%−23.2%1,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24Nathamuni VenkateshdirectorPurchase750 @ $135.11$101K+3.7% of holding−0.9%−23.2%20,785Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24Fernandez Manuel JdirectorPurchase763 @ $130.78$100K+7.9% of holding−0.9%−23.2%10,380Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-08Fernandez Manuel JdirectorPurchase145 @ $120.61$17K+1.5% of holding−0.9%+7.4%9,617Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-07Fernandez Manuel JdirectorPurchase70 @ $122.80$9K+0.7% of holding+1.3%+4.6%9,472Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-06Fernandez Manuel JdirectorPurchase202 @ $124.01$25K+2.2% of holding+1.7%+5.7%9,402Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

101 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-08Miller ShannondirectorWithheld for tax5225,292Form 4
2026-06-08Kachhela JitenofficerAward / grant8,33716,970Form 4
2026-06-03Nathamuni VenkateshdirectorWithheld for tax1,80319,791Form 4
2026-05-18Lim Cheryl H.J.officerAward / grant1,5851,585Form 4
2026-01-29Bryant Diane MdirectorAward / grant1,6361,636Form 4
2026-01-29Kiser Georgette D.directorAward / grant1,46812,958Form 4
2026-01-29MCNAMARA ROBERT AdirectorAward / grant1,46818,603Form 4
2026-01-29SLOAT JULIA AdirectorAward / grant1,4684,620Form 4
2026-01-29Fernandez Manuel JdirectorAward / grant1,46811,848Form 4
2026-01-29Pinkham Louis V.directorAward / grant1,4684,620Form 4
2026-01-29Collins MichaeldirectorAward / grant1,4683,200Form 4
2026-01-29Abani PriyadirectorAward / grant1,4687,728Form 4
2026-01-29Jackson Mary M.directorAward / grant1,4683,185Form 4
2025-12-01PRAGADA ROBERT VdirectorAward / grant2,425330,701Form 4
2025-12-01Zaccaro Joanne CarusoofficerAward / grant97580,346Form 4
2025-12-01Hill PatrickofficerAward / grant83184,557Form 4
2025-12-01Nathamuni VenkateshdirectorAward / grant80921,594Form 4
2025-12-01Miller ShannondirectorAward / grant65926,876Form 4
2025-12-01PRAGADA ROBERT VdirectorWithheld for tax547330,154Form 4
2025-12-01Zaccaro Joanne CarusoofficerWithheld for tax47679,870Form 4
2025-12-01ALLEN WILLIAM B JRofficerAward / grant45632,874Form 4
2025-12-01ALLEN WILLIAM B JRofficerWithheld for tax10632,768Form 4
2025-12-01Miller ShannondirectorWithheld for tax9226,784Form 4
2025-11-18PRAGADA ROBERT VdirectorAward / grant27,501328,276Form 4
2025-11-17PRAGADA ROBERT VdirectorWithheld for tax13,128302,372Form 4
2025-11-17PRAGADA ROBERT VdirectorWithheld for tax7,079282,138Form 4
2025-11-17Nathamuni VenkateshdirectorAward / grant5,97720,035Form 4
2025-11-17Zaccaro Joanne CarusoofficerAward / grant5,57979,371Form 4
2025-11-17Hill PatrickofficerAward / grant5,31483,726Form 4
2025-11-17Zaccaro Joanne CarusoofficerWithheld for tax4,40574,452Form 4
2025-11-17Miller ShannondirectorAward / grant3,58626,217Form 4
2025-11-17Zaccaro Joanne CarusoofficerWithheld for tax2,37570,184Form 4
2025-11-17PRAGADA ROBERT VdirectorWithheld for tax1,597300,775Form 4
2025-11-17ALLEN WILLIAM B JRofficerAward / grant1,32932,418Form 4
2025-11-17Zaccaro Joanne CarusoofficerWithheld for tax66073,792Form 4
2025-11-17Miller ShannondirectorWithheld for tax54222,676Form 4
2025-11-17ALLEN WILLIAM B JRofficerWithheld for tax46031,174Form 4
2025-11-17Miller ShannondirectorWithheld for tax29220,996Form 4
2025-11-17ALLEN WILLIAM B JRofficerWithheld for tax24929,745Form 4
2025-11-17ALLEN WILLIAM B JRofficerWithheld for tax8531,089Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Tim WalbergHousepurchase2026-06-032025-02-07$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-12-082025-11-03$1–15K
Thomas H. Kean Jr.Houseexchange2024-10-152024-09-30$15–50K
Thomas H. Kean Jr.Houseexchange2024-10-152024-09-30$1–15K
Thomas H. Kean Jr.Houseexchange2024-10-152024-09-30$15–50K
Thomas H. Kean Jr.Houseexchange2024-10-152024-09-30$15–50K
Thomas H. Kean Jr.Houseexchange2024-10-152024-09-30$15–50K
Thomas H. Kean Jr.Houseexchange2024-10-152024-09-30$15–50K
Thomas H. Kean Jr.Houseexchange2024-10-152024-09-30$15–50K
Thomas H. Kean Jr.Houseexchange2024-10-152024-09-30$15–50K
William R. KeatingHousesale2024-05-222024-05-17$1–15K
HON. GREG STANTONHousesale2023-11-092023-10-24$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.