ITTITT Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $194.50 · now $194.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ITT has typically landed between $172.71 and $220.84 — a range of −11.2% to +13.5% from the issuance price $194.50.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($194.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ITT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $194.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$172.71worst · -11.2%$220.84best · +13.5%
  • now $194.5 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $197.82 (+1.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $186.93–$208.71
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $172.71–$220.84
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−46.4%−46.4%+0.0%
2020-02-18−44.1%−44.1%+3.0%
2020-02-20−43.7%−43.9%+3.4%
3 best
2020-05-07+33.6%−3.8%+33.6%
2020-05-06+32.1%−2.6%+32.1%
2022-07-14+27.9%+0.0%+27.9%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+1.4%
n=18
Feb
58%
+1.8%
n=19
Mar
47%
−1.8%
n=19
Apr
58%
+3.2%
n=19
May
58%
−0.4%
n=19
Jun
53%
+1.1%
n=19
Jul
63%
+2.9%
n=19
Aug
53%
+0.4%
n=19
Sep
47%
−0.7%
n=19
Oct
61%
+1.3%
n=18
Nov
78%
+7.3%
n=18
Dec
44%
+0.6%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$221$1642026-08-31: 1 insider purchase, $1.0M — Savi Luca2026-08-07: 1 insider sale, $150K — de Mesa Graziano Cheryl2026-05-08: 5 insider sales, $1.5M — Marino Lori B. …2026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $42K — de Mesa Graziano Cheryl2026-03-05: 6 insider sales, $12.1M — Savi Luca …2025-11-03: 1 insider sale, $44K — de Mesa Graziano Cheryl2025-10-31: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Caprais Emmanuel2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $11.2M2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $1.0M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $44K2026-03: 6 open-market sales, $12.1M2026-05: 6 open-market sales, $1.5M2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $1.0M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $150K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Savi Luca — Purchase on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer de Mesa Graziano Cheryl — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Marino Lori B. — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Marino Lori B. — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Marino Lori B. — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Marino Lori B. — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Marino Lori B. — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer de Mesa Graziano Cheryl — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Savi Luca — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed same daydirector Savi Luca — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed same daydirector Savi Luca — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed same daydirector Savi Luca — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed same daydirector Savi Luca — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed same daydirector Savi Luca — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed same dayofficer de Mesa Graziano Cheryl — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Caprais Emmanuel — Sale on 2025-10-31, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Savi LucadirectorPurchase5,019 @ $199.56$1.0M+1.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open267,373Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07de Mesa Graziano CherylofficerSale700 @ $214.54$150K−8.9% of holding+1.9%not yet — horizon still open7,159Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-08Marino Lori B.officerSale2,417 @ $207.10$501K−15.5% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open13,221Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-08Marino Lori B.officerSale2,107 @ $208.95$440K−18.8% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open9,127Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-08Marino Lori B.officerSale1,987 @ $208.02$413K−15.0% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open11,234Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-08Marino Lori B.officerSale544 @ $211.45$115K−5.9% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open8,729Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-08Marino Lori B.officerSale68 @ $211.00$14K−0.7% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open9,059Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-07de Mesa Graziano CherylofficerSale200 @ $208.41$42K−2.5% of holding−9.0%not yet — horizon still open7,859Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Savi LucadirectorSale21,067 @ $189.94$4.0M−6.6% of holding+5.0%not yet — horizon still open296,873Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-05Savi LucadirectorSale19,838 @ $190.87$3.8M−6.7% of holding+5.0%not yet — horizon still open277,035Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-05Savi LucadirectorSale8,343 @ $191.99$1.6M−3.0% of holding+5.0%not yet — horizon still open268,692Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-05Savi LucadirectorSale7,864 @ $188.98$1.5M−2.4% of holding+5.0%not yet — horizon still open317,940Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-05Savi LucadirectorSale5,010 @ $192.85$966K−1.9% of holding+5.0%not yet — horizon still open263,682Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-05Savi LucadirectorSale1,328 @ $193.71$257K−0.5% of holding+5.0%not yet — horizon still open262,354Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-03de Mesa Graziano CherylofficerSale238 @ $183.08$44K−4.5% of holding−2.6%+9.2%5,062Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-31Caprais EmmanuelofficerSale5,500 @ $185.23$1.0M−13.0% of holding−2.7%+8.7%36,830Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-08Savi LucadirectorSale31,520 @ $165.48$5.2M−10.6% of holding+1.9%+12.2%266,016Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-08Savi LucadirectorSale121 @ $166.52$20K−0.0% of holding+1.9%+12.2%265,895Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-07Savi LucadirectorSale29,436 @ $164.65$4.8M−8.8% of holding+2.5%+16.0%304,485Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-07Savi LucadirectorSale6,949 @ $165.27$1.1M−2.3% of holding+2.5%+16.0%297,536Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

86 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03Makowiecki BartlomiejofficerWithheld for tax1,00329,425Form 4
2026-08-01Wheeler Kevin J.directorAward / grant756756Form 4
2026-08-01LOY BERTRANDdirectorAward / grant756756Form 4
2026-05-21MCDONALD REBECCA ANNdirectorAward / grant90925,177Form 4
2026-05-21Laschinger Mary AdirectorAward / grant9091,949Form 4
2026-05-21KEENE NAZZIC SdirectorAward / grant1,3764,482Form 4
2026-05-21Szafranski SharondirectorAward / grant9093,461Form 4
2026-05-21O'Shea ChristopherdirectorAward / grant9092,672Form 4
2026-05-21Berryman Kevin CdirectorAward / grant9094,037Form 4
2026-05-21Chu MaggiedirectorAward / grant9092,561Form 4
2026-05-21DEFOSSET DONdirectorAward / grant90923,757Form 4
2026-05-21DELGROSSO DOUGLAS GdirectorAward / grant9091,949Form 4
2026-05-20O'Shea ChristopherdirectorWithheld for tax2971,763Form 4
2026-05-08Savinelli MichaelofficerAward / grant1,46027,024Form 4
2026-03-04de Mesa Graziano CherylofficerWithheld for tax3268,059Form 4
2026-03-04Makowiecki BartlomiejofficerAward / grant4,10030,307Form 4
2026-03-04Barbon DavideofficerAward / grant4,10038,153Form 4
2026-03-04Marino Lori B.officerAward / grant3,03514,951Form 4
2026-03-04Savi LucadirectorAward / grant35,400315,264Form 4
2026-03-04Caprais EmmanuelofficerAward / grant2,73543,609Form 4
2026-03-04Sheikh EmranaofficerAward / grant1,2154,706Form 4
2026-03-04Guhde MichaelofficerAward / grant9156,168Form 4
2026-03-04Savi LucadirectorAward / grant10,540325,804Form 4
2026-03-04de Mesa Graziano CherylofficerAward / grant7608,385Form 4
2026-03-04de Mesa Graziano CherylofficerAward / grant8607,625Form 4
2026-03-03Savi LucadirectorWithheld for tax23,897289,151Form 4
2026-03-03Savi LucadirectorWithheld for tax9,287279,864Form 4
2026-03-03Caprais EmmanuelofficerWithheld for tax9,12544,586Form 4
2026-03-03Marino Lori B.officerWithheld for tax4,07713,530Form 4
2026-03-03Caprais EmmanuelofficerWithheld for tax3,71240,874Form 4
2026-03-03Makowiecki BartlomiejofficerWithheld for tax3,06727,625Form 4
2026-03-03Barbon DavideofficerWithheld for tax2,41734,554Form 4
2026-03-03Marino Lori B.officerWithheld for tax1,61411,916Form 4
2026-03-03Makowiecki BartlomiejofficerWithheld for tax1,41826,207Form 4
2026-03-03de Mesa Graziano CherylofficerWithheld for tax8326,993Form 4
2026-03-03Barbon DavideofficerWithheld for tax50134,053Form 4
2026-03-03de Mesa Graziano CherylofficerWithheld for tax2286,765Form 4
2026-03-03Savi LucadirectorAward / grant52,878313,048Form 4
2026-03-03Marino Lori B.officerAward / grant7,31817,607Form 4
2026-03-03Makowiecki BartlomiejofficerAward / grant8,44430,692Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-03$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-01-122025-12-11$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-12-152025-11-06$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-31$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-06-17$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-04-112025-03-31$15–50K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2025-04-022025-03-05$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-03-092025-02-24$50–100K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2024-11-062024-10-31$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2024-07-092024-06-21$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2024-06-132024-05-13$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2024-06-132024-05-16$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.