ISSCInnovative Aerosystems, Inc.Industrials · Aerospace & Defenseas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $18.57 · now $18.57 (2026-09-14, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ISSC has typically landed between $14.65 and $24.09 — a range of −21.1% to +29.7% from the issuance price $18.57.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,986 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-07-23 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($18.57) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ISSC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $18.57 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$14.65worst · -21.1%$24.09best · +29.7%
  • now $18.57 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $18.77 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $17.18–$20.37
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $14.65–$24.09
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,986 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-14. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-19−57.5%−57.5%+1.9%
2020-02-21−57.4%−58.3%+0.0%
2020-02-18−56.6%−56.6%+0.9%
3 best
2025-11-20+116.5%+0.0%+116.5%
2025-11-21+111.7%+0.0%+111.7%
2025-11-24+110.8%+0.0%+110.8%

4,986 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-14 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
55%
+4.4%
n=20
Feb
65%
+6.9%
n=20
Mar
40%
−0.9%
n=20
Apr
50%
+5.7%
n=20
May
35%
+0.2%
n=20
Jun
40%
+0.1%
n=20
Jul
65%
+1.4%
n=20
Aug
45%
−0.5%
n=20
Sep
50%
+2.4%
n=20
Oct
40%
−2.2%
n=20
Nov
40%
−4.6%
n=20
Dec
60%
+7.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$31$8↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-06-30Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale145,009 @ $13.69$2.0M−8.4% of holding+6.9%+27.9%1,583,411Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-27Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale40,919 @ $13.50$552K−2.3% of holding+4.6%+26.2%1,760,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-27Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale31,580 @ $13.91$439K−1.8% of holding+4.6%+26.2%1,728,420Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-26Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale59,667 @ $13.21$788K−3.2% of holding+11.7%+34.2%1,800,919Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-25Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale90,655 @ $12.92$1.2M−4.6% of holding+13.3%+30.8%1,860,586Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-23Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale89,414 @ $12.50$1.1M−4.4% of holding+15.9%+17.3%1,951,241Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-20Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale31,953 @ $12.25$391K−1.5% of holding+20.2%+2.3%2,040,655Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-18Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale17,198 @ $12.28$211K−0.8% of holding+22.2%−24.0%2,072,608Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-17Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale21,809 @ $12.77$279K−1.0% of holding+22.8%−19.7%2,089,806Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-11Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale5,116 @ $11.77$60K−0.2% of holding+17.4%−24.2%2,111,615Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-10Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale438 @ $11.75$5K−0.0% of holding+12.4%−22.5%2,116,731Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale63,592 @ $11.78$749K−2.9% of holding+10.4%−26.2%2,117,169Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-06Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale35,437 @ $11.76$417K−1.6% of holding+16.2%−28.2%2,180,761Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-05Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale11,944 @ $11.79$141K−0.5% of holding+13.0%−30.7%2,216,198Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale43,997 @ $11.67$513K−1.9% of holding+11.4%−33.1%2,228,142Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-03Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale6,766 @ $11.50$78K−0.3% of holding+16.8%−31.2%2,272,139Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-02Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale17,740 @ $11.51$204K−0.8% of holding+24.6%−30.7%2,278,905Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-06Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale14,970 @ $11.59$174K−0.6% of holding−35.6%+51.0%2,296,645Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-04Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale63,368 @ $11.21$710K−2.7% of holding−36.1%+44.7%2,311,615Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-31Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale42,788 @ $11.84$507K−1.8% of holding−38.7%+44.1%2,374,983Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-30Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale7,086 @ $11.17$79K−0.3% of holding−36.1%+36.4%2,417,771Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-24Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale6,713 @ $11.32$76K−0.3% of holding−32.3%+32.0%2,424,857Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-23Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale69,599 @ $11.21$780K−2.8% of holding−31.7%+32.5%2,431,570Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale98,600 @ $10.82$1.1M−3.8% of holding−25.0%+36.5%2,501,169Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-17Harborne ChristophertenPercentOwnerSale10,000 @ $10.16$102K−0.4% of holding−19.1%+45.3%2,599,769Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

42 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-14DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerAward / grant21,79321,793Form 4
2026-07-14Askarpour ShahramdirectorAward / grant68,96668,966Form 4
2026-07-08DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerWithheld for tax74986,238Form 4
2026-06-30DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerWithheld for tax91086,987Form 4
2026-05-20BRESSNER GLEN RdirectorAward / grant6,300153,655Form 4
2026-05-18Askarpour ShahramdirectorWithheld for tax906495,035Form 4
2026-05-18DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerWithheld for tax47487,897Form 4
2026-04-16Dean Garry C.directorAward / grant5,61829,408Form 4
2026-04-16Carolin Roger AnthonydirectorAward / grant5,61883,188Form 4
2026-04-16Silfen Richard AdirectorAward / grant5,6187,508Form 4
2026-04-16Devine Denise LdirectorAward / grant5,61820,622Form 4
2026-04-16Belland Stephen LdirectorAward / grant5,61842,559Form 4
2026-04-16BRESSNER GLEN RdirectorAward / grant5,618147,355Form 4
2026-04-16Devine Denise LdirectorDisposition5,40315,004Form 4
2026-04-08DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerWithheld for tax76588,371Form 4
2026-03-31DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerWithheld for tax89789,136Form 4
2026-02-22Askarpour ShahramdirectorWithheld for tax2,876495,941Form 4
2026-02-18Askarpour ShahramdirectorWithheld for tax3,625498,817Form 4
2026-02-18DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerWithheld for tax2,17290,033Form 4
2026-02-17DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerAward / grant9,45592,205Form 4
2026-02-17DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerAward / grant16,10816,108Form 4
2026-02-17DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerAward / grant9,4559,455Form 4
2026-02-17Askarpour ShahramdirectorAward / grant20,171502,442Form 4
2026-02-17Askarpour ShahramdirectorAward / grant34,36434,364Form 4
2026-02-17Askarpour ShahramdirectorAward / grant20,17120,171Form 4
2026-02-17Silfen Richard AdirectorAward / grant1,8901,890Form 4
2026-01-13DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerWithheld for tax86882,750Form 4
2026-01-11Askarpour ShahramdirectorWithheld for tax2,128482,271Form 4
2025-12-31DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerWithheld for tax1,00083,618Form 4
2025-11-20Askarpour ShahramdirectorOption exercise201,0000Form 4
2025-11-20Askarpour ShahramdirectorOption exercise201,000572,317Form 4
2025-11-20Askarpour ShahramdirectorOption exercise201,000572,317Form 4
2025-04-17Dean Garry C.directorAward / grant13,53623,790Form 4
2025-04-17Belland Stephen LdirectorAward / grant13,53636,941Form 4
2025-04-17BRESSNER GLEN RdirectorAward / grant13,536141,737Form 4
2025-04-17Carolin Roger AnthonydirectorAward / grant13,53677,570Form 4
2025-04-17Devine Denise LdirectorAward / grant13,53620,407Form 4
2025-02-18DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerAward / grant33,25933,259Form 4
2025-02-18Askarpour ShahramdirectorAward / grant72,06272,062Form 4
2025-02-18DiGiovanni JeffreyofficerAward / grant17,46284,618Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.